ЦЕНА НЕФТИ: НИЖЕ $64
РЕЙТЕР , BLOOMBERG - Цены на нефть были стабильны в пятницу, так как поддержка, оказанная ценам неполадками в работе трубопровода Forties в Северном море и продолжающимся сокращением добычи в рамках пакта ОПЕК+, была компенсирована наращиванием добычи в США.
К 9.45 МСК нефть сорта Brent торговалась по $63,39, на 0,08 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
Фьючерсы на североамериканский сорт WTI к этому времени торговались по $57,18, на 0,14 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
Приостановка работы трубопровода Forties, перекачивающего североморскую нефть в Великобританию, подтолкнула цены на нефть вверх, сказали трейдеры.
"Оператор нефтепровода Forties, компания Ineos, объявила форс-мажор по поставкам сырья после обнаружения протечек во вторник. Это означает, что ремонтные работы могут продлиться несколько недель", - говорится в сообщении американского инвестиционного банка Jefferies.
"Если работа трубопровода будет приостановлена на несколько недель, это поднимет цену сорта Brent".
Рост нефтедобычи в США ставит под угрозу цель ОПЕК и ряда не входящих в него государств восстановить баланс на рынке. С середины 2016 года добыча сырья в США выросла более чем на 15 процентов до 9,7 миллиона баррелей в сутки, наивысшей отметки с начала 1970-х годов, приблизившись к уровню добычи в ведущих странах-нефтепроизводителях России и Саудовской Аравии.
Увеличение объема добычи в США, в основном за счет усиления сланцевого бурения, скорее всего, вернет рынок к избытку предложения в первой половине 2018 года, сообщило Международное энергетическое агентство (МЭА) в четверг.
"Общий рост добычи может превысить рост спроса: в первой половине года избыток может составить 200.000 баррелей в сутки, прежде чем вернуться к дефициту примерно в 200.000 баррелей в сутки во второй половине года, тем самым приближая рынок к балансу", - следует из ежемесячного отчета агентства.
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Раньше:
2017, December, 13, 12:40:00
РЕЙТЕР - К 9.42 МСК фьючерсы на нефть сорта Brent поднялись на 0,53 процента до $63,87 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $57,52 на 0,38 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
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2017, December, 13, 12:30:00
EIA - North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $63 per barrel (b) in November, an increase of $5/b from the average in October. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $57/b in 2018, up from an average of $54/b in 2017.
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2017, December, 11, 09:40:00
“Tight oil supplies are the wild card. They have reshaped the global outlook in recent years,” observed Ayed S. Al-Qahtani, who directs the research division at the OPEC Secretariat in Vienna. “US tight oil supplies will be the most important contributor but are expected to reach their peak around 2025.”
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2017, December, 4, 23:15:00
МИНЭНЕРГО РОССИИ - ОПЕК оставляет в силе решения, принятые 30 ноября 2017 года; в «Декларацию о сотрудничестве» вносится поправка, согласно которой ее срок действия охватывает весь 2018 год с января по декабрь 2018 года, при этом входящие и участвующие в кооперации не входящие в ОПЕК страны обязуются обеспечить полное и своевременное исполнение условий «Декларации о сотрудничестве» и скорректировать объемы добычи в соответствии с достигнутыми на добровольной основе договоренностями.
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2017, November, 20, 09:25:00
Средняя цена на нефть Urals за период мониторинга с 15 октября по 14 ноября 2017 года составила $59,62182 за баррель, или $435,2 за тонну.
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2017, November, 20, 09:15:00
IMF - A cyclical recovery in Russia is gaining pace after a two-year recession, with growth expected to reach around 2 percent this year, supported by higher oil prices and easier domestic financial conditions. Nevertheless, growth is likely to remain low in the medium-term, due to demographics, unaddressed structural bottlenecks as well as enduring sanctions.
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2017, November, 9, 13:55:00
North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $58 per barrel (b) in October, an increase of $1/b from the average in September. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $53/b in 2017 and $56/b in 2018.
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OIL PRICE: BELOW $64
REUTERS, BLOOMBERG - Oil prices moved up on Friday, lifted by the Forties pipeline outage in the North Sea and ongoing OPEC-led production cuts, although rising output from the United States kept a lid on markets.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $57.28 a barrel at 0757 GMT, up 26 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last settlement.
Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $63.47 a barrel, up 16 cents, or 0.25 percent, from their previous close.
The ongoing outage of the Forties pipeline, which carries North Sea oil to Britain, was the main price driver, traders said.
"Forties pipeline operator Ineos declared force majeure on crude deliveries following Tuesday's discovery of leaks in the pipeline, indicating that repairs could take several weeks," U.S. investment bank Jefferies said.
While the pipeline outage physically mostly affects the North Sea region, it is of global relevance as the crude it supplies is part of the supply that underpins the Brent price benchmark.
"If the duration of the outage is for several weeks it should put upward pressure on the Brent price," Jefferies said.
Beyond the North Sea supply disruption, traders said markets were generally supported by efforts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia to withhold production to prop up prices.
Goldman Sachs said that market conditions allowed the major oil companies, which it referred as Big Oil, to enter "a positive earnings-revision cycle" and that "this should allow Big Oil to re-employ capital at double-digit returns".
The U.S. bank said that the improved market conditions were a result of a higher Brent crude oil price outlook of an expected annual average of $62, $60, and $55 per barrel for 2018, 2019 and 2020 respectively.
The companies usually associated with 'Big Oil' are BP, Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron and Total.
Undermining OPEC's efforts to tighten the market is U.S. oil production, which has soared by 16 percent since mid-2016 to 9.78 million barrels per day (bpd), close to levels of top producers Russia and Saudi Arabia.
Rising U.S. supply, driven largely by shale drilling, will likely move oil markets into a supply surplus in the first half of 2018, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday.
"Total supply growth could exceed demand growth: indeed, in the first half the surplus could be 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) before reverting to a deficit of about 200,000 bpd in the second half, leaving 2018 as a whole showing a closely balanced market," the Paris-based IEA said in its monthly oil market report.
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Earlier:
2017, December, 13, 12:40:00
REUTERS - Brent crude was up 69 cents, or 1.1 percent, at $64.03 a barrel by 0743 GMT. It had settled down $1.35, or 2.1 percent, on Tuesday on a wave of profit-taking after news of a key North Sea pipeline shutdown helped send the global benchmark above $65 for the first time since mid-2015. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 45 cents, or 0.8 percent, at $57.59 a barrel.
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2017, December, 13, 12:30:00
EIA - North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $63 per barrel (b) in November, an increase of $5/b from the average in October. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices to average $57/b in 2018, up from an average of $54/b in 2017.
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2017, December, 8, 17:50:00
REUTERS - U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $56.58 a barrel at 0714 GMT, down 11 cents, or 0.2 percent from their last settlement. Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were down 8 cents, or 0.1 percent, at $62.12 a barrel.
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2017, December, 4, 23:20:00
BLOOMBERG - West Texas Intermediate for January delivery was at $57.93 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 2:02 p.m. in Seoul, down 43 cents. The contract gained 96 cents to settle at $58.36 on Friday. Total volume traded was about 21 percent below the 100-day average. Brent for February settlement dropped 36 cents to $63.37 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices added $1.10, or 1.8 percent, to close at $63.73 on Friday. The global benchmark crude was at a premium of $5.43 to February WTI.
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December, 1, 13:05:00
BLOOMBERG - West Texas Intermediate for January delivery was at $57.72 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 32 cents, at 7:50 a.m. in London. Total volume traded was about 16 percent below the 100-day average. Prices rose 10 cents to $57.40 on Thursday, capping a 5.6 percent gain for November. Brent for February settlement climbed 43 cents to $63.06 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The January contract expired Thursday after adding 46 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $63.57. The global benchmark crude was at a premium of $5.32 to February WTI.
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December, 1, 12:50:00
BLOOMBERG - OPEC and its allies outside the group agreed to maintain oil production cuts until the end of 2018, extending their campaign to wrest back control of the global market from America’s shale industry.
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October, 11, 12:50:00
Based on a “lower-for-longer” base-case scenario, global oil prices will remain in the $50-60/bbl range until late 2020, due to increasing supply that breaks even at $50/bbl, according to to the most recent global oil supply and demand outlook from McKinsey Energy Insights (MEI).
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