OIL PRICES - 2015
Last week OPEC held a conference to review the outlook on the bleak oil market. The global economic growth is set to make a small change in forecast in the New Year with a slow steady rise of 4%. This rise was accumulated with the apprehension of the recovering global economy and the expectation of a higher demand for oil in 2015. This confidence has arisen due to the fact that many projects are stable and "comfortably above the five-year average, coupled with the on-going rise in non-OECD inventories, are indications of an extremely well-supplied market."
Overall, OPEC has decided to stick to their previous plans made in 2011 and maintain the production level of 30.0 mb/d. There was in no doubt concern over the rapid decline in oil price at the conference, but OPEC suggested that during this period it gave producers time to invest. This eye-opening decline in oil price had pushed the big players to look further into the future of oil and what action should be taken, to meet future demands.
Overall the conference gave a positive outlook on the future of 2015 with a small but steady increase. The OPEC daily basket price stood at US$66.27 a barrel Thursday, 4 December 2014, Brent crude hit a $63.72 a barrel on Monday 1 December 2014, which is a five year low. Cuts against official selling prices from Saudi Arabia are currently resonated across the global market.
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AN - China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) is willing to invest $3 billion in its existing oil and gas operation in Nigeria, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said on Sunday following a meeting with the Chinese in Abuja.
REUTERS - Production at Libya’s giant Sharara oil field was expected to fall by at least 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) on Saturday after two staff were abducted in an attack by an unknown group, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) said.
IMF - Output grew by 3.8 percent in 2017, underpinned by a resilient non-hydrocarbon sector, with robust implementation of GCC-funded projects as well as strong activity in the financial, hospitality, and education sectors. The banking system remains stable with large capital buffers. Growth is projected to decelerate over the medium term.
IMF - Higher oil prices and short-term portfolio inflows have provided relief from external and fiscal pressures but the recovery remains challenging. Inflation declined to its lowest level in more than two years. Real GDP expanded by 2 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the first quarter of last year. However, activity in the non-oil non-agricultural sector remains weak as lower purchasing power weighs on consumer demand and as credit risk continues to limit bank lending.