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2018-04-18 13:06:00

U.S. GAS PRODUCTION UP TO 59%

U.S. GAS PRODUCTION UP TO 59%

EIA - U.S. dry natural gas production will increase through 2050 across a wide variety of alternative assumptions about the future. In the Reference case, which is based on current laws and regulations, production grows 59% from 2017 to 2050, starting at 73.6 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2017 and reaching 118 Bcf/d in 2050. In sensitivity cases with different assumptions for natural gas resources and extraction technology, natural gas production also increases through the forecast period, although at different rates.

Beyond 2020, natural gas production grows faster than consumption in all cases except the Low Oil and Gas Resource and Technology case, where production and consumption remain relatively flat because of higher production costs. In the High Oil and Gas Resource and Technology case, with lower production costs, natural gas production grows to 151 Bcf/d in 2050, more than double the 2017 rate of natural gas production.

Although most of the projected production growth in AEO2018 cases comes from the Marcellus and Utica plays in the Appalachian region, associated natural gas from the Permian region in Texas and New Mexico is also projected to be a significant contributor.

Low Oil and Gas Resource and Technology case, EIA projects Henry Hub spot natural gas prices to remain lower than $6.00/million British thermal units (in 2017 dollars) through 2050. Near-term production growth across all cases is supported by growing demand in an environment of low and stable natural gas prices in both domestic and international markets.

Projected increase in domestic natural gas consumption is driven by the industrial and electric power sectors. The U.S. industrial sector, which includes both lease and plant fuel and liquefaction fuel for liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, currently consumes more natural gas than any other sector, and its natural gas consumption is projected to grow faster than in any other sector. EIA expects a 34% increase in industrial natural gas consumption in the Reference case—from 9.8 Bcf/d in 2017 to 13.2 Bcf/d in 2050.

Natural gas to remain the leading source of electricity generation in the United States through 2050, accounting for 35% of electricity generation, an increase from 31% in 2017. Projected natural gas growth in electric power generation is supported by increased competitiveness with renewables after the expiration of renewable tax credits in the mid-2020s and the relatively low forecast natural gas prices throughout the projection.

Natural gas consumption in the residential and commercial sectors to remain relatively flat, despite growth in population, because of efficiency gains in natural gas-consuming equipment such as furnaces, boilers, and water heaters. Continued population shifts away from the colder Northeast to warmer regions in the southern and western United States also reduce overall demand for space heating needs, much of which are currently met with natural gas.

After becoming a net natural gas exporter in 2017, U.S. natural gas exports continue to rise throughout the projection period in the Reference case. Both LNG and pipeline exports to Mexico continue to increase because of increased demand from Mexico's natural gas-fired power plants. However, pipeline exports to Mexico are expected to gradually decrease after 2030 as Mexican energy reforms take hold and Mexican production reverses its current declines.

Although LNG exports from the United States increase through the 2020s as more export terminals come online following the opening of the Sabine Pass and Cove Point LNG export terminals, U.S. LNG exports level off as U.S.-sourced LNG becomes less price competitive with increasing LNG supply from other global suppliers.

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Earlier:

 N.America
2018, April, 16, 09:15:00

U.S. GAS INVESTMENT: $170 BLN

BLOOMBERG - Gas output will expand by 24 billion cubic feet, or 32 percent, through 2025 from last year, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates. To support that growth, the country’s gas industry needs to spend $170 billion over the next seven years on pipelines, compressor stations, export terminals and other related infrastructure, said Meg Gentle, chief executive officer of gas exporter Tellurian Inc.

 

 N.America
2018, April, 11, 13:20:00

U.S. GAS PRODUCTION RECORD

EIA - Two out of three of EIA’s measures of natural gas production in the United States set records in 2017. U.S. natural gas production measured as gross withdrawals reached 90.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2017, the highest volume on record according to EIA’s Monthly Crude Oil, Lease Condensate, and Natural Gas Production Report. U.S. natural gas production measured as marketed natural gas production also reached a new high, but dry natural gas production did not exceed 2015 levels.

 

 N.America
2018, March, 28, 11:10:00

U.S. LNG EXPORTS UP

EIA - U.S. exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) reached 1.94 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2017, up from 0.5 Bcf/d in 2016. As LNG exports increased, shipments went to more destinations. U.S. LNG exports in 2017, all of which originated from Louisiana’s Sabine Pass liquefaction terminal, reached 25 countries.

 

 N.America
2018, March, 23, 08:25:00

U.S. LNG FOR EUROPE ANEW

OGJ - “It’s at a critical point; $150 billion of new infrastructure will be needed domestically. With all the growth in the Permian, there’s not capacity to ship gas to Louisiana,” Hochstein said. “If governments in both the US and Europe aren’t willing to put infrastructure in place, real progress won’t be made.”

 

 N.America
2018, March, 21, 12:40:00

U.S. GAS EXPORT - 2017

EIA - The United States exported more natural gas than it imported in 2017, marking the first time since 1957 that the United States has been a net natural gas exporter. The transition to net exporter occurred as natural gas production in the United States continued to grow, reducing pipeline imports from Canada and increasing exports, both by pipeline and as liquefied natural gas (LNG).

 

 N.America
2018, March, 19, 08:10:00

INCREDIBLE RUSSIA SANCTIONS

FT - “Resilience to the sanctions has been very high. Currently, we see no serious consequences,” said Tatiana Mitrova, director of the Skolkovo Energy Centre in Moscow. “It came as a big surprise to many.” 

 

 N.America
2018, March, 14, 11:00:00

U.S. OIL + 131 TBD, GAS + 969 TBD

EIA - Crude oil production from the major US onshore regions is forecast to increase 131,000 b/d month-over-month in April from 6,823 to 6,954 thousand barrels/day , gas production to increase 969 million cubic feet/day from 65,150 to 66,119 million cubic feet/day .

 

 

Tags: USA, GAS, PRODUCTION

Chronicle:

U.S. GAS PRODUCTION UP TO 59%
2018, May, 21, 10:40:00

U.S. PETROLEUM DEMAND UP BY 750 TBD

API - American Petroleum Institute reported that the first four months of this year saw U.S. petroleum demand average 750 thousand barrels a day above the same period in 2017 despite higher prices, a sign of solid economic activity. April also saw the U.S. produce a record 10.5 million barrels per day (MBD) of oil.

U.S. GAS PRODUCTION UP TO 59%
2018, May, 21, 10:35:00

IMF: EGYPT'S GROWTH UP

IMF - “Egypt’s growth has continued to accelerate during 2017/18, rising to 5.2 percent in the first half of the year from 4.2 percent in 2016/17. The current account deficit has also declined sharply, reflecting the recovery in tourism and strong growth in remittances, while improved investor confidence has continued to support portfolio inflows. In addition, gross international reserves rose to $44 billion by end-April, equal to 7 months of imports.

U.S. GAS PRODUCTION UP TO 59%
2018, May, 21, 10:30:00

U.S. RIGS UP 1 TO 1,046

BAKER HUGHES A GE - U.S. Rig Count is up 1 rig from last week to 1,046, with oil rigs unchanged at 844, gas rigs up 1 to 200, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2. Canada Rig Count is up 4 rigs from last week to 83, with oil rigs up 6 to 38 and gas rigs down 2 to 45.

U.S. GAS PRODUCTION UP TO 59%
2018, May, 18, 09:20:00

OIL PRICE: ABOVE $79

REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $79.57 per barrel at 0310 GMT, up 27 cents, or 0.3 percent from their last close. Brent broke through $80 for the first time since November 2014 on Thursday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $71.62 a barrel, up 13 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last settlement.

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