OIL RIGS DROP
U.S. oil drillers pulled rigs this week as crude traded below $60 a barrel for the seventh straight day.
Rigs targeting oil declined by 10 to a six-month low of 1,536, Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI) said on its website today. Those seeking out natural gas slipped by eight to 338, the Houston-based field services company's website. The total count fell by 18 to 1,875, the lowest level since July.
The number of rigs targeting U.S. oil has slid from a record 1,609 as drillers retrench in response to escalating competition from the world's largest suppliers that's sent international oil prices plummeting by more than $50 a barrel. Another 800 rigs are at risk of being idled should prices remain where they are, suspending an unprecedented boom in domestic production that's brought the nation closer to energy independence than it's been in three decades.
The mindset of U.S. energy explorers has "drastically changed" after the recent $15- to $20-a-barrel drop in oil prices, Tudor Pickering Holt & Co. said in an e-mailed note yesterday. "Rigs are likely to fall out of the market at a steeper pace with drops starting to gain momentum early next year."
Members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, responsible for 40 percent of the world's oil supply, have resisted calls to cut output since deciding on Nov. 27 to maintain a collective target. It would be "difficult, if not impossible" for Saudi Arabia or OPEC to give up market share by curbing production, Ali Al-Naimi, Saudi Arabia's oil minister, said in comments published this week by the Saudi Press Agency.
Even as a worldwide surplus weighs on prices, output from U.S. wells is poised to approach a 42-year record next year as producers take advantage of declining equipment costs and enhanced drilling techniques.
Domestic oil output climbed 19,000 barrels a day in the week ended Dec. 12 to 9.14 million, the highest level in weekly Energy Information Administration data going back to 1983. Production will reach 9.3 million next year as drillers pull record volumes from shale formations including North Dakota's Bakken and Texas's Eagle Ford, according to EIA forecasts.
Joe Mills, chief executive officer of Eagle Rock Energy Partners, said his Houston-based company may increase its rig count by two by the end of next year.
"I absolutely do not believe that we'll be living in a $50 oil world for any length of time," he said in an interview this week.
Other producers, including ConocoPhillips (COP) and Oasis Petroleum Inc. (OAS), have announced plans to curb spending. Chevron Corp. (CVX) and Linn Energy LLC (LINE) have put capital plans on hold.
The international benchmark North Sea Brent oil and the U.S. counterpart West Texas Intermediate crude have both dropped to their lowest levels since 2009. WTI for January delivery rose $2.07 to $56.18 a barrel at 1:12 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down 43 percent in the past year.
U.S. gas stockpiles dropped 64 billion cubic feet last week to 3.295 trillion, according to the EIA. Supplies were 7.3 percent below the five-year average and 0.2 percent above year-earlier inventories.
Natural gas for January delivery fell 15.6 cents to $3.486 per million British thermal units on the Nymex, down 22 percent in the past year. The price reached a 52-week low of $3.464 in today's trading.
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REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 72 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 1020 GMT, having fallen by 1.5 percent on Tuesday, its largest one-day drop in a month. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.12 per barrel, down 58 cents.
BLOOMBERG - Prices dropped during the session as the International Energy Agency said the recent recovery in oil prices, coupled with milder-than-normal winter weather, is slowing demand growth. The worsening outlook for consumption dampened some of the enthusiasm that OPEC and its allies will extend supply curbs.
Global energy needs rise more slowly than in the past but still expand by 30% between today and 2040. This is the equivalent of adding another China and India to today’s global demand.
Product exports have grown significantly over the past several years and are expected to continue to grow as Russian refineries add capacity to produce more high-quality products.