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2015-12-14 20:00:00

2035: GLOBAL ENERGY UP 37%

2035: GLOBAL ENERGY UP 37%

We project that by 2035 global energy consumption increases by 37% from today's levels with virtually all (96%) the growth in non-OECD countries and more than half coming from India and China.

World energy demand is projected to be 37% higher in 2035 with India and China accounting for half the growth. By sector, inputs to power generation account for nearly 60% of the growth.

Global energy intensity in 2035 is half of what it was in 1995 and 36% lower than 2013. However, global energy use per capita is projected to increase by 12%.

The US becomes energy self-sufficient by 2021. And by 2035 could be exporting 9% of its total energy supply. Meanwhile, China overtakes the EU as the world's largest importing country/region by 2025.

Russia remains the largest net exporter of energy with net exports meeting 4% of world energy demand in 2035. Europe remains the largest importer of natural gas while China becomes the world's largest oil importer.

By 2035, over 70% of carbon emissions are produced from the non-OECD, although per capita emissions in the non-OECD are still less than half the OECD level. Total carbon emissions increase by 25%.

Renewables (including biofuels) account for 8% of total energy onsumption in 2035, compared to just 3% today.

The fastest fuel growth is seen in renewables (6.3% p.a.). Nuclear (1.8% p.a.) and hydro-electric power (1.7% p.a.) grow faster than total energy. Among fossil fuels, natural gas grows the fastest (1.9% p.a.) with oil (0.8% p.a.) marginally ahead of coal (also 0.8% p.a, to one decimal place).

Consumption of liquid fuels (oil, biofuels and other liquids) rises to 111 Mb/d by 2035, driven by nonOECD transport and industry.

The US, Russia and Saudi Arabia supply over a third of global liquids output to 2035. OPEC's share of the global liquids market in 2035 is 40%, the same as in 2013.

Natural gas supply reaches nearly 500 Bcf/d by 2035, with the US accounting for nearly 25%. Increased usage in the power and industrial sectors account for over 80% of total demand growth.

bp.com

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2016 OIL PRICES: $56 

SHALE GAS: LESS 3% 

OIL PRICES 2020: $80 

OPEC WILL RISE 

NEVER SEE $100

 

 

 

 

 

Tags: OIL, GAS, ENERGY, USA, EUROPE, RUSSIA, CHINA, OPEC, SAUDI

Chronicle:

2035: GLOBAL ENERGY UP 37%
2018, June, 22, 13:10:00

THE LARGEST VENEZUELA'S OIL

U.S. EIA - Venezuela holds the largest oil reserves in the world, in large part because of the heavy oil reserves in the Orinoco Oil Basin. In addition to oil reserves, Venezuela has sizeable natural gas reserves, although the development of natural gas lags significantly behind that of oil. However, in the wake of political and economic instability in the country, crude oil production has dramatically decreased, reaching a multi-decades low in mid-2018.

2035: GLOBAL ENERGY UP 37%
2018, June, 22, 13:05:00

U.S. DEFICIT UP FROM $116.1 BLN TO $124.1 BLN

U.S. BEA - The U.S. current-account deficit increased to $124.1 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter of 2018 from $116.1 billion (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2017, according to statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The deficit was 2.5 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) in the first quarter, up from 2.4 percent in the fourth quarter.

2035: GLOBAL ENERGY UP 37%
2018, June, 22, 13:00:00

EUROPE'S NUCLEAR INVESTMENT : €50 BLN

WNN - There are 126 operational power reactors in 14 EU Member States, providing more than one-quarter of the bloc's total electricity production. In its Communication on the Nuclear Illustrative Program (PINC) published last year, the European Commission expects nuclear to maintain its significant role in Europe's energy mix up to 2050. This would require investment of some EUR40-50 billion (USD46-58 billion) in nuclear LTO by 2050.

2035: GLOBAL ENERGY UP 37%
2018, June, 20, 13:15:00

OIL PRICE: ABOVE $75

REUTERS - Benchmark Brent crude LCOc1 was up 50 cents at $75.58 a barrel by 0835 GMT. U.S. light crude CLc1 was 50 cents higher at $65.57.

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