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2015-04-24 22:40:00

U.S. CAN’T STOP

U.S. CAN’T STOP

While the U.S. rig count keeps falling, weak oil prices won't stop the United States from becoming a net energy exporter in the coming decades, the Energy Information Administration's 2015 annual energy outlook said.

The agency expects "strong" domestic crude production growth, thanks in large part to tight oil and gas, that will lead to a decline in net imports and growth in net exports in all price scenarios during 2015.

Crude and petroleum net imports are expected to fall from 6.2 million barrels per day in 2013 to 3.3 million bpd in 2040 while gross exports of refined products, especially gasoline and diesel, will create a "significant" spike in net exports between 2013 and 2040.

In the case of low oil prices, where Brent crude hits $52 per barrel in 2014 and rises to $76 per barrel in 2040, the United States would remain a net importer through 2040, the report said.

The agency said that if oil prices stay within the lower end of its forecast U.S. drillers will pump 9.8 million bpd in 2020, 700,000 bpd less than the agency expected last year.

Overall crude production is expected to grow from 7.4 million bpd in 2013 to 9.4 million bpd in 2040, a 26 percent spike over last year's reference case despite lower prices.

Lower 48 onshore tight oil production is expected to hit 5.6 million bpd in 2020 before slumping to 4.3 million bpd in 2040, 34 percent more growth than projected in last year's report.

Production in the Gulf of Mexico is also expected to rise through 2019 in all price scenarios but will fluctuate after a decline slated to last "at least through 2025."

Dry natural gas production will likely dip after 2019 compared to last year's forecast although the United States is still expected to become an overall natural gas net exporter in 2017, a year earlier than previous models suggested.

Mexico will be the biggest beneficiary of booming U.S. gas production with net pipeline exports to south of the border growing nearly twofold from 2017 to 2040 although export levels could drop as Mexico ramps up domestic production.

petroglobalnews.com

Tags: U.S., OIL, PRICES,
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UNEXPECTED OIL PRICES

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U.S. CAPITAL EXPENDITURES UP

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Chronicle:

U.S. CAN’T STOP
2018, September, 21, 10:25:00

U.S. ENERGY CASH: $119 BLN

U.S. EIA - Energy companies’ free cash flow—the difference between cash from operations and capital expenditure—was $119 billion for the four quarters ending June 30, 2018, the largest four-quarter sum during 2013–18 Companies reduced debt for seven consecutive quarters, contributing to the lowest long-term debt-to-equity ratio since third-quarter 2014

U.S. CAN’T STOP
2018, September, 21, 10:20:00

WORLD OIL DEMAND: 100.23 MBD

OPEC - Total oil demand for 2018 is now estimated at 98.82 mb/d. In 2019, world oil demand growth is forecast to rise by 1.41 mb/d. Total world oil demand in 2019 is now projected to surpass 100 mb/d for the first time and reach 100.23 mb/d.

U.S. CAN’T STOP
2018, September, 21, 10:15:00

IRAQ'S OIL: NO RECORD

ARAB NEWS - Oil exports from southern Iraq are heading for a record high this month, two industry sources said, adding to signs that OPEC’s second-largest producer is following through on a deal to raise supply and local unrest is not affecting shipments.

U.S. CAN’T STOP
2018, September, 21, 10:10:00

NATURAL GAS EXPORT UP

PLATTS - The International Energy Agency expects the US to account for 75% of the global growth in natural gas exports over the next five years, a bullish outlook for LNG developers facing challenges at home getting projects off the ground and abroad with tariffs affecting trade flows.

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