U.S. OIL + 81 TBD, GAS + 827 MCFD
Oil and gas production from the Anadarko, Appalachia, Bakken, Eagle Ford, Haynesville, Niobrara, and Permian, taking into consideration the regions' total number of active drilling rigs, drilling productivity, and estimated changes in production from existing oil and gas wells.
The Permian is projected to supply 50,000 b/d of the overall rise, bringing its November output to 2.663 million b/d. EIA estimates the basin's count of drilled-but-uncompleted (DUC) wells climbed by 93 month-over-month in September to 2,416. Its Baker Hughes rig count has mostly avoided the downward momentum seen in other regions in recent months.
EIA projected Permian production to increase 260,000 b/d in the second half compared with the first half to average 2.6 million b/d.
The Niobrara shale and Anadarko region are each expected to rise by 9,000 b/d month-over-month in November to 515,000 b/d and 474,000 b/d, respectively. The Bakken is projected to gain 8,000 b/d during the month to 1.1 million b/d.
The Anadarko’s DUC tally rose by 25 in September to 962, while the Niobrara’s gained 16 to 742. The Bakken’s was static at 772.
Eagle Ford oil output is forecast to increase 2,000 b/d in November to 1.216 million b/d. Its DUC count jumped by 43 in September to 1,444 despite the residual effects of Hurricane Harvey and an ongoing rig count decline that started in June.
EIA also projects second-half crude production increases in the Niobrara, up 75,000 b/d to 500,000 b/d; the Anadarko, up 42,000 b/d to 460,000 b/d; the Bakken, up 31,000 b/d to 1.1 million b/d; and the Eagle Ford, up 5,000 b/d to 1.2 million b/d.
EIA forecasts natural gas production from the seven regions to climb 827 MMcfd month-over-month in November to 60.94 bcfd.
Each region is seen contributing an increase, with the Appalachia region up 398 MMcfd to 25.693 bcfd, Permian up 154 MMcfd to 9.059 bcfd, Haynesville up 146 MMcfd to 7.27 bcfd, Niobrara up 50 MMcfd to 4.769 bcfd, Anadarko up 38 MMcfd to 5.994 bcfd, Bakken up 23 MMcfd to 2.028 bcfd, and Eagle Ford up 18,000 b/d to 6.124 bcfd.
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ARAB NEWS - Saudi's Aramco Trading Company (ATC) expects to increase its oil trading volume to 6 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2020, 50 percent higher than current levels, the company's top official said on Monday.
BAKER HUGHES A GE - U.S. Rig Count is down 2 rigs from last week to 1,053, with oil rigs down 1 to 866, gas rigs unchanged at 186, and miscellaneous rigs down 1 to 1. Canada Rig Count is down 29 rigs from last week to 197, with oil rigs down 13 to 135 and gas rigs down 16 to 62.
REUTERS - International benchmark Brent crude for November delivery LCOc1 was up 26 cents, or 0.33 percent, at $78.96 a barrel by 0647 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery CLc1 was up 7 cents, or 0.10 percent, at $70.39 a barrel.
BLOOMBERG - Russia's oil output is currently fluctuating between 1.54 million and 1.55 million tons a day -- driven mainly by state-run giant Rosneft PJSC -- the official said, asking not to be named as the information isn’t public yet. That equates to 11.29 million to 11.36 million barrels a day, beating the previous record of 11.25 million barrels a day set in October 2016 before Russia agreed with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to cut production.