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2018-11-23 12:05:00

VENEZUELA'S ECONOMY DOWN 17%

VENEZUELA'S ECONOMY DOWN 17%

REUTERS - Preliminary data compiled by Venezuela's central bank shows the economy shrank by 16.6 percent in 2017 compared with the year before, two sources familiar with the matter said on Thursday, the country's sharpest decline on record.

The OPEC nation's economy has been in free fall following the collapse of oil prices in 2014 and the unraveling of its socialist system, leading millions of people to leave the country to escape hyperinflation and rising malnutrition.

But the central bank has stopped publishing economic indicators amid what President Nicolas Maduro describes as an "economic war" led by businesses and political adversaries.

Preliminary data being prepared by technical experts shows that oil sector activity shrank 11.3 percent in 2017 from 2016 while the non-oil sector contracted 15.2 percent, said the sources, who asked not to be identified.

The International Monetary Fund has been pressuring Venezuela for weeks to provide data on economic activity, consumer prices and balance of payments, the sources said.

The central bank's board of directors is interested in providing the data to the IMF, according to the sources, but it has not officially approved the figures.

One of the sources said that a member of the board was seeking to "sweeten" the data, or alter statistics such that economic problems look less dramatic.

Venezuela's Information Ministry and the central bank did not respond to requests for comment.

Jesus Faria of the all-powerful Constituent Assembly this week said that the government had made initial contact with the IMF to provide the data, adding that "we cannot allow ourselves to be hit with IMF sanctions, because such a move could lead to our expulsion from the institution."

When asked for comment, an IMF spokesman referred Reuters to comments made by IMF Communications Department Director Gerry Rice in a Nov. 15 news briefing, when he said that IMF staff had made contact with Venezuelan authorities on the issue of providing data and hoped the discussions would lead to a "productive conclusion."

The sources did not provide consumer price data for 2017. But they said that the producer price index, which tends to move in tandem with consumer prices, rose 2,800 percent in 2017 with respect to the prior year.

That is in line with data from the opposition-run legislature, which began calculating economic indicators last year after the central bank stopped publishing official figures.

The legislature says the producer price index rose 2,616 percent last year, and that annual inflation in October topped 833,000 percent.

 

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Earlier:

 OIL MARKET UNCERTAINTY
2018, September, 21, 10:40:00

OIL MARKET UNCERTAINTY

PLATTS - 1.4 million b/d of Iranian oil supplies to leave the market by November, when the US sanctions go into force. Venezuela, which pumped 1.22 million b/d in August could see output fall to 1 million b/d in 2019. Politically unstable Libya also presents a supply risk.

 

 VENEZUELA - CHINA COOPERATION
2018, September, 17, 15:00:00

VENEZUELA - CHINA COOPERATION

REUTERS - Venezuela gave China another stake in the OPEC nation’s oil industry and signed several other deals in the energy sector, but Beijing made no mention of new funds for Caracas during President Nicolas Maduro’s visit to his key financier on Friday.

 

 VENEZUELA'S ECONOMIC COLLAPSE
2018, July, 25, 09:15:00

VENEZUELA'S ECONOMIC COLLAPSE

IMF - On Venezuela, it is difficult to discuss because it is in a state of economic collapse. We have not engaged with them in over a decade on their economic policies.

 

 VENEZUELA CAN UP BY 1 MBD
2018, June, 25, 12:15:00

VENEZUELA CAN UP BY 1 MBD

REUTERS - Venezuela has the ability to boost crude output by 1 million barrels per day (bpd) by end of the year in its bid to recover lost production, but the oil minister also said on Friday this goal would be “a challenge” for state oil firm PDVSA.

 

 THE LARGEST VENEZUELA'S OIL
2018, June, 22, 13:10:00

THE LARGEST VENEZUELA'S OIL

U.S. EIA - Venezuela holds the largest oil reserves in the world, in large part because of the heavy oil reserves in the Orinoco Oil Basin. In addition to oil reserves, Venezuela has sizeable natural gas reserves, although the development of natural gas lags significantly behind that of oil. However, in the wake of political and economic instability in the country, crude oil production has dramatically decreased, reaching a multi-decades low in mid-2018.

 

 VENEZUELA'S OIL PRODUCTION DOWN
2018, June, 20, 12:35:00

VENEZUELA'S OIL PRODUCTION DOWN

PLATTS - Venezuela's crude output averaged 1.36 million b/d in May, down from 1.41 million b/d in April, and 1.9 million b/d in May 2017, according to S&P Global Platts. The International Energy Agency said it could fall to 800,000 b/d or even lower next year.

 

 VENEZUELA IRAN SANCTIONS
2018, June, 8, 12:55:00

VENEZUELA IRAN SANCTIONS

BLOOMBERG - Venezuela wrote to fellow OPEC members urging them to unite against U.S. sanctions, echoing a similar letter from Iran, according to people with knowledge of the matter.

 

 

Tags: VENEZUELA, ECONOMY, GDP