OIL PRICE: ABOVE $63 TOO
BLOOMBERG - Oil headed for its best weekly advance in a month after an outage on the Keystone pipeline added to speculation crude supply could tighten and as investors await OPEC's decision on extending output curbs.
Futures gained as much as 1 percent in New York. News that TransCanada Corp. was said to have cut 85 percent of Keystone's November shipments because of last week's spill in South Dakota has helped West Texas Intermediate prices head toward a 3.4 percent gain this week. Meanwhile, Brent crude has climbed just 1.1 percent, leading to the narrowest spread on a closing basis between the grades since early September.
The U.S. benchmark settled above $58 a barrel for the first time since mid-2015 this week on heightened optimism the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will agree to prolong cuts at a Nov. 30 meeting in Vienna. Prices are up more than 7 percent in November, heading for a third monthly gain in what would be their longest winning streak since May last year.
"The Keystone outage is putting upward pressure on oil prices," Kim Yumi, a Seoul-based market strategist at Kiwoom Securities Co., said by phone. "While expectations over OPEC's supply-curb extension has already been reflected in prices, there's a high chance we may lose a clear price direction next week as the market may take a wait-and-see stance close to the meeting."
WTI for January delivery was at $58.43 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:25 p.m. in Singapore, up 41 cents. The contract added $1.19 to $58.02 on Wednesday. There was no settlement Thursday because of the Thanksgiving holiday in the U.S. and all transactions will be booked Friday.
Brent for January settlement lost 14 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $63.41 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices rose 23 cents to $63.55 on Thursday. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $4.98 to WTI.
This week, the front-month contract for WTI on Nymex turned more expensive than the second-month contract, a structure known as backwardation, driven by the Nov. 16 shutdown of the Keystone pipeline after a spill.
Also aiding prices this week is data showing U.S. crude inventories declined to about 457.1 million in the week ended Nov. 17, according to the Energy Information Administration. Stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, dropped by 1.83 million barrels to 61.2 million, the largest draw since July. Meanwhile, American production gained for a fifth week to 9.66 million barrels a day.
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REUTERS - State oil company Saudi Aramco last week raised prices for all crude oil grades to Asia in January.
U.S. BLS - Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 228,000 in November, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in professional and business services, manufacturing, and health care.
Отклонение нефтегазовых доходов федерального бюджета от месячной оценки, соответствующей Федеральному закону о федеральном бюджете на 2017-2019 годы, в декабре 2017 года прогнозируется в размере +204,8 млрд руб.
“Tight oil supplies are the wild card. They have reshaped the global outlook in recent years,” observed Ayed S. Al-Qahtani, who directs the research division at the OPEC Secretariat in Vienna. “US tight oil supplies will be the most important contributor but are expected to reach their peak around 2025.”