ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: СНОВА ВЫШЕ $57
РЕЙТЕР , BLOOMBERG , OILPRICE- Цены на нефть уверенно растут утром в понедельник на фоне обострения напряжённости на Ближнем Востоке, а также за счёт снижения числа буровых в США.
К 9.15 МСК фьючерсы на нефть сорта Brent поднялись на 1,17 процента до $57,84 за баррель.
Фьючерсные контракты на американскую легкую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $51,89 за баррель, на 0,86 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
Перспектива введения новых санкций США против Ирана поддержала нефтяные котировки, говорят трейдеры.
Президент США Дональд Трамп в пятницу сказал, что отказывается сертифицировать выполнение Ираном соглашения, несмотря на то, что МАГАТЭ подтвердила, что Тегеран придерживается его условий.
Трамп оставил право окончательного выбора за Конгрессом США, у которого теперь есть 60 дней на то, чтобы решить, будут ли США восстанавливать санкции против Ирана.
Введение санкций против Ирана грозит ограничением предложения нефти из республики. Ранее, когда США ввели ограничительные меры против Тегерана, речь шла об объёме, равном примерно 1 миллиону баррелей в сутки, но сейчас аналитики не ждут таких серьёзных последствий для экспорта иранской нефти на мировые рынки.
В пользу рынка также сыграла нестабильная обстановка в Ираке, который является вторым по величине производителем нефти в ОПЕК.
Иракская армия в воскресенье начала продвигаться в сторону нефтяных месторождений и авиабазы, подконтрольных курдским отрядам и расположенных вблизи Киркука, сказали представители обеих сторон.
В пятницу вице-президент полуавтономного Курдистана сообщил об отправке дополнительных сил в Киркук на фоне наращивания присутствия у нефтеносной провинции правительственной армии.
Среди других факторов поддержки рынку аналитики называют снижение буровой активности в США.
На прошлой неделе число буровых установок в США уменьшилось на пять штук до 743, свидетельствуют данные нефтесервисной компании Baker Hughes.
Взрыв на буровой платформе в Луизиане также поддержал котировки американского бенчмарка, добавляют аналитики.
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Раньше:
October, 13, 13:05:00
К 9.05 МСК фьючерсы на нефть сорта Brent поднялись на 0,55 процента до $56,56 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую легкую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $50,95 за баррель, на 0,69 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
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October, 13, 13:00:00
EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $52/b in 2017 and $54/b in 2018, which is $1/b higher in 2017 and $2/b higher in 2018 compared with last month's forecast. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) average crude oil prices are forecast to be $3.50/b lower than Brent prices in 2018.
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October, 13, 12:55:00
Falling global crude oil stockpiles in 2017 will help put the market “roughly” into balance in 2018, but an increase in prices could be limited, especially if the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries doesn’t stick to its agreement to curb output, the International Energy Agency said.
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October, 11, 13:00:00
К 9.15 МСК фьючерсы на нефть сорта Brent поднялись на 0,21 процента до $56,73 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую легкую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $51,10 за баррель, на 0,35 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
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October, 11, 12:50:00
Based on a “lower-for-longer” base-case scenario, global oil prices will remain in the $50-60/bbl range until late 2020, due to increasing supply that breaks even at $50/bbl, according to to the most recent global oil supply and demand outlook from McKinsey Energy Insights (MEI).
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October, 11, 12:35:00
Отклонение нефтегазовых доходов федерального бюджета от месячной оценки, соответствующей Федеральному закону о федеральном бюджете на 2017-2019 годы, в октябре 2017 года прогнозируется в размере +96,3 млрд руб.
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October, 9, 21:55:00
К 17.14 МСК фьючерсы на нефть сорта Brent опустились на 0,16 процента до $55,53 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $49,36 за баррель, на 0,14 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
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OIL PRICE: ABOVE $57 AGAIN
REUTERS, BLOOMBERG, OILPRICE - Oil markets jumped on Monday as Iraqi forced entered the oil city of Kirkuk, taking territory from Kurdish fighters and raising concerns over exports from OPEC's second-largest producer.
Iraq launched the operation in the multi-ethnic region on Sunday as the crisis between Baghdad and the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) escalated. Tensions have been building since the KRG voted for independence in a Sept. 25 referendum.
International Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $57.75 per barrel at 0733 GMT, up 58 cents from the previous close, after trading as high as $58.13. U.S. WTI crude was at $51.95 per barrel, up 50 cents. Earlier in the day, it traded as high as $52.22.
"The escalation in Northern Iraq is the main driver," Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch told the Reuters Global Oil Forum. "Oil supply from this region is at risk."
Prices tempered gains as an Iraqi oil ministry official said oil and gas production in Kirkuk was "proceeding normally", and that Kurdish leaders had agreed to avoid fighting in oil and gas facilities.
The conflict heightened worries over oil exports. Kirkuk accounts for 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) of the some 600,000 bpd of oil produced in the KRG region. Turkey has threatened to shut a KRG-operated pipeline that goes to the Turkish port of Ceyhan at Baghdad's request.
Prices were also underpinned by worries over renewed U.S. sanctions against Iran.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday refused to certify that Tehran is complying with the accord even though international inspectors say it is.
Under U.S. law, the president must certify every 90 days that Iran is complying with the deal. Congress now has 60 days to decide whether to reimpose economic sanctions on Tehran.
During the previous round of sanctions, roughly 1 million bpd of Iranian oil was cut off. Analysts said that while renewed sanctions were unlikely to curtail that level of exports again, they warned that such a move would be disruptive.
U.S. OIL RIG EXPLOSION
Cuts to U.S. drilling rigs, and an explosion overnight at an oil rig in Louisiana's Lake Pontchartrain, also boosted prices.
Drillers cut five oil rigs in the week to Oct. 13, bringing the total count to 743, the lowest since early June, Baker Hughes energy services firm said late on Friday.
Oil consumption has also been strong, especially in China, where the central bank governor said on Monday that the economy is expected to grow by 7 percent in the second half of this year, defying widespread expectations for a slowdown.
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Earlier:
October, 13, 13:05:00
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was at $51.01 per barrel at 0647 GMT, up 41 cents, or 0.8 percent, from its last settlement. Brent was at $56.58, up 33 cents, or 0.6 percent.
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October, 13, 13:00:00
EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $52/b in 2017 and $54/b in 2018, which is $1/b higher in 2017 and $2/b higher in 2018 compared with last month's forecast. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) average crude oil prices are forecast to be $3.50/b lower than Brent prices in 2018.
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October, 13, 12:55:00
Falling global crude oil stockpiles in 2017 will help put the market “roughly” into balance in 2018, but an increase in prices could be limited, especially if the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries doesn’t stick to its agreement to curb output, the International Energy Agency said.
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October, 11, 13:00:00
Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were trading at $56.75 per barrel at 0649 GMT, up 14 cents, or 0.25 percent, from their last close. Brent also rose 2 percent the previous day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $51.09 a barrel, up 17 cents, or 0.33 percent, from their last settlement. Prices rose 2 percent the day before to back above $50 a barrel.
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October, 11, 12:50:00
Based on a “lower-for-longer” base-case scenario, global oil prices will remain in the $50-60/bbl range until late 2020, due to increasing supply that breaks even at $50/bbl, according to to the most recent global oil supply and demand outlook from McKinsey Energy Insights (MEI).
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October, 9, 21:55:00
Global benchmark Brent crude LCOc1 was down 2 cents at $55.60 a barrel at 11:31 a.m. EDT (1531 GMT). Earlier in the session it touched a three-week low of $55.06. It ended last week 3.3 percent lower, its biggest weekly loss since June 2017. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 were trading at $49.46, up 17 cents. They came close to a four-week low when they fell to $49.13 earlier in the session. WTI’s losses last week came to 4.6 percent.
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October, 6, 13:00:00
Global benchmark Brent crude futures were up 7 cents at $57.07 a barrel at 0848 GMT. Week on week, the contract was set for a near 1 percent loss, snapping a five-week winning streak that was the longest since June 2016. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was at $50.59, down 20 cents. It was set to close the week down more than 2 percent, the biggest weekly loss in three months.
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