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2019-04-26 11:25:00

OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65

OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65

WBG - Crude oil prices are expected to average $66 a barrel in 2019 and $65 a barrel in 2020, a downward revision from the October forecast due to the weaker-than-expected global growth outlook and greater-than-anticipated U.S. production, the World Bank said.

Metal prices are expected to continue a recovery in 2019 that follows a sharp drop in the second half of 2018, the World Bank said in its April Commodity Markets Outlook. The recovery has been spurred by stabilization of activity in China after weakness around the turn of the year, as well as various supply shortfalls.

"It has become clear that the commodity price cycle has come to an end, which is causing strains for exporters but may offer opportunities for importers," said Ceyla Pazarbasioglu, World Bank Equitable Growth, Finance & Institutions Vice President. "Exporters may have to adapt to slower gains in commodity revenues with economic diversification, while importers could take advantage of lower commodity prices for increased investment."

Agriculture prices are projected to fall 2.6 percent this year but rebound in 2020 due to lower crop production and higher costs for energy and fertilizers. An escalation of trade tensions would likely push prices lower, but higher-than-expected energy costs could lift prices more than expected.

"The outlook for commodity prices is sensitive to policy-related risks, especially for oil," said Ayhan Kose, Director of the World Bank's Prospects Group. "The outlook for oil could be swayed by a range of policy outcomes, including whether the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and partners extend production cuts, the impact of the removal of waivers to the U.S. sanctions on Iran, and looming changes in marine fuel emissions regulations."

After a drop in late 2018, oil prices have risen steadily since the start of the year, as OPEC and partners have cut production, and output has declined in Venezuela and Iran. U.S. shale production is expected to remain robust after surging in 2018. Energy prices overall – which also include natural gas and coal ‒ are expected to average 5.4 percent lower in 2019 than in 2018.

A special focus section shows that when countries intervene to dampen the effect of food price fluctuations on their citizens, the collective intervention of many countries can produce the opposite of the intended effect and amplify movements in world prices – to the detriment of the most vulnerable populations.

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Earlier:

OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65
2019, April, 24, 11:35:00
OIL PRICE: NOT ABOVE $74
Crude oil prices for spot delivery rose to 2019 highs earlier in the week after the United States said on Monday it would end all exemptions for sanctions against Iran, demanding countries halt oil imports from Tehran from May or face punitive action from Washington.
OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65
2019, April, 24, 11:30:00
OIL MARKET IS FINE
The International Energy Agency is monitoring developments in global oil markets, and notes that markets are now adequately supplied, and that global spare production capacity remains at comfortable levels.
OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65
2019, April, 22, 08:55:00
OIL PRICE: NEAR $74
Oil prices rallied by about 3 percent on Monday to their highest since late 2018 as the United States was set to announce that all imports of Iranian oil must end or be subject to sanctions.
OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65
2019, April, 15, 12:10:00
FRAGILE OIL MARKET
Iranian Minister of Petroleum Bijan Zangeneh said the current crude oil market was in a fragile state, adding, “If the US decided to exert more pressure on Iran, the oil market would become unpredictably more fragile.”
OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65
2019, April, 12, 11:35:00
GLOBAL ECONOMY CHANGES
With this weakness expected to persist into the first half of 2019, our new World Economic Outlook (WEO) projects a slowdown in growth in 2019 for 70 percent of the world economy. Global growth softened to 3.6 percent in 2018 and is projected to decline further to 3.3 percent in 2019.
OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65
2019, April, 10, 11:35:00
OIL PRICES 2019-20: $65-$62
Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $66 per barrel (b) in March, up $2/b from February 2019. Brent prices for the first quarter of 2019 averaged $63/b, which is $4/b lower than the same period in 2018. Despite lower crude oil prices than last year, Brent prices in March were $9/b higher than in December 2018, marking the largest December-to-March price increase since December 2011 to March 2012.
OIL PRICES 2019-20: $66 - $65
2019, April, 10, 11:25:00
OIL MARKET HEALTH
The kingdom will pump about 9.8 million barrels a day in March and April and export less than 7 million barrels daily in both months, Al-Falih said in March. Saudi Arabia has a production target of 10.3 million barrels a day.
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Tags: OIL, PRICE, BRENT, WTI