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2017-06-05 15:15:00

OIL PRICES: $50 - $60

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: $50 - $60

 

BLOOMBERGA crude price in the $50s is the new reality for bosses of some of the world's largest producers as output caps from OPEC and its allies are balanced out by rising U.S. shale.

Executives of energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell Plc and BP Plc to Russia's Lukoil PJSC and Gazprom PJSC, who gathered this week at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, see an oil price of $50 to $55 at least for this year. 

"Unless something extreme happens, we are not going to get back to much higher," IHS Markit Ltd. Vice Chairman Daniel Yergin, author of the definitive history of the oil industry, said in an interview at the conference on Friday. "The exception was $100 per barrel, that was an aberrant period. The industry is recalibrating to a lower price level." 

After trading at around $100 from 2011 to 2013, oil slumped to about half that level in 2014 and stayed there as members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries battled for market share against a booming U.S. industry. While OPEC returned last year to its more traditional role of cutting output, prices have failed to mount a sustainable recovery amid another surge from American shale producers who have significantly reduced operating costs. 

Shale Problem 

Oil prices fell last week after OPEC and allies including Russia agreed to extend their output cuts for another nine months through March 2018. The slide deepened this week, with international benchmark Brent crude slipping below $50. Part of the problem is that production is increasing in members such as Libya and Nigeria, which are exempt from making cuts as they restore output after internal strife, said BP Chief Executive Officer Bob Dudley. 

In the view of Igor Sechin, the Rosneft CEO and close ally of President Vladimir Putin, shale oil is another problem. Output could increase by about 1.5 million barrels a day next year, not much below the 1.8 million barrel-a-day cut implemented by OPEC and its allies. 

"A decrease in production under an agreement between OPEC and non-OPEC could largely be balanced out by an increase in U.S. shale oil production by the middle of 2018," Sechin said. 

The pact between OPEC and its allies is "a good deal" and the market needs some "stable policy," said Total CEO Patrick Pouyanne. Even so, he said it's difficult to predict if the deal could be extended further into 2018. His BP counterpart agreed. 

"It's sort of unprecedented agreement," said Dudley. "My view is we won't know until the very last minute" whether it will continue.

-----

Earlier: 

OIL PRICE: ABOVE $49 

НИЗКИЕ ЦЕНЫ НАДОЛГО 

U.S. OIL INVENTORIES DOWN 

ЦЕНА URALS: $51,29 

MARGINAL OIL: NOT ENOUGH 

OIL COULD BE $50 

OIL PRICE: ABOVE $50 

 

Tags: НЕФТЬ, ЦЕНА, OIL, PRICE, BRENT, WTI

Chronicle:

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: $50 - $60
2018, January, 19, 12:15:00

S.KOREA'S DIVERSIFICATION

PLATTS - For full-year 2017, South Korea's crude imports from its biggest supplier Saudi Arabia fell 1.7% to 319.02 million barrels, compared with 324.45 million barrels in the previous year, customs data showed. On the contrary, South Korea has imported 1.77 million mt, or around 13 million barrels, of crude from the US in 2017, about four times higher than in 2016. Shipments from Russia grew to 140,000 b/d last year from 112,000 b/d in 2016.

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: $50 - $60
2018, January, 19, 12:10:00

ADNOC'S 2030 STRATEGY

AOG - ADNOC’s 2030 strategy, he said, aims to capitalise on predicted global economic growth and demand for oil and petrochemical products, particularly in non-OECD countries. As its business responds to changing market dynamics, the company will continue to broaden its partnership base, strengthen its profitability, adapt to new realities and expand market access.

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: $50 - $60
2018, January, 19, 12:05:00

TOSHIBA SELLS WESTINGHOUSE

WNN - Under the terms of the assignment and purchase agreement it has signed with Nucleus and Brookfield, Toshiba will sell its rights to assert claims against Westinghouse related to the parent guarantees in the amount of $5.788 billion, and on account of other claims Toshiba holds against Westinghouse in the amount of $2.284 billion to Nucleus, for the sale price of $2.160 billion.

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: $50 - $60
2018, January, 17, 23:50:00

OIL PRICES: NOT ABOVE $70 YET

REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $69.23 a barrel at 0808 GMT, up 8 cents from their last close, but down from a high of $69.37 earlier in the day. Brent on Monday rose to $70.37 a barrel, its highest since December 2014, the start of a three-year oil price slump. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $63.84 a barrel, down from a high of $63.89 earlier, but up 11 cents from their last settlement. WTI hit $64.89 on Tuesday, also the highest since December 2014.

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