SAUDI RAISES PRICE
Saudi Arabia raised the cost of its oil sales to Asia in February, prompting speculation the world's biggest exporter is retreating from using record price discounts to defend market share.
Saudi Arabian Oil Co. will sell its Arab Light grade for $1.40 a barrel less than a regional average next month, the company said yesterday in a statement. That's a narrowing from January, when the discount was $2, the biggest in at least 14 years. It decreased 11 prices globally and increased six. Brent oil fell 5.9 percent yesterday.
Oil prices collapsed 32 percent since the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decided to maintain its output target on Nov. 27, amid signs Saudi Arabia and other members are determined to let North American shale drillers and other producers share the burden of reducing an oversupply. When Aramco lowered prices for November it prompted speculation the nation was seeking to preserve market share.
"They're putting the brakes on a little bit," Leo Drollas, a London-based independent consultant and former chief economist at the Centre for Global Energy Studies, said by phone. "It's a little message that maybe prices are going down too far too quickly, and this is a little signal that they're looking at things."
Brent crude added 22 cents to $53.33 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange at 12:38 p.m. Singapore time. Prices yesterday declined $3.31, or 5.9 percent, to $53.11, the lowest close since May 1, 2009.
The state-owned producer, known as Saudi Aramco, raised prices for all its crudes in Asia and cut all of them for Europe and most in the U.S.
Saudi Aramco surprised the oil market in October when it trimmed November crude prices to five-year lows in Asia, signaling the biggest producer in OPEC would defend its market share rather than seeking to prop up prices. It continued last month, cutting the discount for Arab Light crude for sale to Asia in January to the deepest in at least 14 years.
Swelling supplies from producers outside OPEC drove Brent crude into a bear market on Oct. 8 amid waning demand from China, the world's second-largest importer. Middle Eastern producers are increasingly competing with cargoes from Latin America, North Africa and Russia for buyers in Asia.
"There is a fight for market share going on," said Tariq Zahir, a New York-based commodity fund manager at Tyche Capital Advisors. "We are not seeing any kind of production decreased."
OPEC decided at its last meeting to keep its production target unchanged at 30 million barrels a day. Members pumped more than that for a seventh straight month in December even as the group itself forecasts that markets will need less of its crude.
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Saudi Arabia is considering delaying the international portion of the giant initial public offering of its state oil company until at least 2019, according to people familiar with the situation, who said a domestic share sale in Riyadh could still happen next year.
But we expect a rise in the sector's NPL ratio and muted credit demand in the second half of 2017 and 2018, reflecting the slowing economy. GDP growth slowed to 1.4% in 2016 from 3.4% in 2015 and we expect it to be below 1% in 2017 and 2018.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia have been cutting oil production this year to bring fuel inventories in industrialized nations back in line with the five-year average.
The Japanese government will offer $10 billion to support firms bidding to build liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure around Asia, the Nikkei business daily said on Monday.