OIL PRICES UPDOWN - 2
The price for light, sweet crude oil for October delivery fell for a while during Sept. 2 trading following a government report that showed a US oil inventory gain, but the price reversed direction and moved into the black ink, closing above $46/bbl.
The US Energy Information Administration estimated the oil inventory increased by 4.7 million bbl, which was larger than analysts had anticipated for the week ended Aug. 28.
An inventory build of that size normally would have driven down oil prices, analysts said, adding traders on Sept. 2 appeared to have been focused on a recent recovery in Chinese and US equity markets.
Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank head of commodity strategy, said crude oil prices appeared relatively stable Sept. 3 after what he called a "high-octane weeks of ups and downs," and he suggested a price recovery remains on hold until 2016 given lingering ample world oil supply.
"Some calm has returned today," Hansen said. "However while traders early last week were mostly concerned about how low the price could go, the violent 35% recovery in just 3 days has increased demand for upside protection." A 3-day oil price rally ended with the Aug. 31 closing.
Societe Generale, based in Paris, issued a report saying US gasoline demand was likely to see some gains with motorists likely to do more driving around the upcoming Labor Day holiday.
"In the near term, we anticipate little in the global oil fundamentals to provide any sustainable uplift for prices as refinery maintenance gets under way, and product demand enters a seasonal lull," Societe Generale said.
The October crude oil contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange gained 84¢ to $46.25/bbl on Sept. 2 while the November crude oil contract also climbed 84¢ to $46.86/bbl.
The natural gas contract for October declined 5¢ to a rounded $2.65/MMbtu. The Henry Hub, La., gas price dropped 3¢ to $2.71/MMbtu.
The October ICE contract for Brent crude climbed 94¢ to settle at $50.50/bbl, and the November contract gained 93¢ to $51.29/bbl. The ICE gas oil contract for September dropped $10.25 to $471.50/tonne.
The average price for the OPEC basket of 12 benchmark crudes declined $2.24 to $45.53/bbl on Sept. 2.
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AN - China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) is willing to invest $3 billion in its existing oil and gas operation in Nigeria, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said on Sunday following a meeting with the Chinese in Abuja.
REUTERS - Production at Libya’s giant Sharara oil field was expected to fall by at least 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) on Saturday after two staff were abducted in an attack by an unknown group, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) said.
IMF - Output grew by 3.8 percent in 2017, underpinned by a resilient non-hydrocarbon sector, with robust implementation of GCC-funded projects as well as strong activity in the financial, hospitality, and education sectors. The banking system remains stable with large capital buffers. Growth is projected to decelerate over the medium term.
IMF - Higher oil prices and short-term portfolio inflows have provided relief from external and fiscal pressures but the recovery remains challenging. Inflation declined to its lowest level in more than two years. Real GDP expanded by 2 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the first quarter of last year. However, activity in the non-oil non-agricultural sector remains weak as lower purchasing power weighs on consumer demand and as credit risk continues to limit bank lending.