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2017-12-20 19:35:00

SAUDIS EXPECTS +12%

SAUDIS EXPECTS +12%

BLOOMBERG Saudi Arabia expects oil revenue to jump 12 percent next year in a sign the world's biggest crude exporter expects prices to keep rising in 2018.

 

The top OPEC producer expects to collect 492 billion riyals ($131 billion) from oil sales in 2018, compared with 440 billion riyals this year, the Finance Ministry said on Tuesday in a budget statement. Non-oil revenue will climb to 291 billion riyals from 256 billion riyals in 2017.

Oil is on course for a second annual gain after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies agreed to extend production curbs through the end of 2018. Compliance with OPEC cuts rose to 115 percent in November, the highest since the agreement took effect in January, according to the International Energy Agency. Brent crude was trading at $63.98 a barrel at 10:57 a.m. in Dubai, up 13 percent this year.

"Assuming Saudi Arabia will continue to comply with the OPEC production cuts throughout 2018, the budgeted increase in oil revenue reflects an expectation of higher export prices," said Ziad Daoud, chief Middle East economist for Bloomberg Economics. Higher exports or an increase in oil prices can help to balance the budget, he said.

The 2018 budget is based on an oil price of about $63 a barrel, Bloomberg Economics estimated. Iraq, OPEC's second-biggest producer, is assuming $46 a barrel for its 2018 budget, pending parliament approval, up from $42 a barrel for this year. Qatar's 2018 budget assumes $45 a barrel while Iran expects to earn $33 billion from oil sales at $50 a barrel.

The Saudi government relies heavily on oil sales for revenue, and its finances have taken a blow since prices started tumbling in 2014. The country's oil exports dropped to 6.8 million barrels a day in October from 8 million at the end of last year. Saudi Arabia stands to now benefit from the rise in oil prices. Total projected revenue next year is at 783 billion riyals, up from 696 billion riyals in 2017. The government intends to spend 978 billion riyals in 2018 compared with 926 billion this year, the Finance Ministry said.

The kingdom implemented austerity measures in 2016 to weather the downturn. In April, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rolled out the Saudi Vision 2030, an economic plan to end the country's "addiction" to oil. The country intends to sell a stake of about five percent in state energy producer Saudi Arabian Oil Co. , the world's biggest oil exporter.

The Finance Ministry's budget statement showed on Tuesday that Saudi Arabia is extending its timeline to cut energy subsidies as the government seeks to offset the impact of austerity measures on the stagnating economy. Domestic gasoline prices will now reach parity with international levels gradually between 2018 and 2025 -- compared to the previous target of 2020, according to the 2018 budget statement.

The plan is subject to change according to fiscal developments, according to the ministry. The government is planning to raise local gasoline prices by about 80 percent in January, a person with knowledge of the matter said earlier this month.

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Earlier:

 SAUDIS OIL FOR JAPAN
2017, December, 11, 09:55:00

SAUDIS OIL FOR JAPAN

REUTERS - State oil company Saudi Aramco last week raised prices for all crude oil grades to Asia in January.

 

 SAUDIS & RUSSIA LEADERSHIP
2017, December, 1, 12:55:00

SAUDIS & RUSSIA LEADERSHIP

PLATTS - Saudi Arabia reasserted its leadership of the oil market Thursday after brokering its desired extension of output cuts with OPEC and non-OPEC partners through to the end of 2018. The deal -- agreed after nearly nine hours of negotiations in Vienna -- kept its new ally Russia onside and prevented a sell-off that many analysts had feared.

 

 SAUDI'S OIL FOR CHINA
2017, November, 24, 09:15:00

SAUDI'S OIL FOR CHINA

BLOOMBERG - As Saudi Arabia led OPEC’s output cuts this year to shrink a global glut, it’s lost out on market share in the world’s biggest energy consumer. Russia in September retained the top Chinese supplier spot for the seventh straight month, while the kingdom was third.

 

 SAUDIS PROGRESS
2017, October, 30, 11:40:00

SAUDIS PROGRESS

IMF - Saudi Arabia had made good progress in initiating its ambitious reform agenda. Fiscal consolidation efforts are beginning to bear fruit. Progress with reforms to improve the business environment are gaining momentum, and a framework to increase the transparency and accountability of government is in place. Effective prioritization, sequencing, and coordination of the reforms is essential, and they need to be well-communicated and equitable to gain social buy-in to ensure their success.

 

 SAUDI'S BANKS ARE BETTER
2017, October, 16, 11:45:00

SAUDI'S BANKS ARE BETTER

But we expect a rise in the sector's NPL ratio and muted credit demand in the second half of 2017 and 2018, reflecting the slowing economy. GDP growth slowed to 1.4% in 2016 from 3.4% in 2015 and we expect it to be below 1% in 2017 and 2018.

 

 RUSSIA - SAUDIS NUCLEAR
2017, October, 7, 12:35:00

RUSSIA - SAUDIS NUCLEAR

WNN - Rosatom and the King Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewable Energy (KA-CARE) signed a 'program of cooperation' in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy in Moscow yesterday as part of Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud's state visit to Russia. The program aims to develop the intergovernmental agreement on cooperation in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy the two countries signed in June 2015.

 

 SAUDI'S DEFICIT DOWN
2017, August, 14, 14:20:00

SAUDI'S DEFICIT DOWN

Saudi Arabia's state budget deficit shrank by a fifth from a year earlier in the second quarter of this year as revenues rose moderately and spending fell marginally, finance ministry figures showed on Sunday.

Tags: SAUDI, ARABIA, REVENUE, ECONOMY, BUDGET

Chronicle:

SAUDIS EXPECTS +12%
2018, July, 16, 10:35:00

CHINA'S INVESTMENT FOR NIGERIA: $14+3 BLN

AN - China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) is willing to invest $3 billion in its existing oil and gas operation in Nigeria, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said on Sunday following a meeting with the Chinese in Abuja.

SAUDIS EXPECTS +12%
2018, July, 16, 10:30:00

LIBYA'S OIL DOWN 160 TBD

REUTERS - Production at Libya’s giant Sharara oil field was expected to fall by at least 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) on Saturday after two staff were abducted in an attack by an unknown group, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) said.

SAUDIS EXPECTS +12%
2018, July, 16, 10:25:00

BAHRAIN'S GDP UP 3.2%

IMF - Output grew by 3.8 percent in 2017, underpinned by a resilient non-hydrocarbon sector, with robust implementation of GCC-funded projects as well as strong activity in the financial, hospitality, and education sectors. The banking system remains stable with large capital buffers. Growth is projected to decelerate over the medium term.

SAUDIS EXPECTS +12%
2018, July, 16, 10:20:00

NIGERIA'S GDP UP 2%

IMF - Higher oil prices and short-term portfolio inflows have provided relief from external and fiscal pressures but the recovery remains challenging. Inflation declined to its lowest level in more than two years. Real GDP expanded by 2 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the first quarter of last year. However, activity in the non-oil non-agricultural sector remains weak as lower purchasing power weighs on consumer demand and as credit risk continues to limit bank lending.

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