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2017-12-15 13:20:00

OIL PRICE: BELOW $64

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: НИЖЕ $64

REUTERSBLOOMBERG  Oil prices moved up on Friday, lifted by the Forties pipeline outage in the North Sea and ongoing OPEC-led production cuts, although rising output from the United States kept a lid on markets.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $57.28 a barrel at 0757 GMT, up 26 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last settlement.

Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $63.47 a barrel, up 16 cents, or 0.25 percent, from their previous close.

The ongoing outage of the Forties pipeline, which carries North Sea oil to Britain, was the main price driver, traders said.

"Forties pipeline operator Ineos declared force majeure on crude deliveries following Tuesday's discovery of leaks in the pipeline, indicating that repairs could take several weeks," U.S. investment bank Jefferies said.

While the pipeline outage physically mostly affects the North Sea region, it is of global relevance as the crude it supplies is part of the supply that underpins the Brent price benchmark.

"If the duration of the outage is for several weeks it should put upward pressure on the Brent price," Jefferies said.

Beyond the North Sea supply disruption, traders said markets were generally supported by efforts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia to withhold production to prop up prices.

Goldman Sachs said that market conditions allowed the major oil companies, which it referred as Big Oil, to enter "a positive earnings-revision cycle" and that "this should allow Big Oil to re-employ capital at double-digit returns".

The U.S. bank said that the improved market conditions were a result of a higher Brent crude oil price outlook of an expected annual average of $62, $60, and $55 per barrel for 2018, 2019 and 2020 respectively.

The companies usually associated with 'Big Oil' are BP, Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron and Total.

Undermining OPEC's efforts to tighten the market is U.S. oil production, which has soared by 16 percent since mid-2016 to 9.78 million barrels per day (bpd), close to levels of top producers Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Rising U.S. supply, driven largely by shale drilling, will likely move oil markets into a supply surplus in the first half of 2018, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday.

"Total supply growth could exceed demand growth: indeed, in the first half the surplus could be 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) before reverting to a deficit of about 200,000 bpd in the second half, leaving 2018 as a whole showing a closely balanced market," the Paris-based IEA said in its monthly oil market report.

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Earlier:

Prices
2017, December, 13, 12:40:00

OIL PRICE: ABOVE $64 YET

REUTERS - Brent crude was up 69 cents, or 1.1 percent, at $64.03 a barrel by 0743 GMT. It had settled down $1.35, or 2.1 percent, on Tuesday on a wave of profit-taking after news of a key North Sea pipeline shutdown helped send the global benchmark above $65 for the first time since mid-2015. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 45 cents, or 0.8 percent, at $57.59 a barrel.

Prices
2017, December, 13, 12:30:00

OIL PRICE - 2018: $57

EIA - North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $63 per barrel (b) in November, an increase of $5/b from the average in October. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $57/b in 2018, up from an average of $54/b in 2017.

 

Prices
2017, December, 8, 17:50:00

OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $63 AGAIN

REUTERS - U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $56.58 a barrel at 0714 GMT, down 11 cents, or 0.2 percent from their last settlement. Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were down 8 cents, or 0.1 percent, at $62.12 a barrel.

Prices
2017, December, 4, 23:20:00

OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $64 YET

BLOOMBERG - West Texas Intermediate for January delivery was at $57.93 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 2:02 p.m. in Seoul, down 43 cents. The contract gained 96 cents to settle at $58.36 on Friday. Total volume traded was about 21 percent below the 100-day average. Brent for February settlement dropped 36 cents to $63.37 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices added $1.10, or 1.8 percent, to close at $63.73 on Friday. The global benchmark crude was at a premium of $5.43 to February WTI.

 

Prices
December, 1, 13:05:00

OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $64

BLOOMBERG - West Texas Intermediate for January delivery was at $57.72 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 32 cents, at 7:50 a.m. in London. Total volume traded was about 16 percent below the 100-day average. Prices rose 10 cents to $57.40 on Thursday, capping a 5.6 percent gain for November. Brent for February settlement climbed 43 cents to $63.06 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The January contract expired Thursday after adding 46 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $63.57. The global benchmark crude was at a premium of $5.32 to February WTI.

 

Prices
December, 1, 12:50:00

OPEC & RUSSIA CUTS

BLOOMBERG - OPEC and its allies outside the group agreed to maintain oil production cuts until the end of 2018, extending their campaign to wrest back control of the global market from America’s shale industry.

 

Prices
October, 11, 12:50:00

OIL PRICES 2020: $50 - $60

Based on a “lower-for-longer” base-case scenario, global oil prices will remain in the $50-60/bbl range until late 2020, due to increasing supply that breaks even at $50/bbl, according to to the most recent global oil supply and demand outlook from McKinsey Energy Insights (MEI).

 

 

Tags: OIL, PRICE, BRENT, WTI, OPEC, URALS, НЕФТЬ, ЦЕНА, РОССИЯ, ОПЕК

Chronicle:

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: НИЖЕ $64
2018, October, 17, 10:05:00

U.S. IN EUROPE

REUTERS - The United States must not determine European energy policy or decide whether Germany buys Russian gas, a top German diplomat said on Tuesday.

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: НИЖЕ $64
2018, October, 17, 10:00:00

TOTAL IN RUSSIA: THE LARGEST

FT - “Total has great ambition in this country, we want to be the largest foreign oil and gas player here,” the company’s chief executive Patrick Pouyanné said on Monday at the launch of a factory outside Moscow. 

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: НИЖЕ $64
2018, October, 17, 09:55:00

PETROBRAS - CNPC COOPERATION

PLATTS - Petrobras is to form two joint venture companies with China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) to complete construction of a refinery and revitalize four mature fields in the offshore Campos Basin, the state-owned Brazilian company said

ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: НИЖЕ $64
2018, October, 17, 09:50:00

NORWAY'S DEFENCE

BLOOMBERG - The wealth fund’s initial case had focused on limiting Norway’s exposure to a drop in oil prices, given its status as western Europe’s biggest petroleum producer. When the proposal was first made last year, it rocked markets, and drew responses from a number of major investors.

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