OIL PRICE SUPPORT: NEAR $29
PLATTS - 19 Mar 2020 - Crude oil futures were supported early afternoon in Europe Thursday following large monetary announcements overnight, but remained weighed on by COVID-19 demand concerns at a time of increasing supply by OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia, among others.
May ICE Brent crude futures -- the front-month contract hit its lowest since 2003 on Wednesday -- were up 80 cents/b at $25.68/b, with the April NYMEX crude contract up $1.77/b at $22.14/b.
Futures saw support from the European Central Bank's launch of its response to the coronavirus pandemic, including a Eur750 billion ($805 billion) package to buy government and company debt across Europe.
"Extraordinary times require extraordinary action," ECB chief Christine Lagarde said.
However, concerns of demand destruction were still rife within the markets as Australia and New Zealand became the latest countries to close their borders to travelers.
Global oil demand will contract by 2.8 million b/d, or 2.8%, this year as worldwide measures to slow the spread of coronavirus pandemic continue to escalate, Norway-based consultant Rystad Energy forecast Wednesday.
"The ECB move has brought stability to the markets for now. But we have to play it by the hour. It is difficult to predict what will happen this afternoon," Oliver Jakob of Petromatrix said.
"There are too many things at play. It is exhausting and it is difficult to make a price forecast for the next three days."
There was no sign of Russia and Saudi Arabia being any closer to resolving an output dispute that led to Saudi Arabia planning to supply the market with 12.3 million b/d of crude over coming months.
US Republican senators have begun to pressure the kingdom into change its course. Some 13 Republican senators sent a letter to Saudi Arabia's de facto leader, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, calling the US a "strong and reliable partner" of the kingdom for decades and urging the Saudis to be a "force for stability" in the global oil market to counter the demand impacts of the spread of the coronavirus.
President Trump is said by sources to have had little engagement with the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, as he sees falling prices at the pump as beneficial for his re-election campaign later this year.
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