OIL PRICE UP $45
Oil climbed above $45 a barrel in New York for the first time since November after U.S. industry data showed a decline in crude stockpiles.
West Texas Intermediate futures climbed as much as 2.3 percent, extending a gain of 3.3 percent Tuesday. Inventories dropped by 1.07 million barrels last week, the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute was said to report. The World Bank boosted its forecast for oil prices this year, projecting that refinery demand will pick up and U.S. output cuts will steepen in the second half of 2016.
"The recent leg higher in oil prices is due to the tightening of the supply side of the market," Jens Naervig Pedersen, an analyst at Danske Bank A/S in Oslo, said by e-mail. "U.S. production is edging lower, the rig count suggests there's more to come, and the API figures from yesterday pointing to stock draws further confirm this development."
Oil has rebounded, after slumping to the lowest level since 2003 earlier this year, amid signs the global surplus will ease as U.S. production declines. Markets may rebalance by the end of the year, BP Plc Chief Executive Officer Bob Dudley said Tuesday as the company reported a surprise first-quarter profit.
West Texas Intermediate for June delivery rose as much as $1.01 to $45.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:43 a.m. London time. The contract gained $1.40 to $44.04 on Tuesday, the highest close since Nov. 10. Total volume traded was about 16 percent below the 100-day average. Prices advanced 8.4 percent last week.
Brent for June settlement increased as much as $1.23, or 2.7 percent, to $46.97 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract gained $1.26 to $45.74 a barrel on the on Tuesday. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $1.91 to WTI.
Crude stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI and the biggest U.S. oil-storage hub, increased by 1.9 million barrels last week, the API reported Tuesday, according to a person familiar with the numbers. Nationwide inventories are forecast to expand by 1.75 million barrels, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey before an Energy Information Administration report Wednesday.
Crude prices will average $41 per barrel this year, which is still down 19 percent from 2015, Washington-based World Bank said Tuesday in its quarterly commodity-markets outlook.
There's "always a chance" for an agreement to freeze oil output, but no concrete moves over the past week, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters in Moscow.
YPF SA is set to export crude oil from Argentina for the first time in two years next month, taking advantage of a new government subsidy.
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AN - China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) is willing to invest $3 billion in its existing oil and gas operation in Nigeria, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said on Sunday following a meeting with the Chinese in Abuja.
REUTERS - Production at Libya’s giant Sharara oil field was expected to fall by at least 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) on Saturday after two staff were abducted in an attack by an unknown group, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) said.
IMF - Output grew by 3.8 percent in 2017, underpinned by a resilient non-hydrocarbon sector, with robust implementation of GCC-funded projects as well as strong activity in the financial, hospitality, and education sectors. The banking system remains stable with large capital buffers. Growth is projected to decelerate over the medium term.
IMF - Higher oil prices and short-term portfolio inflows have provided relief from external and fiscal pressures but the recovery remains challenging. Inflation declined to its lowest level in more than two years. Real GDP expanded by 2 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the first quarter of last year. However, activity in the non-oil non-agricultural sector remains weak as lower purchasing power weighs on consumer demand and as credit risk continues to limit bank lending.