HIGH RISKY PRICES
Low oil prices risk causing a lack of investment in conventional oil supply in non-OPEC countries, strengthening OPEC market power and creating additional uncertainty, the IEA's director for energy markets and security, Keisuke Sadamori, said Tuesday.
The shale and tight oil revolution in the US had provided a welcome element of flexibility and elasticity to markets, Sadamori told the Offshore Europe conference in Aberdeen.
However, "if we see quite a substantial decline in upstream investment in conventional sources in non-OPEC countries, then the power to supply the marginal barrel will go back to the hands of the OPEC producers and they are also facing the extremely difficult unstable geopolitical situation," he said.
"Ensuring the security of supply supported by robust upstream and downstream investments will continue to be the priority and that's going to be a huge challenge in the coming decades," he said.
The IEA last month said it expected global markets to be over-supplied well into next year thanks to growing oil inventories, despite revising upwards its projections for global demand.
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NPD - Preliminary production figures for May 2018 show an average daily production of 1 629 000 barrels of oil, NGL and condensate, which is a decrease of 236 000 barrels per day compared to April.
PLATTS - Libyan crude production has fallen around 400,000 b/d -- or nearly halved -- due to militia attacks on the eastern oil terminals of Ras Lanuf and Es Sider, the head of the country?s National Oil Corp. said Tuesday.
PLATTS - Venezuela's crude output averaged 1.36 million b/d in May, down from 1.41 million b/d in April, and 1.9 million b/d in May 2017, according to S&P Global Platts. The International Energy Agency said it could fall to 800,000 b/d or even lower next year.
PLATTS - Nigerian oil has been slow to sell this month as bidders for the country's July-loading heavy and light sweet crudes have been absent from the market. Market participants pegged the amount of unsold Nigerian barrels loading in July at 20 million-34 million barrels, amounting to roughly 40%-75% of what is produced in a month.