SAUDI CUTS DEFICIT $20 BLN
BLOOMBERG wrote, Saudi Arabia is intensifying efforts to shrink the highest budget deficit among the world's biggest 20 economies, aiming to cancel more than $20 billion of projects and slash ministry budgets by a quarter, people familiar with the matter said.
The government is reviewing thousands of projects valued at about 260 billion riyals ($69 billion) and may cancel a third of them, three people said, asking not to be identified as the discussions are private. The measures would impact the budget for several years, according to two of the people.
A separate plan includes merging some government ministries and eliminating others, two people said, also speaking on condition of anonymity.
The world's biggest oil exporter is taking unprecedented steps to rein in a budget shortfall that ballooned to 16 percent of gross domestic product last year, curtailing fuel and utility subsidies as well as cutting billions of dollars in spending. The International Monetary Fund expects the shortfall to drop to below 10 percent of GDP in 2017.
The Finance Ministry declined to comment, while officials at the Ministry of Economy and Planning weren't available for comment when contacted by Bloomberg. Several senior government officials are accompanying Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on an Asian tour.
"The revenue and economic diversification strategy being pursued will only start to yield results over the medium- to long-term," Raza Agha, VTB Capital's chief economist for the Middle East and Africa, said by e-mail. "In the short term, it is a question of living with lower oil prices by cutting some capital spending, and financing what's left via debt sales and drawing down foreign reserves."
The benchmark Tadawul All Share Index fell 0.2 percent at the close in Riyadh. The measure has dropped 17 percent over the past 12 months.
Prince Mohammed is leading plans for the biggest economic shakeup in the kingdom's history to reduce the economy's reliance on oil after the plunge in crude prices. His blueprint includes selling a stake in oil giant Aramco and creating the world's biggest sovereign wealth fund.
In the meantime, however, efforts to repair public finances are slowing the expansion of the biggest Arab economy, with non-oil gross domestic product contracting in the first quarter of this year.
"Much lower government spending will translate into lower private sector growth, which is already started to be seen in economic indicators this year," said John Sfakianakis, director of economic research at the Gulf Research Center. "It's a double edged sword as the government has to rationalize spending because of the drop in oil revenues."
Iran's oil minister Bijan Zanganeh has offered cautious backing to plans to cap production at a meeting of major producers this month, saying he wanted to see prices between $50 and $60 a barrel.
Following a meeting with Opec's new secretary general Mohammed Barkindo, who has been trying to shore up backing for the plan, Mr Zanganeh said Tehran backs any measure aimed at stabilising the oil market, according to comments carried by state TV, writes David Sheppard, Deputy Commodities Editor.
"Iran wants a stable market and therefore any measure that helps the stabilisation of the oil market is supported by Iran," Mr Zanganeh said. "We support oil prices between $50 and $60 per barrel."
His comments stopped short of confirming Iran would join the output freeze plan, but the conciliatory tone may boost hopes for an agreement in Algiers later this month.
Iran's refusal to join a similar plan in April led Saudi Arabia, its chief regional rival, to scuttle the Doha-based talks. This time, however, Iran has agreed to attend the meeting, which is being held on the sidelines of the International Energy Forum on September 26-28.
On Monday, Saudi Arabia and non-Opec member Russia signed a pact to cooperate to stabilise markets, saying they could agree to freeze output in the future. Iran's status remains a possible sticking point for Saudi Arabia, however.
Iran has long argued that it cannot cap production while its exports are recovering from years of western sanctions, which were only lifted in January. But its production has risen since April and it is now within touching distance of the approximately 4m barrel a day level most analysts think it is targeting in the short run.
Russian president Vladimir Putin on Monday said Iran should be given leeway given its lost exports under sanctions. Saudi Arabia's oil minister, Khalid al Falih, indicated however he believed Iran's production was already high enough.
The decision may come down to Saudi Arabia's powerful deputy crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, known as MBS, who is said to have been behind Riyadh's decision to abandon the freeze plan five months ago.
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Saudi Arabia is considering delaying the international portion of the giant initial public offering of its state oil company until at least 2019, according to people familiar with the situation, who said a domestic share sale in Riyadh could still happen next year.
But we expect a rise in the sector's NPL ratio and muted credit demand in the second half of 2017 and 2018, reflecting the slowing economy. GDP growth slowed to 1.4% in 2016 from 3.4% in 2015 and we expect it to be below 1% in 2017 and 2018.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia have been cutting oil production this year to bring fuel inventories in industrialized nations back in line with the five-year average.
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