OPEC: OIL ENOUGH
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said Thursday rising non-OPEC oil production will be sufficient to meet growing demand in the second half of the year, dismissing concerns over oil supply in the coming months.
In its monthly report on the oil market, OPEC—which produces one in every three barrels of oil consumed globally—forecast non-OPEC oil supply would rise by 1.2 million barrels a day in the next six months.
The rate of growth is slightly slower than in previous months but should still be sufficient to meet growing demand when combined with OPEC output and healthy stock levels, the oil-producers' group said.
In a reflection of its view that the market is balanced, OPEC decided to maintain its official output quota at 30 million barrels a day at its semiannual meeting in Vienna on Wednesday.
Last month, however, the International Energy Agency warned that OPEC could struggle to keep up with rising oil demand as many of its member countries contend with significant supply disruptions. Output from Libya has dwindled to less than 200,000 barrels a day this year amid strikes, protests and conflicts between rival factions in the country. Iran's oil production is still hobbled by Western sanctions, while a growing insurgency in Iraq has cut off exports from its northern oil fields.
According to the IEA, OPEC will still need to boost its output by 800,000 barrels a day in the second half of the year to meet demand.
OPEC's output has hovered below 30 million barrels a day for most of the year, falling to 29.4 million barrels a day in March. It has since rebounded, rising to 29.8 million barrels a day last month, but remains below the 30.3 million barrels a day the group predicts it will need to produce to meet demand in the second half of the year.
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REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 72 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 1020 GMT, having fallen by 1.5 percent on Tuesday, its largest one-day drop in a month. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.12 per barrel, down 58 cents.
BLOOMBERG - Prices dropped during the session as the International Energy Agency said the recent recovery in oil prices, coupled with milder-than-normal winter weather, is slowing demand growth. The worsening outlook for consumption dampened some of the enthusiasm that OPEC and its allies will extend supply curbs.
Global energy needs rise more slowly than in the past but still expand by 30% between today and 2040. This is the equivalent of adding another China and India to today’s global demand.
Product exports have grown significantly over the past several years and are expected to continue to grow as Russian refineries add capacity to produce more high-quality products.