ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: СНОВА ВЫШЕ $61
РЕЙТЕР , BLOOMBERG - Цены на нефть серьёзно снижаются утром в среду, продолжая негативную динамику вчерашних торгов, которая среди прочего была спровоцирована прогнозом замедления темпов роста спроса на сырьё.
К 9.32 МСК фьючерсы на нефть сорта Brent опустились на 1,27 процента до $61,42 за баррель.
Фьючерсные контракты на американскую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $55,07 за баррель, на 1,13 процента ниже предыдущего закрытия.
Международное энергетическое агентство (МЭА) понизило прогноз роста глобального спроса на нефть на 100.000 баррелей в сутки в текущем и следующем годах до 1,5 миллиона баррелей в сутки и 1,3 миллиона баррелей в сутки соответственно.
"Нефтяному рынку придётся непросто в 1-м квартале 2018 года, так как предложение, как предполагается, превысит спрос на 600.000 баррелей в сутки. Во втором квартале следующего года избыток ожидается на уровне 200.000 баррелей в сутки", – говорится в обзоре ведомства.
Замедление темпов роста спроса означает, что мировое потребление нефти может не перешагнуть за 100 миллионов баррелей в сутки в следующем году, как многие ждут, а вот предложение, вероятно, пробьёт эту отметку.
Среди других факторов давления аналитики называют рост нефтедобычи в США.
По данным Управления энергетической информации (EIA), за неделю к 3 ноября она увеличилась до 9,62 миллиона баррелей в сутки, что превышает уровень 2016 года более чем на 14 процентов.
Более того, добыча ресурсов сланцевой нефти в США в декабре вырастет 12-й месяц подряд, свидетельствуют расчёты ведомства.
Запасы нефти в США на прошлой неделе также выросли, свидетельствуют данные Американского института нефти (API).
В фокусе внимания инвесторов – официальная статистика от EIA.
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Раньше:
November, 14, 18:10:00
К 16.55 МСК фьючерсы на нефть сорта Brent опустились на 0,62 процента до $62,77 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $56,42 за баррель, на 0,6 процента ниже предыдущего закрытия.
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November, 14, 18:05:00
PLATTS - Nigeria's Bonny Light crude has seen its price rise to its highest levels since February, as the grade began to trade in a more regular fashion in the spot market following several months of disruption due to loading delays and forces majeures.
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November, 13, 10:50:00
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $63.55 per barrel at 0614 GMT, up 3 cents from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $56.79 per barrel, up 5 cents.
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November, 13, 10:45:00
The price of OPEC basket of fourteen crudes stood at $61.72 a barrel on Thursday, compared with $61.61 the previous day, according to OPEC Secretariat calculations.
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November, 3, 12:35:00
Нефть на текущей неделе достигла уровня $61,70 за баррель Brent впервые с июля 2015 года из-за ожиданий дальнейшей пролонгации пакта ОПЕК+ о сокращении добычи.
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November, 9, 13:55:00
North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $58 per barrel (b) in October, an increase of $1/b from the average in September. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $53/b in 2017 and $56/b in 2018.
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October, 27, 19:30:00
Отвечая на вопрос о прогнозе мирового потребления нефти, Александр Новак отметил, что спрос на нефть будет расти в ближайшие пару десятилетий, но более низкими темпами, чем рост экономики. «Чуть меньше 1% в период ближайших 15-20 лет», - пояснил Министр.
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OIL PRICE: ABOVE $61 AGAIN
REUTERS, BLOOMBERG - Oil prices slipped for the fourth day in a row on Wednesday on a gloomy outlook for oil demand growth from the International Energy Agency and worries that data expected later in the day would show U.S. output rising, undermining OPEC cuts.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 72 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 1020 GMT, having fallen by 1.5 percent on Tuesday, its largest one-day drop in a month.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $55.12 per barrel, down 58 cents.
The Brent price has now shed nearly 5 percent in value since hitting its highest since mid 2015 last week. Losses were compounded on Tuesday after an unexpectedly gloomy global demand outlook from the Paris-based IEA.
"Yesterday's drop had to do with the world energy outlook, which was to me a bit of a surprise," said Hans van Cleef, senior energy economist at ABN Amro.
The IEA on Tuesday cut its oil demand growth forecast by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) for both 2017 and 2018 to an estimated 1.5 million bpd and 1.3 million bpd respectively.
The demand slowdown could mean world oil consumption may not, as many expect, breach 100 million bpd next year, while supplies are likely to exceed that level.
The IEA report countered a regular market update from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which just a day earlier said 2018 would see a strong rise in oil demand.
Van Cleef said data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration expected at 1530 GMT could weigh on prices if it confirms the rise in U.S. crude inventories reported by the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday.
The API said that U.S. crude inventories rose by 6.5 million barrels in the week to Nov. 10 to 461.8 million, confounding expectations for a drop of 2.2 million barrels .
"If data this afternoon (shows) a build in inventories rather than a draw, that could be used as an argument to sell some of the extensive long positions," van Cleef said.
On the supply side, rising U.S. output also pressured prices.
U.S. oil production has already increased by more than 14 percent since mid-2016 to 9.62 million bpd and is expected to grow further.
The IEA said non-OPEC production will add 1.4 million bpd of additional production in 2018.
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Earlier:
November, 14, 18:10:00
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $63.55 per barrel at 0614 GMT, up 3 cents from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $56.79 per barrel, up 5 cents.
|
November, 14, 18:05:00
PLATTS - Nigeria's Bonny Light crude has seen its price rise to its highest levels since February, as the grade began to trade in a more regular fashion in the spot market following several months of disruption due to loading delays and forces majeures.
|
November, 13, 10:50:00
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $63.55 per barrel at 0614 GMT, up 3 cents from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $56.79 per barrel, up 5 cents.
|
November, 13, 10:45:00
The price of OPEC basket of fourteen crudes stood at $61.72 a barrel on Thursday, compared with $61.61 the previous day, according to OPEC Secretariat calculations.
|
November, 9, 13:55:00
North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $58 per barrel (b) in October, an increase of $1/b from the average in September. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $53/b in 2017 and $56/b in 2018.
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November, 7, 12:35:00
Barclays raised its Brent oil price forecast, saying Brent will average $60/bbl during the fourth quarter and will average $55/bbl in 2018. The average 2018 forecast was up $3 compared with Barclays earlier forecast.
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October, 11, 12:50:00
Based on a “lower-for-longer” base-case scenario, global oil prices will remain in the $50-60/bbl range until late 2020, due to increasing supply that breaks even at $50/bbl, according to to the most recent global oil supply and demand outlook from McKinsey Energy Insights (MEI).
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