IEA: LOWER ECONOMIC GROWTH
IEA lowered its 2014 global oil demand growth forecast to 1.0 million barrels per day (mb/d) on lower‐than‐expected deliveries in the second quarter and the International Monetary Fund's weaker outlook for economic growth. But as the economy improves in 2015, demand is set to accelerate by 1.3 mb/d in 2015.
OPEC crude oil supply rose by 300 000 barrels per day (300 kb/d) to 30.44 mb/d in July, a five‐month high, as a boost from Saudi Arabia to 10 mb/d and a tentative recovery in Libyan output more than made up for declines in Iraq, Iran and Nigeria. The "call on OPEC crude and stock change" averages around 30.8 mb/d for the fourth quarter, just like in the third, the OMR informed subscribers.
The global oil supply increased 230 kb/d in July, to 93.0 mb/d, with higher OPEC output countering slightly lower non‐OPEC supply. Compared with July 2013, global supplies rose 840 kb/d, as a 1.2 mb/d increase in non‐OPEC supplies more than offset a 360 kb/d decline in OPEC output.
OECD industry stocks posted their sixth consecutive monthly build in June, rising 13.8 mb to stand at 2 671 mb at the end of the month, their highest level since September 2013. Inventories' deficit to the five‐year average narrowed to 42.1 mb from 52.0 mb at the end of May. The second-quarter stock build of 88 mb was the largest quarterly build since the third quarter of 2006.
Global refinery activity saw diverging trends in June. A counter‐seasonal fall in OECD throughputs contrasted with record highs in key non‐OECD countries. The OMR estimated second-quarter global refinery runs at 76.5 mb/d, 1.3 mb/d more than a year earlier and 0.2 mb/d higher than in the previous OMR. Projections for the third quarter remain unchanged at 77.8 mb/d.
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AN - China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) is willing to invest $3 billion in its existing oil and gas operation in Nigeria, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said on Sunday following a meeting with the Chinese in Abuja.
REUTERS - Production at Libya’s giant Sharara oil field was expected to fall by at least 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) on Saturday after two staff were abducted in an attack by an unknown group, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) said.
IMF - Output grew by 3.8 percent in 2017, underpinned by a resilient non-hydrocarbon sector, with robust implementation of GCC-funded projects as well as strong activity in the financial, hospitality, and education sectors. The banking system remains stable with large capital buffers. Growth is projected to decelerate over the medium term.
IMF - Higher oil prices and short-term portfolio inflows have provided relief from external and fiscal pressures but the recovery remains challenging. Inflation declined to its lowest level in more than two years. Real GDP expanded by 2 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the first quarter of last year. However, activity in the non-oil non-agricultural sector remains weak as lower purchasing power weighs on consumer demand and as credit risk continues to limit bank lending.