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2018-02-12 07:35:00

GAS SHORTAGE FOR EUROPE

МЕНЬШЕ ГАЗА ДЛЯ ЕВРОПЫ

REUTERS - Europe will face a gas shortage and price spike as soon as the next decade if it doesn't decide quickly to boost imports from Russia as gas purchases from the United States or Qatar fail to match demand, Kremlin energy giant Gazprom told Reuters.

The Trump administration has said it intends to level the playing field in energy markets by offering U.S. gas to Europe and Asia, citing a need to reduce what it calls the market-distorting power of actors such as Russia and OPEC.

Russian gas supplies to Europe have become increasingly politicized since Moscow cut supplies to Ukraine in the last decade amid pricing disputes and after Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014.

The West has accused Russia of using gas as a political weapon. Moscow has responded by blaming the West for blocking its new pipeline projects for political rather than economic reasons.

The warning about a possible supply crunch comes as Gazprom prepares to start large-scale deliveries to China in a move reminiscent of Russia's oil strategy, under which Moscow became a major supplier to Beijing at the expense of Europe.

Gazprom's deputy head Alexander Medvedev said the company would have enough supplies for both Europe and Asia but it was time for Europe to decide where it should source gas as the continent's demand was rising and its production shrinking.

"Europe completely miscalculated when they assumed that they won't need much additional gas and if they need some it can be supplied from outside Russia," Medvedev, who looks after exports for the world's top gas producer and exporter, said.

Despite repeated warnings from Europe about an over-reliance on Russian gas, Gazprom's exports to the continent jumped 8 percent last year to an all-time high of 194 billion cubic meters on higher demand and lower prices. That gave the company a record European market share of 35 percent.

Medvedev said the share could rise above 40 percent as Europe's gas demand rises, Dutch and British production falls and Norway's output growth should slow after 2025. U.S. supplies will remain modest, expensive and would mainly go to Asia.

"Many serious analysts will come up with a model for you showing that Europe will soon face a major gas crunch and, what is worse - a steep rise in prices," Medvedev said.

"Regarding calls about the need to cut reliance on Russian gas, should we in Russia be speaking about an over-reliance on money from one continent? Like from the dollar or euro? What it all means in fact is that we are mutually dependent".

Some analysts say the global market for liquefied natural gas (LNG) is oversupplied and will remain so for the next five or six years. Europe's gas demand has slowed due to energy efficiency and increased use of renewables, they say.

BOOMING ASIAN MARKETS

Gazprom will begin pipeline supplies to China next year. The company wants to take at least a one-tenth market share there by 2025, when it builds another major route.

"We can supply as much gas as needed to Europe even though we are entering a new market in China. But Europe needs to decide now. They need to start thinking right now about who will cover additional demand after 2025. Unfortunately there is no energy dialogue between Russia and the EU," Medvedev said.

He added that even if Gazprom builds its two new pipelines to Europe on time - Nord Stream 2 under the Baltic Sea and Turkish Stream for Europe's south - it will not be enough to balance rising demand and shrinking supply.

"And LNG will not be able to cover that gap," he said, adding that U.S. supplies would remain modest and Qatar would probably send large volumes to premium Asian markets.

Qatar, the largest producer and exporter of liquefied natural gas, has announced plans to expand its annual LNG production to 100 million tonnes from the current 77 million.

Medvedev said Qatar was probably Gazprom's biggest competitor in terms of volume but that markets were growing so fast in China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Vietnam that they would consume all new supply.

"We have been hearing all these tales about a looming gas bubble for so many years. But it didn't happen. I'm sure the market will balance itself," he said. "We will soon see Asian demand reaching 1 trillion cubic meters."

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Earlier:

 W.Europe
2018, January, 31, 11:05:00

U.S. - RUSSIA SANCTIONS ANEW

REUTERS - U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said in Warsaw on Saturday that the United States sees Nord Stream 2 as a threat to Europe’s energy security.

 

 W.Europe
2018, January, 31, 10:50:00

GAZPROM SHARE 35%

REUTERS - Speaking at the European Gas Conference in Vienna, Gazprom Chairman Viktor Zubkov said the company’s share of the European gas market, where it generates the majority of its revenue, rose last year to a record high of more than 35 percent, from about 33 percent in 2016.

 

 W.Europe
2018, January, 29, 08:30:00

U.S. WANT RUSSIA'S MARKET SHARE

BLOOMBERG - The expansion of Russia’s gas pipeline to Germany under the Baltic Sea, which bypasses a number of east European nations, will allow the Kremlin to use energy as a “political tool,” U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said in Warsaw.

 

W.Europe
2018, January, 24, 11:55:00

GAZPROM'S TURKSTREAM UNDERWAY

GAZPROM - The TurkStream project is well underway. In accordance with the plan, it is carried out simultaneously at three sections: onshore in Russia and Turkey and offshore in the Black Sea.

W.Europe
2017, December, 22, 22:40:00

NEW GAZPROM'S RECORD

GAZPROM - Last year, Gazprom exported a record 179.3 billion cubic meters of gas to Europe. The upward trend continued this year: as early as December 8, 2017, last year’s record was beaten, with total exports reaching 179.8 billion cubic meters of gas.

 W.Europe
2017, December, 11, 10:20:00

RUSSIAN GAZPROM'S NEW RECORD

PLATTS - Taking into account the nominated volume for Friday, Gazprom will have exported 179.8 Bcm to what it calls the Far Abroad -- Europe and Turkey, but not the countries of the former Soviet Union -- higher than last year's then record high of 179.3 Bcm.

 

 W.Europe
2017, November, 20, 09:20:00

RUSSIA'S GAS FOR EUROPE UP

Gazprom's natural gas supplies to western Europe edged up by 3% year on year in the third quarter of 2017, according to an S&P Global Platts analysis of Gazprom data, as Russian gas deliveries to its core markets continue to outpace last year's levels.

 

 

 

 

Tags: GAZPROM, RUSSIA, GAS, EUROPE, USA, QATAR

Chronicle:

МЕНЬШЕ ГАЗА ДЛЯ ЕВРОПЫ
2018, July, 16, 10:35:00

CHINA'S INVESTMENT FOR NIGERIA: $14+3 BLN

AN - China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) is willing to invest $3 billion in its existing oil and gas operation in Nigeria, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said on Sunday following a meeting with the Chinese in Abuja.

МЕНЬШЕ ГАЗА ДЛЯ ЕВРОПЫ
2018, July, 16, 10:30:00

LIBYA'S OIL DOWN 160 TBD

REUTERS - Production at Libya’s giant Sharara oil field was expected to fall by at least 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) on Saturday after two staff were abducted in an attack by an unknown group, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) said.

МЕНЬШЕ ГАЗА ДЛЯ ЕВРОПЫ
2018, July, 16, 10:25:00

BAHRAIN'S GDP UP 3.2%

IMF - Output grew by 3.8 percent in 2017, underpinned by a resilient non-hydrocarbon sector, with robust implementation of GCC-funded projects as well as strong activity in the financial, hospitality, and education sectors. The banking system remains stable with large capital buffers. Growth is projected to decelerate over the medium term.

МЕНЬШЕ ГАЗА ДЛЯ ЕВРОПЫ
2018, July, 16, 10:20:00

NIGERIA'S GDP UP 2%

IMF - Higher oil prices and short-term portfolio inflows have provided relief from external and fiscal pressures but the recovery remains challenging. Inflation declined to its lowest level in more than two years. Real GDP expanded by 2 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the first quarter of last year. However, activity in the non-oil non-agricultural sector remains weak as lower purchasing power weighs on consumer demand and as credit risk continues to limit bank lending.

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