OIL PRICE: NEAR $74 AGAIN

REUTERS - Brent crude oil prices fell over 1.5 percent on Monday as traders factored in an expected output increase that was agreed at the headquarters of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in Vienna on Friday.

Despite this, analysts said global oil markets would likely remain relatively tight this year.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $74.22 per barrel at 0455 GMT, down 1.8 percent from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $68.42 a barrel, down 0.2 percent, supported more than Brent by a slight drop in U.S. drilling activity and a Canadian supply outage.

Prices initially jumped after the OPEC deal was announced late last week as it was not seen boosting supply by as much as some had expected.

OPEC and non-OPEC partners including Russia have since 2017 cut output by 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) to tighten the market and prop up prices.

Largely because of unplanned disruptions in places like Venezuela and Angola, the group's output has been below the targeted cuts, which it now says will be reversed by supply increases, especially from OPEC leader Saudi Arabia. Although analysts warn there is little space capacity for large-scale output increases.

"Saturday's OPEC+ press conference provided more clarity on the decision to increase production, with guidance for a full 1 million bpd ramp-up in 2H18," Goldman Sachs said in a note on Sunday.

"This is a larger increase than presented Friday although the goal remains to stabilize inventories, not generate a surplus," the U.S. bank added.

Edward Bell, commodity analyst at Dubai's Emirates NBD bank said "any increase in production would be borne most significantly by Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait."

Pricing the Vienna agreement into the market, Bell said he expected prices "in a range between $65-$70 per barrel for Brent for the remainder of the year."

In the United States, U.S. energy companies last week cut one oil rig, the first reduction in 12 weeks, lowering the total rig count to 862, Baker Hughes  said on Friday.

That put the rig count on track for its smallest monthly gain since declining by two rigs in March, with just three rigs added so far in June. However, the overall level remains just one rig short of the March 2015 high from the previous week.

Goldman Sachs also warned that an "outage at Syncrude Canada's oil sands facility could leave North America short of 360,000 bpd of supply for all of July."

It added that this "will exacerbate the current global deficit, making the increase in OPEC production all the more required."

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Earlier: 

2018, June, 22, 13:40:00 OIL PRICE: NEAR $74 ANEW REUTERS - Benchmark Brent crude LCOc1 was up $1.05 a barrel at $74.10 by 0925 GMT. U.S. light crude CLc1 was 80 cents higher at $66.34.

2018, June, 22, 13:35:00 ДОБЫЧА НЕФТИ: + 1 МБД МИНЭНЕРГО РОССИИ - По итогам заседания расширенного мониторингового комитета большинством его участников было рекомендовано рассмотреть на предстоящей министерской встрече ОПЕК и последующей за ней министерской встрече с участием не входящих в ОПЕК стран-экспортеров нефти увеличение добычи на 1 млн барр в сутки (от текущего уровня) с распределением этого объема между участниками соглашения.

2018, June, 22, 13:30:00 ЛУКОЙЛ: ЦЕНА $75, ДОБЫЧА +50% ИНТЕРФАКС - Думаю, что при цене в $75 за баррель нужно увеличить добычу на 50% от уровня введенных ограничений. При этом если увеличение производства и повлияет на цену, то краткосрочно. В среднесрочном периоде она восстановится, потому что потребление нефти в мире растет, а коммерческие запасы достаточно быстро снижаются. Полагаю, что цена в $75 за баррель это баланс, который уже нащупан.

2018, June, 20, 13:15:00 OIL PRICE: ABOVE $75 REUTERS - Benchmark Brent crude LCOc1 was up 50 cents at $75.58 a barrel by 0835 GMT. U.S. light crude CLc1 was 50 cents higher at $65.57.

2018, June, 20, 13:10:00 OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000 BLOOMBERG - OPEC members are discussing a compromise agreement that would see an oil production increase of between 300,000 and 600,000 barrels a day over the next few months,

2018, June, 20, 13:05:00 IRAN - OPEC DECISION PLATTS - Iran will not accept any proposals for OPEC to raise its quotas, the country's oil minister said Tuesday, adding that even a 500,000 b/d increase "is not necessary." "Decisions in OPEC need unanimity," Bijan Zanganeh said on arrival in Vienna ahead of OPEC talks this week. "I don't think at this meeting we can reach an agreement."

2018, June, 20, 12:40:00 LIBYA'S OIL PRODUCTION DOWN 400 TBD PLATTS - Libyan crude production has fallen around 400,000 b/d -- or nearly halved -- due to militia attacks on the eastern oil terminals of Ras Lanuf and Es Sider, the head of the country?s National Oil Corp. said Tuesday.