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2019-03-04 11:20:00

OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET

OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET

REUTERSOil prices rose on Monday, buoyed by output cuts by producer club OPEC and reports that the United States and China are close to a deal to end a bitter tariff row that has slowed global economic growth.

International Brent futures were at $65.25 a barrel at 0713 GMT, up 18 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $55.94 per barrel, up 14 cents, or 0.3 percent.

The rally followed reports that the United States and China are close to ending their year-long trade dispute.

The two countries appear close to a deal that would roll back U.S. tariffs on at least $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, as Beijing makes pledges on structural economic changes and eliminates retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, a source briefed on negotiations said on Sunday in Washington.

Hopes of an end to the trade spat between the two world’s biggest economies added support to a market that has been rallying for the past two months on cuts to production

The “substantive progress” China and the United States have made in their trade talks has been “well-received” in both countries and around the world, a senior Chinese official said on Monday.

Supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) fell to a four-year low in February, a Reuters survey found, as top exporter Saudi Arabia and its allies over-delivered on the group’s supply pact while Venezuelan output registered a further involuntary decline.

“OPEC exports are off by over 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) since November,” Barclays bank said in a note released on Sunday.

“The supply picture looks generally tighter this year,” said energy analysts at Fitch Solutions in a note on Monday, adding they expected Brent to average $73 per barrel in 2019.

Oil prices have been further pushed up by U.S. sanctions against OPEC-members Iran and Venezuela, which Barclays bank estimates to have resulted in a reduction of around 2 million bpd in global crude supply.

In the United States, there are signs that the oil production boom of the past years, which has seen crude output rise by more than 2 million bpd since early 2018 to more than 12 million bpd, may slow down.

U.S. energy firms last week cut the number of oil rigs looking for new reserves to the lowest in almost nine months as some producers follow through on plans to cut spending despite an over 20-percent increase in crude futures so far this year.

Despite this, Barclays said “we believe that there could be a repeat performance in the second-half of this year” for U.S. oil output.

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Earlier:

OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
2019, March, 18, 13:10:00
BRENT OIL: UNDERVALUED
In the context of supply and demand balance,the current price of BRENT oil is undervalued.Neither OPEC nor the IEA has considerably brought down their forecasts for global oil demand in the current year.
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
2019, March, 1, 12:20:00
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70
Oil prices climbed on Friday as markets tightened amid output cuts by producer club OPEC, but surging U.S. supply and concerns of global economic slowdown kept a lid on further gains.
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
2019, March, 1, 12:10:00
OIL PRICES 2019-20: ABOVE $60
Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $59 per barrel (b) in January, up $2/b from December 2018 but $10/b lower than the average in January of last year.
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
2019, February, 27, 09:55:00
OIL PRICE: NEAR $66 ANEW
Oil prices rose on Wednesday after a report of declining U.S. crude inventories and as producer club OPEC seemed to stick to its supply cuts despite pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump.
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
2019, February, 27, 09:45:00
OIL MARKET BALANCE
Abu Dhabi: Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazroui said the oil market is on the “right track” and that the market will quickly return to balance in the first quarter of this year.
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
2019, February, 27, 09:40:00
OPEC CONTINUE CUTS
REUTERS - Based on current market data, the so-called OPEC+ group is “likely to continue with the production cuts until the end of the year”, the source told Reuters.
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
2019, February, 18, 12:25:00
OIL DEMAND GROWTH 1.4 MBD
IEA - Growth in 4Q18 was robust at 1.4 mb/d y-o-y and for 2018 as a whole growth was 1.3 mb/d.
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Tags: OIL, PRICE, BRENT, WTI