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2016-08-10 18:55:00

OIL PRICES: $42 - $52

OIL PRICES: $42 - $52

 

OIL PRICES JUL - AUG 2016

 

OIL PRICES SEP 2015 - AUG 2016

 

OIL PRICES JUL 2015 - JUL 2016

 

 

WTI OIL PRICE 2015 - 2017

 

According to EIA, benchmark North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $45/barrel (b) in July, a $3/b decrease from June. This was the first monthly decrease since the Brent price fell to a 12-year low of $31/b in January 2016.

Brent crude oil prices are forecast to average $42/b in 2016 and $52/b in 2017. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices are forecast to be slightly less than Brent in 2016 and the same as Brent in 2017. The current values of futures and options contracts suggest high uncertainty in the price outlook.

The monthly average spot price of Brent crude oil decreased by $3/b in July to $45/b, which was the first monthly decrease since January 2016. Significant outages of global oil supply contributed to rising oil prices during the second quarter of 2016. However, concerns about future economic growth related to the United Kingdom's June 23 vote to exit the European Union and the easing of supply disruptions in Canada contributed to falling oil prices in late June. Prices continued to fall in July because of concerns about high levels of U.S. and global petroleum product inventories, despite relatively strong demand, and because of growing U.S. oil rig counts. The Baker Hughes U.S. active oil rig count increased for six consecutive weeks in July and early August, the longest stretch of weekly increases in almost a year.

EIA expects global oil inventory builds to average 0.5 million b/d in the second half of 2016, limiting upward price pressures in the coming months. Brent prices are forecast to average $43/b during the second half of 2016. However, daily and even monthly price variations could be significant as economic and geopolitical events affect market participants' expectations of oil market balances.

EIA expects consistent global oil inventory draws to begin in mid-2017. The expectation of inventory draws contributes to accelerating price increases in the second quarter of 2017, with price increases continuing later in 2017. Brent prices are forecast to average $52/b in 2017. Forecast Brent prices average $58/b in the fourth quarter of 2017, reflecting the potential for more significant inventory draws beyond the forecast period.

Average West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices are forecast to be slightly less than Brent prices in 2016 and the same as Brent prices in 2017. The relative price parity of WTI with Brent in the forecast period is based on the assumption of competition between the two crudes in the U.S. Gulf Coast refinery market, because transportation price differentials to move the crudes from their respective pricing points to that market are similar.

The current values of futures and options contracts highlight the heightened volatility and high uncertainty in the oil price outlook. WTI futures contracts for November 2016 delivery that were traded during the five-day period ending August 4 averaged $42/b, and implied volatility averaged 42%. These levels established the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence interval for the market's expectations of monthly average WTI prices in November 2016 at $29/b and $61/b, respectively. The 95% confidence interval for market expectations widens over time, with lower and upper limits of $22/b and $104/b for prices in December 2017. At this time in 2015, WTI for November 2015 delivery averaged $47/b, and implied volatility averaged 37%, with the corresponding lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence interval at $34/b and $64/b.

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Earlier: 

OIL PRICE: $45.5 

OIL PRICES UP TO $44.4 

PRICE'S TALKS: NO NEED 

OIL PRICES: $40 - $50 

OPEC: DEMAND WILL UP

 

 

Tags: OIL, PRICES,

Chronicle:

OIL PRICES: $42 - $52
2018, February, 16, 23:15:00

DEWA INVESTS $22 BLN

AOG - The Dubai Electricity & Water Authority (DEWA) is to invest around $22bn on new energy projects across the next five years, with the renewables sector accounting for an increasing share of electricity generation, according to CEO Saeed Mohammed Al Tayer.

OIL PRICES: $42 - $52
2018, February, 16, 23:10:00

TRANSCANADA NET INCOME $3.0 BLN

TRANSCANADA - TransCanada Corporation (TSX:TRP) (NYSE:TRP) (TransCanada or the Company) announced net income attributable to common shares for fourth quarter 2017 of $861 million or $0.98 per share compared to a net loss of $358 million or $0.43 per share for the same period in 2016. For the year ended December 31, 2017, net income attributable to common shares was $3.0 billion or $3.44 per share compared to net income of $124 million or $0.16 per share in 2016.

OIL PRICES: $42 - $52
2018, February, 16, 23:05:00

RUSSIAN NUCLEAR FOR CONGO

ROSATOM - February 13, 2018, Moscow. – ROSATOM and the Ministry of Scientific Research and Technological Innovations of the Republic of Congo today signed a Memorandum of Understanding on cooperation in the field of peaceful uses of atomic energy.

OIL PRICES: $42 - $52
2018, February, 16, 23:00:00

U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN 0.1%

FRB - Industrial production edged down 0.1 percent in January following four consecutive monthly increases. Manufacturing production was unchanged in January. Mining output fell 1.0 percent, with all of its major component industries recording declines, while the index for utilities moved up 0.6 percent. At 107.2 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 3.7 percent higher in January than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector fell 0.2 percentage point in January to 77.5 percent, a rate that is 2.3 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2017) average.

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