OIL PRICES: $46 STILL
NASDAQ wrote, oil prices edged up Wednesday, supported by potential production caps by OPEC in November and ahead of a possible decline in U.S. stock levels.
The November contract for global crude benchmark Brent was up 0.78% at $46.33 while its U.S. counterpart West Texas Intermediate gained 0.58% to hit $44.94.
Some analysts remain skeptical, however.
Germany's Commerzbank said in a note that current output from OPEC is already high enough to mean that the global surplus of crude wouldn't fall as forecast in 2017. It added that any additional production from individual members would further exacerbate the issue.
"It is easy to forget that Nigeria and Libya also want to be allowed to step up their output, which is likely to account for over 1 million barrels a day," the note said.
Other analysts believe Saudi Arabia's offer to trim production by 500,000 barrels a day would be woefully inadequate, with Olivier Jakob from Switzerland-based Petromatrix going as far to brand the offer a "trick."
"A meaningful OPEC deal requires Saudi Arabia to cut by at least 1 million barrels a day and not just by its usual summer-to-winter seasonal variation, but we see no signs that this is about to happen," Mr. Jakob said in a note.
Traders are also awaiting the weekly U.S. inventory data due later Wednesday. Analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect the Energy Information Administration to report domestic crude stockpiles rose last week.
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the week ended Sept. 23 showed a 752,000-barrel drop in crude supplies, a 3.7-million-barrel decrease in gasoline stocks and a 343,000-barrel decline in distillate inventories, according to a market participant.
Nymex reformulated gasoline blendstock for October--the benchmark gasoline contract--rose 137 points to $1.4074 a gallon, while October diesel traded at $1.4125, 26 points higher.
ICE gasoil for October changed hands at $413.50 a metric ton, up $3.50 from Tuesday's settlement.
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REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 72 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 1020 GMT, having fallen by 1.5 percent on Tuesday, its largest one-day drop in a month. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.12 per barrel, down 58 cents.
BLOOMBERG - Prices dropped during the session as the International Energy Agency said the recent recovery in oil prices, coupled with milder-than-normal winter weather, is slowing demand growth. The worsening outlook for consumption dampened some of the enthusiasm that OPEC and its allies will extend supply curbs.
Global energy needs rise more slowly than in the past but still expand by 30% between today and 2040. This is the equivalent of adding another China and India to today’s global demand.
Product exports have grown significantly over the past several years and are expected to continue to grow as Russian refineries add capacity to produce more high-quality products.