RUSSIA WILL STABLE
BLOOMBERG published, Russian oil and gas companies will maintain stable capital spending in the next few years, while the global industry cuts back, thanks in part to advantages provided by the country's currency.
The cumulative capital expenditure in ruble terms of Russian oil companies increased by 13 percent on an annual basis last year and will remain stable this year before falling by mid-single-digit percentages in 2017 and 2018. They can manage this because ruble flexibility provides a buffer against low oil prices.
While most international oil companies are curbing spending to withstand the slump in crude prices, Russian producers have been able to avoid cuts in ruble terms because of their currency's depreciation against the dollar. Rosneft PJSC, Russia's biggest oil producer, said on June 8 its capital expenditure rose 20 percent in the first quarter compared to a year ago.
A recent recovery in the exchange rate has producers monitoring currency markets closely. A downgrade to Russia's credit rating or tax increases for producers are also potential threats to the companies' plans. After an increase last year, taxes are likely to stay elevated for the next two years.
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REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 72 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 1020 GMT, having fallen by 1.5 percent on Tuesday, its largest one-day drop in a month. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.12 per barrel, down 58 cents.
BLOOMBERG - Prices dropped during the session as the International Energy Agency said the recent recovery in oil prices, coupled with milder-than-normal winter weather, is slowing demand growth. The worsening outlook for consumption dampened some of the enthusiasm that OPEC and its allies will extend supply curbs.
Global energy needs rise more slowly than in the past but still expand by 30% between today and 2040. This is the equivalent of adding another China and India to today’s global demand.
Product exports have grown significantly over the past several years and are expected to continue to grow as Russian refineries add capacity to produce more high-quality products.