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2016-06-06 19:05:00

OIL PRICE UP TO $50.21

OIL PRICE UP TO $50.21

 

OIL PRICES 2015 - 2016

 

Oil markets opened the week trading up on Monday, supported by global supply outages which were helping to curb physical supply.

The global benchmark, Brent, gained 1.15% to reach $50.21 a barrel. Its U.S. counterpart, West Texas Intermediate, was trading up 1.13% at $49.17 a barrel.

Oil supply in Nigeria continued to be affected by attacks from Nigerian militants, despite Exxon Mobil Corp. lifting a force majeure—a suspension of service because of events that it couldn't control—at Que Iboe last Friday.

Last week, during a media scrum at a meeting between members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Nigerian oil minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu said that he had met with militants to try to prevent future attacks and thereby reduce production outages.

Full production at the Forcados export terminal will be restored by the end of August, Mr. Kachikwu said. Supply across the country has been cut to multiyear lows because of the continuing instability.

In recent weeks, outages in Nigeria and Canada have removed more than three million barrels of crude from the market a day.

But price gains are limited by U.S. production figures, which show that output is recovering. Higher oil prices are likely enticing U.S. producers back to the market, as oil becomes more cost-effective to produce, analysts said.

A survey from Baker Hughes Inc. on Friday showed that active rig counts in the U.S. rose by nine last week, the first increase in 11 weeks.

Morgan Stanley said that, while the rig count increase was "not enough to materially change the outlook for U.S. production," the figures suggest "rigs may be returning in the best acreage, namely the Permian Basin."

If the trend continues, it could cause prices to tumble again as supply outstrips demand, analysts said.

"50 is the new norm," said OCBC economist Barnabas Gan, saying many shale producers whose production costs on average vary from $30 to $50 a barrel are likely to be lured back to the oil fields, further drenching the still-oversupplied market.

Last week, a meeting between members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries finished without any agreement on curbing or halting supply. The current strategy—a hands-off approach which lets the market decide the price—is working, several OPEC ministers said.

wsj.com

-----

Earlier: 

OPEC HAS NO MEANING - 2 

STRONG RUSSIAN OIL 

OIL WILL BE $60 

MAJORS DEBT UP TO $383 BLN 

OPEC'S STRATEGY: $70 - $80

 

 

 

Tags: OIL, PRICE

Chronicle:

OIL PRICE UP TO $50.21
2018, June, 18, 14:00:00

U.S. IS BETTER

IMF - Within the next few years, the U.S. economy is expected to enter its longest expansion in recorded history. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and the approved increase in spending are providing a significant boost to the economy. We forecast growth of close to 3 percent this year but falling from that level over the medium-term. In my discussions with Secretary Mnuchin he was clear that he regards our medium-term outlook as too pessimistic. Frankly, I hope he is right. That would be good for both the U.S. and the world economy.

OIL PRICE UP TO $50.21
2018, June, 18, 13:55:00

U.S. ECONOMY UP

IMF - The near-term outlook for the U.S. economy is one of strong growth and job creation. Unemployment is already near levels not seen since the late 1960s and growth is set to accelerate, aided by a near-term fiscal stimulus, a welcome recovery of private investment, and supportive financial conditions. These positive outturns have supported, and been reinforced by, a favorable external environment with a broad-based pick up in global activity. Next year, the U.S. economy is expected to mark the longest expansion in its recorded history. The balance of evidence suggests that the U.S. economy is beyond full employment.

OIL PRICE UP TO $50.21
2018, June, 18, 13:50:00

U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN 0.1%

U.S. FRB - Industrial production edged down 0.1 percent in May after rising 0.9 percent in April. Manufacturing production fell 0.7 percent in May, largely because truck assemblies were disrupted by a major fire at a parts supplier. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, factory output moved down 0.2 percent. The index for mining rose 1.8 percent, its fourth consecutive month of growth; the output of utilities moved up 1.1 percent. At 107.3 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 3.5 percent higher in May than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector decreased 0.2 percentage point in May to 77.9 percent, a rate that is 1.9 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2017) average.

OIL PRICE UP TO $50.21
2018, June, 18, 13:45:00

SOUTH AFRICA: NO BENEFITS

IMF - South Africa’s potential is significant, yet growth over the past five years has not benefitted from the global recovery. The economy is globally positioned, sophisticated, and diversified, and several sectors—agribusiness, mining, manufacturing, and services—have capacity for expansion. Combined with strong institutions and a young workforce, opportunities are vast. However, several constraints have held growth back. Policy uncertainty and a regulatory environment not conducive to private investment have resulted in GDP growth rates that have not kept up with those of population growth, reducing income per capita, and hurting disproportionately the poor.

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