RUS | ENG | All
Enter the email or login, that you used for registration.
If you do not remember your password, simply leave this field blank and you will receive a new, along with a link to activate.

Not registered yet?
Welcome!

2020-04-02 14:55:00

#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP

#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP

PLATTS - 01 Apr 2020 - Released from its OPEC obligations to rein in production, Saudi state-run oil giant Aramco said Wednesday it was filling 15 tankers with more than 18.8 million barrels of crude — its most ever in one day as it ratchets up its price war with erstwhile ally Russia.

But plummeting demand, tightening storage availability and shrinking refinery margins with much of the world on coronavirus lockdowns could leave some of those cargoes struggling to find buyers, according to market sources, who say Aramco will have to slash its selling prices further to unload all of its crude.

Many of the tankers that have loaded from Saudi Arabia in recent days have no listed destination or have indicated they are awaiting orders, which could mean their cargoes are unsold, though this information often is not immediately updated on ship tracking services.

"Middle East crude grades are cheap in a sense, but it's pointless when you cannot sell the product," one Singapore-based trader told S&P Global Platts, asking not to be named.

Saudi Arabia is following through on its threat to flood the market, after Russia last month rejected a Saudi-led OPEC proposal for significant production cuts to backstop already sliding oil prices from the coronavirus pandemic's impact on the global economy.

With no deal agreed, the OPEC+ alliance's output quotas expired at the end of March, and Saudi Arabia has said it would export more than 10 million b/d under a plan to supply the market with 12.3 million b/d of crude, including domestic consumption.

Other OPEC members, including the UAE and Iraq, have likewise announced they will boost production and exports, but none has the scale and capacity of Saudi Arabia, already the world's largest crude exporter.

The wave of oil has exacerbated the historic collapse in prices, sparking oil industry panic from Texas to Tehran, many begging the kingdom to back off its crude surge — so far ignored.

"As the world demands economic stability, Aramco remains committed to supplying the world with energy," the company said in a statement.

Aramco already began hiking its crude exports towards the end of March, shipping 8.96 million b/d during the last week, up from 7.50 million b/d in the first week of the month, according to provisional data from Platts shipping tracker cFlow.

For March overall, Saudi crude exports were a 15-month high of 7.60 million b/d, a rise of 400,000 b/d from February, the data showed.

Platts reported last week that Aramco was sending unusually high volumes of crude to its storage caverns in Sidi Kerir, Egypt, and Rotterdam in the Netherlands, as the company seeks to move barrels closer to key European customers.

Energy data firm Kpler also noted a swell in Saudi crude exports in the back half of March, as well as a strong build in the kingdom's domestic onshore inventories to 77.1 million barrels, just below the recent peak and all-time high of 77.4 million barrels.

The export rise and inventory gains are "a strong indicator of increasing production," said Alex Booth, Kpler's head of market analysis.

MORE PRICE CUTS COMING?

Market realities may make it difficult for Aramco to maintain record-busting export levels indefinitely, given the massive contraction in demand. Platts Analytics expects Saudi Arabia may supply as low as 11.5 million b/d to the market, some 800,000 b/d below Aramco's announced pledge.

Sources say many refiners in Asia and the US have turned down offers of crude from Aramco, with several already slashing their runs or even shutting operations in the face of evaporating margins.

"Prices for sour crude grades are quite low, lower than their valuations, but the problem is there is no demand ... yet Saudi keeps increasing production," said one Southeast Asian refinery official on condition of anonymity.

On Wednesday, 29 crude tankers were loading or waiting to be loaded at Saudi Arabia's main export terminal of Ras Tanura in the Persian Gulf, while another five were at Yanbu port on the Red Sea, according to cFlow.

Traders will be watching closely Aramco's official selling prices for May crude cargoes, which are expected to be released next week. Aramco sparked a 30% sell-off in crude prices last month, in announcing its April OSPs with some of its biggest cuts ever.

Even greater discounts may be needed to incentivize buyers to take the flood of Saudi crude, as storage rates rise and tank availability tightens.

"25% of the world on lockdown, and these [OPEC] countries want to produce as much oil as they can," the Singapore-based trader said. "This could become a situation of endless cuts every cycle."

-----


Earlier:

#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2020, March, 30, 10:25:00
#OilPriceWar AGAINST U.S.
A group of six U.S. senators wrote a letter to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo this week saying Saudi Arabia and Russia “have embarked upon economic warfare against the United States” and were threatening U.S. “energy dominance”.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2020, March, 30, 10:20:00
#OilPriceWar: OPEC+: THE NEW AGREEMENT
Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and Russian counterpart Alexander Novak have not held any discussions about a joint agreement to balance oil markets, indicating no resolution to the price war.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2020, March, 30, 10:15:00
#OilPriceWar LOSSES $192 BLN
Oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa region will lose $192 billion in crude income in 2020
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2020, March, 27, 13:55:00
#OilPriceWar: RUSSIA UNCHANGED
Russia ramped up measures to combat the virus on Wednesday, with Russian President Vladimir Putin announcing that next week would be a paid non-working week throughout the country.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2020, March, 26, 11:40:00
#OilPriceWar: U.S. NEED HELP
Some US shale producers have been pressuring the Trump administration to intervene in the price war, which broke out after Russia earlier this month declined to go along with an OPEC proposal for production cuts to prop up prices.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2020, March, 26, 11:35:00
#OilPriceWar: CHINA WINS
China is saving about $250mn a day after crude prices crashed this year amid dual demand and supply shocks.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2020, March, 23, 13:45:00
#OilPriceWar VICTIM
US oil producers are likely to be a victim of the oil-price war,
All Publications »
Tags: OIL, PRICE, SAUDI, ARABIA, RUSSIA, USA, OPEC
Chronicle:
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2022, October, 6, 13:04:00
2022 SAUDI PIPELINES INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE & EXIBITIONS
Eventat Co (a Saudi local company) is hosting the first-ever “2022 Saudi Pipelines International Conference & Exhibitions” from 4-6 October, 2022 at the Dhahran Expo, Dammam (Eastern Province), Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The three-day conference and exhibition are dedicated to bringing together over “50+ Regional/International speakers, 100+ Sponsors/Exhibitors, 1000+ Delegates and 3000+ Visitors” from around the globe who carry significant interest in enhancing the pipelines lifecycle for the current and future.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2022, October, 6, 13:03:00
INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS AND EXIBITION TURKEY & BLACK SEA OIL AND GAS
International Congress and Exhibition Turkey & Black Sea Oil and Gas is an international, professional platform, bringing together over 200 C-suite executives from vertically integrated oil companies, general directors, CTOs of oil refineries, gas processing plants and petrochemical facilities, initiators of investment projects on oil and gas extraction from Turkey and countries of the Black Sea area, officials of regulatory authorities, licensors of production technologies and world suppliers for the industry.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2022, October, 6, 13:02:00
TRANSPORTATION OIL AND GAS CONGRASS 2023 (TOGC 2023)
Transportation Oil and Gas Congress 2023 (TOGC 2023) takes place on February 20-21, 2023. The Congress brings together representatives from the whole pipeline chain and focuses on both strategic and technical issues of the oil and gas pipeline transportation.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2022, October, 6, 13:01:00
Pipelines In A Sustainable Future And Other Highlights Of TOGC 2023(TOGC 2023)
Transportation Oil and Gas Congress (TOGC) is held on February, 20-21, 2023, Istanbul, Türkiye. During 2 days of intensive networking participants get direct access to the whole pipeline chain. Among the highlights of the program are Panels, show type sessions based on discussion between panelists. They discuss the role of pipelines in a sustainable future, digital transformation and optimization of the pipeline industry, pipeline economics and pipeline integrity, H2 in Gas Grid.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2022, October, 6, 13:00:00
RUSSIAN NUCLEAR FOR BRAZIL
Russia and Brazil already have ties in the nuclear energy field with an MoU signed in 2017 by Rosatom and Brazil’s Electrobras and Electonuclear to promote cooperation in nuclear power.
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2022, October, 6, 12:59:00
9TH INTERNATIONAL LNG CONGRESS LNGCON 2023
9th International LNG Congress (LNGCON 2023) 6-7 March, 2023 Link to the Congress website: https://bit.ly/3tXVmr7
#OilPriceWar: ARAMCO'S OIL DELIVERIES UP
2022, October, 6, 12:58:00
DISCUSSING LNG MARKET TRENDS AT LNGCON 2023
The closed-door International LNG Congress 2023 assembles top-level management and technical representatives of the LNG industry to discuss prevailing questions and present innovative solutions in Dusseldorf, Germany on March, 6-7, 2023.
All Publications »