U.S. OIL + 81 TBD, GAS + 827 MCFD
Oil and gas production from the Anadarko, Appalachia, Bakken, Eagle Ford, Haynesville, Niobrara, and Permian, taking into consideration the regions' total number of active drilling rigs, drilling productivity, and estimated changes in production from existing oil and gas wells.
The Permian is projected to supply 50,000 b/d of the overall rise, bringing its November output to 2.663 million b/d. EIA estimates the basin's count of drilled-but-uncompleted (DUC) wells climbed by 93 month-over-month in September to 2,416. Its Baker Hughes rig count has mostly avoided the downward momentum seen in other regions in recent months.
EIA projected Permian production to increase 260,000 b/d in the second half compared with the first half to average 2.6 million b/d.
The Niobrara shale and Anadarko region are each expected to rise by 9,000 b/d month-over-month in November to 515,000 b/d and 474,000 b/d, respectively. The Bakken is projected to gain 8,000 b/d during the month to 1.1 million b/d.
The Anadarko’s DUC tally rose by 25 in September to 962, while the Niobrara’s gained 16 to 742. The Bakken’s was static at 772.
Eagle Ford oil output is forecast to increase 2,000 b/d in November to 1.216 million b/d. Its DUC count jumped by 43 in September to 1,444 despite the residual effects of Hurricane Harvey and an ongoing rig count decline that started in June.
EIA also projects second-half crude production increases in the Niobrara, up 75,000 b/d to 500,000 b/d; the Anadarko, up 42,000 b/d to 460,000 b/d; the Bakken, up 31,000 b/d to 1.1 million b/d; and the Eagle Ford, up 5,000 b/d to 1.2 million b/d.
EIA forecasts natural gas production from the seven regions to climb 827 MMcfd month-over-month in November to 60.94 bcfd.
Each region is seen contributing an increase, with the Appalachia region up 398 MMcfd to 25.693 bcfd, Permian up 154 MMcfd to 9.059 bcfd, Haynesville up 146 MMcfd to 7.27 bcfd, Niobrara up 50 MMcfd to 4.769 bcfd, Anadarko up 38 MMcfd to 5.994 bcfd, Bakken up 23 MMcfd to 2.028 bcfd, and Eagle Ford up 18,000 b/d to 6.124 bcfd.
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REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 72 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 1020 GMT, having fallen by 1.5 percent on Tuesday, its largest one-day drop in a month. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.12 per barrel, down 58 cents.
BLOOMBERG - Prices dropped during the session as the International Energy Agency said the recent recovery in oil prices, coupled with milder-than-normal winter weather, is slowing demand growth. The worsening outlook for consumption dampened some of the enthusiasm that OPEC and its allies will extend supply curbs.
Global energy needs rise more slowly than in the past but still expand by 30% between today and 2040. This is the equivalent of adding another China and India to today’s global demand.
Product exports have grown significantly over the past several years and are expected to continue to grow as Russian refineries add capacity to produce more high-quality products.