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2020-11-18 14:30:00

U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD

U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD

U.S. EIA - NOVEMBER 17, 2020 - In the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) November Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts that U.S. crude oil production will remain near its current level through the end of 2021.

A record 12.9 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil was produced in the United States in November 2019 and was at 12.7 million b/d in March 2020, when the President declared a national emergency concerning the COVID-19 outbreak. Crude oil production then fell to 10.0 million b/d in May 2020, the lowest level since January 2018.

By August, the latest monthly data available in EIA’s series, production of crude oil had risen to 10.6 million b/d in the United States, and the U.S. benchmark price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil had increased from a monthly average of $17 per barrel (b) in April to $42/b in August. EIA forecasts that the WTI price will average $43/b in the first half of 2021, up from our forecast of $40/b during the second half of 2020.

The U.S. crude oil production forecast reflects EIA’s expectations that annual global petroleum demand will not recover to pre-pandemic levels (101.5 million b/d in 2019) through at least 2021. EIA forecasts that global consumption of petroleum will average 92.9 million b/d in 2020 and 98.8 million b/d in 2021.

The gradual recovery in global demand for petroleum contributes to EIA’s forecast of higher crude oil prices in 2021. EIA expects that the Brent crude oil price will increase from its 2020 average of $41/b to $47/b in 2021.

EIA’s crude oil price forecast depends on many factors, especially changes in global production of crude oil. As of early November, members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and partner countries (OPEC+) were considering plans to keep production at current levels, which could result in higher crude oil prices. OPEC+ had previously planned to ease production cuts in January 2021.

Other factors could result in lower-than-forecast prices, especially a slower recovery in global petroleum demand. As COVID-19 cases continue to increase, some parts of the United States are adding restrictions such as curfews and limitations on gatherings and some European countries are re-instituting lockdown measures.

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Earlier:

U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD
2020, November, 17, 13:25:00
OIL PRICE: NEAR $44
Brent rose 18 cents, or 0.4%, to $44.00 a barrel. WTI added 8 cents, or 0.2%, to $41.42 a barrel.
U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD
2020, November, 16, 12:10:00
U.S. RIGS UP 12 TO 312
U.S. Rig Count is up 12 from last week to 312 , Canada Rig Count is up 3 from last week to 89
U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD
2020, November, 13, 13:20:00
U.S. OIL INVENTORIES UP 4.3 MB TO 488.7 MB
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 4.3 million barrels to 488.7 million barrels
U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD
2020, October, 26, 14:00:00
U.S. SHALE SURVIVORS
The sector is in full-on merger mode in response to oil prices that have been stuck at around $40 a barrel in recent months after the Covid-19 pandemic hit global demand.
U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD
2020, October, 19, 14:35:00
U.S. SHALE RECOVERY
US oil production is unlikely to return to a pre-pandemic peak of more than 13 million b/d,
U.S. OIL PRODUCTION WILL BE 10.6 MBD
2020, October, 16, 13:00:00
U.S. OIL EXPORTS DOWN
The US exported an average of 2.135 million b/d of crude over the weekend ended on Oct. 9, the lowest level since the week ended on August 2, 2019,
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Tags: USA, OIL, PRODUCTION