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2018-06-20 13:10:00

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000

BLOOMBERG - OPEC members are discussing a compromise agreement that would see an oil production increase of between 300,000 and 600,000 barrels a day over the next few months, according to people briefed on the talks.

While Iran said on Sunday it's opposed to any increase to current quotas, officials from a number of other countries are optimistic that an agreement can be won for a relatively modest hike at this week's meeting in Vienna, the people said, asking not to be named discussing private conversations.

Brent crude erased losses, gaining as much as 85 cents to $74.29 a barrel at 9:46 a.m. in London. The compromise output boost, if agreed, would be smaller than the 1.5 million-barrel a day quota increase that Russia has proposed.

OPEC officials are also working on putting the cooperation between the cartel, Russia and other oil producers -- the so-called OPEC+ group currently comprising 24 nations -- on a permanent footing. That would be a major diplomatic breakthrough for Riyadh and Moscow after just two years of cooperation on oil policy.

The prospect of binding Russia, the world's largest exporter after Saudi Arabia, more closely to OPEC might help persuade Iran and Venezuela, another skeptic about the need for an increase, to back higher production in the second half of the year.

In the run-up to meetings of OPEC and its allies in Vienna this week, several nations have floated plans for production increases, but no consensus has emerged for what's likely to be a fractious meeting.

After two years of squeezing output to drain a global glut, prices have rallied and inventories are closer to typical levels, sparking debate on the direction of policy in the second half of the year.

Russia, under pressure from domestic oil companies keen to develop new fields, has said the total increase should be as much 1.5 million barrels. A quota increase of that size shared among all members wouldn't deliver a commensurate boost in production because several countries, including Venezuela where economic crisis is slowly destroying the oil industry, are unable to raise output.

An increase of 300,000 to 600,000 barrels a day -- above the current OPEC+ production of about 32 million barrels a day -- would be a real increase in production from those countries with spare capacity including Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United Arab Emirates. Some OPEC members back increasing output by the lower end of the 300,000 to 600,000 barrel a day range, one of the people said.

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih met his Russian counterpart Alexander Novak in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia on Saturday.

In comments to Russian media after the talks, Novak said the group would discuss an increase of as much as 1.5 million barrels a day in the third quarter shared "proportionally" among all the countries in the agreement.

OPEC is being buffeted by competing geopolitical agendas. While Riyadh and Moscow have agreed to open the taps, Iran and Venezuela want to maintain current policy. Behind the scenes, a Trump administration worried about the impact of rising gas prices on mid-term voters is lobbying hard for a surge in production.

The "market is well supplied, and OPEC should abide by its decision up to the end of the year," Iran's OPEC representative Hossein Kazempour Ardebili told Bloomberg on Sunday.

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Earlier:

 Prices
2018, June, 18, 14:25:00

РОССИЯ И САУДОВСКАЯ АРАВИЯ: ДОЛГОСРОЧНАЯ СТРУКТУРА

МИНЭНЕРГО РОССИИ - Стороны также договорились работать совместно со всеми подписантами «декларации о кооперации» от декабря 2016 для создания долгосрочной структуры для взаимодействия на основе декларации, а также пригласить к взаимодействию прочих крупных производителей нефти.

 Prices
2018, June, 18, 14:15:00

РОССИЯ И САУДОВСКАЯ АРАВИЯ: +1,5 МБД

ПРАЙМ - РФ и Саудовская Аравия предложат ОПЕК+ поднять добычу в третьем квартале на 1,5 миллиона баррелей в сутки, а дальше принимать решение по ситуации в сентябре, заявил в субботу журналистам глава Минэнерго Александр Новак.

 Prices
2018, June, 18, 14:10:00

SAUDI ARABIA & RUSSIA: +1 MBD

ARAB NEWS - On June 14, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, Khalid Al-Falih, said it was “inevitable” OPEC+ participants would vote to boost oil production gradually at next week’s meeting . Speaking to reporters in Moscow, Al-Falih said “as usual we will do the right thing … I think we’ll come to an agreement that satisfies most importantly the market.” The deal leaders, Saudi Arabia and Russia, are said to have proposed plans for the group to add as much as 1 million barrels per day to production.

 Prices
2018, June, 15, 11:30:00

RUSSIA - SAUDI ARABIA COOPERATION

ARAB NEWS - Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman held talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow Thursday.

 Prices
2018, June, 15, 10:45:00

U.S. - OPEC TIES

REUTERS - OPEC and U.S. representatives have met at least twice this year, with a third high-profile meeting set for Vienna next week. Finding the optimal balance of crude supply and demand will be the hot topic.

 

 Prices
2018, June, 13, 13:10:00

OIL PRICES: 2018 - $71, 2019 - $68

EIA - Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $77 per barrel (b) in May, an increase of $5/b from the April level and the highest monthly average price since November 2014. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices will average $71/b in 2018 and $68/b in 2019. The 2019 forecast price is $2/b higher than in the May STEO. EIA expects West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices will average almost $7/b lower than Brent prices in 2018 and $6/b lower than Brent prices in 2019

 Prices
2018, June, 8, 13:20:00

OPEC: WORLD OIL DEMAND UP, PRODUCTION DOWN

OPEC - World oil demand averaged 97.20 mb/d in 2017, up by 1.7 per cent y-o-y, with the largest increases taking place in Asia and Pacific region (particularly China and India), Europe and North America. The 2017 oil demand in Africa and the Middle East grew by around 100,000 b/d, as compared to 2016, while oil demand declined in Latin America for the third year in a row.

 

Tags: OPEC, OIL, PRICE, PRODUCTION
OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000 September, 21, 11:00:00

OIL PRICE: NEAR $79 STILL

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000 September, 21, 10:55:00

RUSSIA'S OIL PRODUCTION: 11.3 MBD

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000 September, 21, 10:45:00

UNEXPECTED OIL PRICES

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000 September, 21, 10:40:00

OIL MARKET UNCERTAINTY

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000 September, 21, 10:35:00

OPEC-NON-OPEC DECISIONS

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000 September, 21, 10:30:00

U.S. CAPITAL EXPENDITURES UP

All Publications »

Chronicle:

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000
2018, September, 21, 10:25:00

U.S. ENERGY CASH: $119 BLN

U.S. EIA - Energy companies’ free cash flow—the difference between cash from operations and capital expenditure—was $119 billion for the four quarters ending June 30, 2018, the largest four-quarter sum during 2013–18 Companies reduced debt for seven consecutive quarters, contributing to the lowest long-term debt-to-equity ratio since third-quarter 2014

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000
2018, September, 21, 10:20:00

WORLD OIL DEMAND: 100.23 MBD

OPEC - Total oil demand for 2018 is now estimated at 98.82 mb/d. In 2019, world oil demand growth is forecast to rise by 1.41 mb/d. Total world oil demand in 2019 is now projected to surpass 100 mb/d for the first time and reach 100.23 mb/d.

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000
2018, September, 21, 10:15:00

IRAQ'S OIL: NO RECORD

ARAB NEWS - Oil exports from southern Iraq are heading for a record high this month, two industry sources said, adding to signs that OPEC’s second-largest producer is following through on a deal to raise supply and local unrest is not affecting shipments.

OPEC DISCUSSES 600,000
2018, September, 21, 10:10:00

NATURAL GAS EXPORT UP

PLATTS - The International Energy Agency expects the US to account for 75% of the global growth in natural gas exports over the next five years, a bullish outlook for LNG developers facing challenges at home getting projects off the ground and abroad with tariffs affecting trade flows.

All Publications »