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2016-04-28 20:10:00

OIL PRICE UP $45

OIL PRICE UP $45

Oil climbed above $45 a barrel in New York for the first time since November after U.S. industry data showed a decline in crude stockpiles.

West Texas Intermediate futures climbed as much as 2.3 percent, extending a gain of 3.3 percent Tuesday. Inventories dropped by 1.07 million barrels last week, the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute was said to report. The World Bank boosted its forecast for oil prices this year, projecting that refinery demand will pick up and U.S. output cuts will steepen in the second half of 2016.

"The recent leg higher in oil prices is due to the tightening of the supply side of the market," Jens Naervig Pedersen, an analyst at Danske Bank A/S in Oslo, said by e-mail. "U.S. production is edging lower, the rig count suggests there's more to come, and the API figures from yesterday pointing to stock draws further confirm this development."

Oil has rebounded, after slumping to the lowest level since 2003 earlier this year, amid signs the global surplus will ease as U.S. production declines. Markets may rebalance by the end of the year, BP Plc Chief Executive Officer Bob Dudley said Tuesday as the company reported a surprise first-quarter profit.

West Texas Intermediate for June delivery rose as much as $1.01 to $45.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:43 a.m. London time. The contract gained $1.40 to $44.04 on Tuesday, the highest close since Nov. 10. Total volume traded was about 16 percent below the 100-day average. Prices advanced 8.4 percent last week.

U.S. Stockpiles

Brent for June settlement increased as much as $1.23, or 2.7 percent, to $46.97 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract gained $1.26 to $45.74 a barrel on the on Tuesday. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $1.91 to WTI.

Crude stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI and the biggest U.S. oil-storage hub, increased by 1.9 million barrels last week, the API reported Tuesday, according to a person familiar with the numbers. Nationwide inventories are forecast to expand by 1.75 million barrels, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey before an Energy Information Administration report Wednesday.

Oil-market news:

Crude prices will average $41 per barrel this year, which is still down 19 percent from 2015, Washington-based World Bank said Tuesday in its quarterly commodity-markets outlook.

There's "always a chance" for an agreement to freeze oil output, but no concrete moves over the past week, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters in Moscow.

YPF SA is set to export crude oil from Argentina for the first time in two years next month, taking advantage of a new government subsidy.

boereport.com

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MAGIC OIL PRICE: $50 

WORLD BANK PRICE: $41 

GLOBAL OIL DEFICIT 

ФУНДАМЕНТАЛЬНЫЕ РЫНОЧНЫЕ ФАКТОРЫ  

OIL PRICES UP $1.71

Tags: OIL, PRICES

Chronicle:

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U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN 0.1%

FRB - Industrial production edged down 0.1 percent in January following four consecutive monthly increases. Manufacturing production was unchanged in January. Mining output fell 1.0 percent, with all of its major component industries recording declines, while the index for utilities moved up 0.6 percent. At 107.2 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 3.7 percent higher in January than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector fell 0.2 percentage point in January to 77.5 percent, a rate that is 2.3 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2017) average.

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