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2018-02-02 12:25:00

OIL PRICE WILL BE $80

OIL PRICE WILL BE $80

BLOOMBERG- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. hiked its short-term crude oil price forecast by as much as 33 percent, saying the market is now likely balanced.

The bank now estimates Brent will reach $75 a barrel over the next three months and will climb to $82.50 within six months, analysts including Damien Courvalin wrote in an emailed report. Their previous estimate for both time periods was $62 a barrel. 

"The rebalancing of the oil market has likely been achieved, six months sooner than we had expected," Goldman's analysts wrote. "The decline in excess inventories was fast-forwarded in late 2017 by stellar demand growth, high OPEC compliance, heavy maintenance as well as collapsing Venezuela production."

Goldman joins other Wall Street banks including Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co. in ratcheting up its outlook, as economic growth and output cuts led by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries have helped to boost prices. Morgan Stanley recently said Brent will reach $75 a barrel this year, while JPMorgan said it could rise to near $78 as oil markets tighten more rapidly than expected.

Brent for April delivery traded up 52 cents at $69.41 a barrel at 11:45 a.m. in London after earlier rising to $69.67. The global benchmark last touched $75 in late 2014.

Goldman's bullish outlook is driven by its revised demand forecasts, reflecting stronger economic growth in emerging markets. The bank also said rising U.S. shale supply will be needed to keep the market steady in the near-term, since any ramp-up in OPEC production will lag the rebalancing.

Record bullish bets in the oil market are "actually not that elevated when viewed in the context of broader portfolio allocation," according to the Goldman report. It forecast that oil will return 24 percent to investors over the next six months.

Goldman said its view was cyclical, noting that U.S. shale production, the eventual end of OPEC's oil cuts and higher non-OPEC production will eventually pull down Brent prices to $60 a barrel by 2020. Its "New Oil Order" outlook -- where shale production transforms global supply -- is on hiatus, but not finished, the bank said.

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Earlier: 

Prices
2018, January, 31, 11:10:00

OIL PRICE: ABOVE $68 AGAIN

REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 for March delivery settled down 44 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $69.02 a barrel after touching a session low of $68.40. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures CLc1 fell $1.06, or 1.6 percent, to close at $64.50 a barrel.

Prices
2018, January, 29, 08:45:00

OIL PRICES: ABOVE $70 YET

REUTERS - U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $66.34 a barrel at 0144 GMT, up 20 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last settlement. Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $70.49 per barrel, 3 cents below their last settlement.

 

Prices
2018, January, 26, 12:40:00

OIL PRICES: ABOVE $70

REUTERS - Brent crude futures were at $70.22 per barrel at 0556 GMT, down 20 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close. Brent the previous day marked its highest since December, 2014 at $71.28. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $65.38 a barrel, down 13 cents, or 0.2 percent from their previous close. WTI also touched its highest since December, 2014 in the last session at $66.66.

 

Prices
2018, January, 24, 12:20:00

OIL PRICES: ABOVE $69 AGAIN

REUTERS - Brent crude futures were at $69.79 a barrel at 0749 GMT, down 17 cents from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $64.45 a barrel, down 2 cents from their last settlement.

Prices
2018, January, 24, 12:15:00

СОГЛАШЕНИЕ ВЫПОЛНЕНО НА 107%

МИНЭНЕРГО РОССИИ - АЛЕКСАНДР НОВАК: СОГЛАШЕНИЕ ОПЕК+ ПО ИТОГАМ 2017 ГОДА ВЫПОЛНЕНО НА 107%

 

 Prices
2018, January, 22, 08:50:00

OIL PRICES: NOT ABOVE $69 YET

REUTERS - Brent crude futures were at $68.89 a barrel at 0315 GMT, up 25 cents, or 0.4 percent, from their last close. Brent on Jan. 15 rose to $70.37, its highest since December 2014. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $63.61 a barrel, up 24 cents, or 0.4 percent, from their last settlement. WTI climbed to $64.89 on Jan. 16, also its highest since December 2014.

 

 Prices
2018, January, 19, 12:45:00

OIL PRICES: ABOVE $68

REUTERS - Brent crude futures were at $68.78 at 0128 GMT, down 53 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last close. On Monday, they hit their highest since December, 2014 at $70.37 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $63.36 a barrel, down 59 cents, or 0.9 percent, from their last settlement. WTI marked a December-2014 peak of $64.89 a barrel on Tuesday.

 

 

 

Tags: OIL, PRICE, BRENT, WTI, URALS, OPEC, НЕФТЬ, ЦЕНА

Chronicle:

OIL PRICE WILL BE $80
2018, August, 17, 11:30:00

U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UP 0.1%

U.S. FRB - Industrial production edged up 0.1 percent in July after rising at an average pace of 0.5 percent over the previous five months. Manufacturing production increased 0.3 percent, the output of utilities moved down 0.5 percent, and, after posting five consecutive months of growth, the index for mining declined 0.3 percent. At 108.0 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 4.2 percent higher in July than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector was unchanged in July at 78.1 percent, a rate that is 1.7 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2017) average.

OIL PRICE WILL BE $80
2018, August, 17, 11:25:00

NORWAY'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION: 1.911 MBD

NPD - Preliminary production figures for July 2018 show an average daily production of 1 911 000 barrels of oil, NGL and condensate, which is an increase of 64 000 barrels per day compared to June.

OIL PRICE WILL BE $80
2018, August, 17, 11:20:00

GAZPROM NEFT NET PROFIT UP TO 49.6%

GAZPROM NEFT - For the first six months of 2018 Gazprom Neft achieved revenue** growth of 24.4% year-on-year, at one trillion, 137.7 billion rubles (RUB1,137,700,000,000). The Company achieved a 49.8% year-on-year increase in adjusted EBITDA, to RUB368.2 billion. This performance reflected positive market conditions for oil and oil products, production growth at the Company’s new projects, and effective management initiatives. Net profit attributable to Gazprom Neft PJSC shareholders grew 49.6% year on year, to RUB166.4 billion. Growth in the Company’s operating cash flow, as well as the completion of key infrastructure investments at new upstream projects, delivered positive free cash flow of RUB47.5 billion for 1H 2018.

OIL PRICE WILL BE $80
2018, August, 15, 11:10:00

OIL PRICE: NEAR $72

REUTERS - Front-month Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were at $72.34 per barrel at 0648 GMT, down by 12 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were down 23 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $66.81 per barrel.

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