PLATTS - Saudi oil minister Khalid al-Falih visited Baghdad on Saturday, calling for increased cooperation between OPEC's two largest oil producers as the group prepares to debate on extending its production cut deal next month.
"The best example of the importance of cooperation between our two countries is the improvement and stability trend seen in the oil market," Falih told delegates at the Baghdad International Exhibition, according to media reports.
Falih's comment came despite Iraqi compliance with its quota -- under the production cut deal -- being among the weakest of the OPEC members, with production averaging 4.50 million b/d in September.
That is 149,000 b/d above its output quota.
Compliance among OPEC and major non-OPEC producers reached 120% in September, its highest level since the output constraint deal was launched in January, the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee said Saturday.
The JMMC, however, noted that while some of the participating producer countries have consistently performed beyond their voluntary cuts, others have yet to achieve 100% conformity. It did not provide any details identifying the underperformers.
Falih was the first Saudi official to speak publicly in the country since Iraq's invasion of neighboring Kuwait in 1990, when diplomatic relations were severed and borders closed.
Riyadh also viewed Baghdad with suspicion in the years that followed, both under the regime of Saddam Hussain, and the Shia-dominated post-war governments after 2003. It only reappointed an ambassador to Iraq in 2015, and even then relations have been frustrated.
However, there have been positive signs recently.
Saudi foreign minister Adel al-Jubeir visited Baghdad in February and Saudi Arabia agreed to finally open the Arar border crossing in August, for the first time since 1990.
Shortly after Falih's speech, Iraq's Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi traveled in the other direction to Riyadh, his second trip this year, where he will meet with Saudi officials in an attempt to rebuild relations and to attract investment in Iraq's reconstruction efforts. The rapprochement has been promoted by the US, and US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson took part in the Riyadh meetings as well.
Falih said a joint committee had been established to work on economic partnerships and reactivating cooperation. He did not provide any further details, but it could include the possibility of restarting crude oil exports by pipeline through Saudi Arabia. Before the invasion of Kuwait, Iraq used a 1.6 million b/d pipeline to the Al-Muajjiz terminal on the Red Sea, as an alternative to sending cargoes through the Strait of Hormuz.
Reactivating this would not be simple. The pipeline was confiscated by the Saudi government in 2000, and Iraq also has other oil export plans, which would take priority. Baghdad has spent the last five years trying to develop an alternative export route, first through Syria to the Mediterranean and then through Jordan to the Red Sea. It is also trying to boost exports from the north of the country to Turkey's Ceyhan port and possibly through Iran too.
Iraq's crude exports, including shipments from the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region, totaled 3.815 million b/d in September. Federal exports from the southern terminals on the Persian Gulf accounted for the majority of this, at 3.240 million b/d.
Thamir Ghadban, a former oil minister who now advises the prime minister on energy affairs, previously said Iraq would never again build and pay for a pipeline that another country can seize.
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U.S. EIA - Energy companies’ free cash flow—the difference between cash from operations and capital expenditure—was $119 billion for the four quarters ending June 30, 2018, the largest four-quarter sum during 2013–18 Companies reduced debt for seven consecutive quarters, contributing to the lowest long-term debt-to-equity ratio since third-quarter 2014
OPEC - Total oil demand for 2018 is now estimated at 98.82 mb/d. In 2019, world oil demand growth is forecast to rise by 1.41 mb/d. Total world oil demand in 2019 is now projected to surpass 100 mb/d for the first time and reach 100.23 mb/d.
ARAB NEWS - Oil exports from southern Iraq are heading for a record high this month, two industry sources said, adding to signs that OPEC’s second-largest producer is following through on a deal to raise supply and local unrest is not affecting shipments.
PLATTS - The International Energy Agency expects the US to account for 75% of the global growth in natural gas exports over the next five years, a bullish outlook for LNG developers facing challenges at home getting projects off the ground and abroad with tariffs affecting trade flows.