OIL PRICE: ABOVE $67 YET
BLOOMBERG - A day after oil was swept up in a global market rout, crude is rebounding as investor focus snaps back to U.S. supplies.
Futures in New York rose as much as 1.3 percent, after being dragged down 1.2 percent in the previous session as a flight from risk shook assets around the world. While equity markets are clawing back on calls to 'buy the dip,' crude's advance is being driven by industry data that showed an unexpected decrease in U.S. stockpiles. Investors are watching if government data also surprises with a decline when it's released on Wednesday.
As calm returns to markets, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. stuck to its bullish call on commodities, saying the recent global selloff only bolsters its view that raw materials are set to perform well in months ahead. Still, crude is struggling to extend last month's gains that were largely driven by a weaker dollar, on speculation that U.S. output will impede efforts by OPEC and its allies to curb a glut.
"What's happening in the U.S. has become critical to the oil market, whether it's inventories and production figures or the movement in the greenback," Will Yun, a commodities analyst at Hyundai Futures Corp., said by phone from Seoul. "While oil prices are likely to be supported at this level after its correction, the upcoming U.S. data will be the deciding factor" for future prices.
West Texas Intermediate for March delivery rose as much as 79 cents to $64.18 a barrel and traded at $63.88 as of 11:39 a.m. in Singapore. The contract fell 76 cents to $63.39 on Tuesday. Total volume traded was about 16 percent above the 100-day average.
Brent for April settlement rose 46 cents to $67.32 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange, snapping a three-day decline. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $3.73 to April WTI.
The American Petroleum Institute was said to report U.S. crude stockpiles slid 1.05 million barrels last week, with storage also shrinking at tanks in the key hub of Cushing, Oklahoma. Nationwide inventories probably rose by 3.15 million barrels, according to a Bloomberg survey before a report from the Energy Information Administration due Wednesday.
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U.S. FRB - Industrial production edged up 0.1 percent in July after rising at an average pace of 0.5 percent over the previous five months. Manufacturing production increased 0.3 percent, the output of utilities moved down 0.5 percent, and, after posting five consecutive months of growth, the index for mining declined 0.3 percent. At 108.0 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 4.2 percent higher in July than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector was unchanged in July at 78.1 percent, a rate that is 1.7 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2017) average.
NPD - Preliminary production figures for July 2018 show an average daily production of 1 911 000 barrels of oil, NGL and condensate, which is an increase of 64 000 barrels per day compared to June.
GAZPROM NEFT - For the first six months of 2018 Gazprom Neft achieved revenue** growth of 24.4% year-on-year, at one trillion, 137.7 billion rubles (RUB1,137,700,000,000). The Company achieved a 49.8% year-on-year increase in adjusted EBITDA, to RUB368.2 billion. This performance reflected positive market conditions for oil and oil products, production growth at the Company’s new projects, and effective management initiatives. Net profit attributable to Gazprom Neft PJSC shareholders grew 49.6% year on year, to RUB166.4 billion. Growth in the Company’s operating cash flow, as well as the completion of key infrastructure investments at new upstream projects, delivered positive free cash flow of RUB47.5 billion for 1H 2018.
REUTERS - Front-month Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were at $72.34 per barrel at 0648 GMT, down by 12 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were down 23 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $66.81 per barrel.