IEA: OIL INVESTMENT
The International Energy Agency's chief economist on Friday urged oil producers to boost investment in new projects to meet an anticipated rise in demand, a move that he said may avoid oil price spikes in coming years.
Speaking in Madrid during the presentation of the IEA's annual report, Fatih Birol said that a tumble in oil prices makes it hard to believe a supply crunch may happen any time soon, but the slow pace of development of new projects makes it imperative to act.
"We shouldn't just ignore tomorrow's challenges," Mr. Birol said. "This is hard point to make in this context of lower oil prices, but we need to invest now."
A continued oil slide hammered commodity-dependent currencies as well as shares in oil and gas companies Friday, a day after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries left its output target unchanged, diminishing hope of any imminent respite for the ailing commodity.
In early trade, Brent crude fell to its weakest level in four years, having already plummeted nearly 7% on Thursday. It later picked up slightly.
Analysts had estimated OPEC would need to take 1 million to 1.5 million barrels a day off the market to support oil prices, which have fallen by more than 30% since the summer, but its members didn't bow to the market pressure.
In its report, IEA estimates that oil demand will hit 104 million barrels a day in 2040, from 90 million barrels last year, with Asian countries accounting for two-thirds of overall demand.
Such a production increase would imply $900 billion worth of investment a year through the 2030s in oil exploration and production, IEA says. The organization singled out four key focus areas for future production: the U.S., Canada, Brazil and the Middle East.
Mr. Birol said that oil prices are probably close to rebound, and should be sustained by demand.
Earlier this month, Mr. Birol had warned that Arctic, offshore and unconventional oil projects are facing major challenges with international oil prices around or below $80 a barrel, and warned that oil companies may revise spending downward, potentially hurting future supply.
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REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 72 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 1020 GMT, having fallen by 1.5 percent on Tuesday, its largest one-day drop in a month. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.12 per barrel, down 58 cents.
BLOOMBERG - Prices dropped during the session as the International Energy Agency said the recent recovery in oil prices, coupled with milder-than-normal winter weather, is slowing demand growth. The worsening outlook for consumption dampened some of the enthusiasm that OPEC and its allies will extend supply curbs.
Global energy needs rise more slowly than in the past but still expand by 30% between today and 2040. This is the equivalent of adding another China and India to today’s global demand.
Product exports have grown significantly over the past several years and are expected to continue to grow as Russian refineries add capacity to produce more high-quality products.