U.S. OIL WILL DOWN 800 TBD
BOE wrote, U.S. crude production is set to decline this year as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries struggles to put a dent in global oversupply, according to the head of the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
Output in the U.S. will fall 800,000 barrels a day this year, Adam Sieminski, administrator for the EIA, said in an interview in Riyadh. That would be the first drop since 2008, data compiled by Bloomberg show. OPEC's attempts to carry out an agreement on limiting production are still "very much up in the air," he said.
"The U.S. has always felt markets would do a better job at re-balancing supply and demand than organizational activities," Sieminski said. "There is potentially a role for OPEC, but I think markets ultimately are the key to how supply and demand rebalance."
Brent slid from more than $115 a barrel in June 2014 to less than $28 in January this year. Prices tumbled after OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, adopted a policy of pumping without limits to try to squeeze higher-cost supply, including some U.S. shale output, from the market. U.S. crude production averaged 8.5 million barrels a day in mid October, compared with 9.2 million a day at the end of last year, according to EIA data.
Shale drillers have shown remarkable "tenacity" in holding up output in the face of falling prices, Sieminski said. Crude at $50 to $60 a barrel would probably spur an increase in their production, he said. Brent crude was trading at $49.05 a barrel by 4:33 p.m. in Dubai on Tuesday.
OPEC agreed in Algiers in September to the outline of a deal to limit production to a range of 32.5 million to 33 million barrels a day. Iran, Iraq, Libya and Nigeria are all seeking to be excluded from the deal. All of OPEC's 14 members as well as other producers such as Russia are committed to finalizing an agreement, Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo said Monday in a Bloomberg Television interview.
|May, 21, 11:10:00|
|May, 21, 11:05:00|
|May, 21, 11:00:00|
|May, 21, 10:55:00|
|May, 21, 10:50:00|
|May, 21, 10:45:00|
API - American Petroleum Institute reported that the first four months of this year saw U.S. petroleum demand average 750 thousand barrels a day above the same period in 2017 despite higher prices, a sign of solid economic activity. April also saw the U.S. produce a record 10.5 million barrels per day (MBD) of oil.
IMF - “Egypt’s growth has continued to accelerate during 2017/18, rising to 5.2 percent in the first half of the year from 4.2 percent in 2016/17. The current account deficit has also declined sharply, reflecting the recovery in tourism and strong growth in remittances, while improved investor confidence has continued to support portfolio inflows. In addition, gross international reserves rose to $44 billion by end-April, equal to 7 months of imports.
BAKER HUGHES A GE - U.S. Rig Count is up 1 rig from last week to 1,046, with oil rigs unchanged at 844, gas rigs up 1 to 200, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2. Canada Rig Count is up 4 rigs from last week to 83, with oil rigs up 6 to 38 and gas rigs down 2 to 45.
REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $79.57 per barrel at 0310 GMT, up 27 cents, or 0.3 percent from their last close. Brent broke through $80 for the first time since November 2014 on Thursday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $71.62 a barrel, up 13 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last settlement.