U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN 5.4%

U.S. FRB - April 15, 2020 - Total industrial production fell 5.4 percent in March, as the COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic led many factories to suspend operations late in the month. Manufacturing output fell 6.3 percent; most major industries posted decreases, with the largest decline registered by motor vehicles and parts. The decreases for total industrial production and for manufacturing were their largest since January 1946 and February 1946, respectively. The indexes for utilities and mining declined 3.9 percent and 2.0 percent, respectively. At 103.7 percent of its 2012 average, the level of total industrial production in March was 5.5 percent lower than a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector decreased 4.3 percentage points to 72.7 percent in March, a rate that is 7.1 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2019) average.

Market Groups

All major market groups recorded decreases in production in March. The index for consumer goods fell 5.9 percent, with a drop of 18.9 percent for consumer durables, a decline of 5.3 percent for consumer energy products, and a decrease of 0.9 percent for consumer non-energy nondurables. The weakness in consumer durables was led by a drop of 27.2 percent in automotive products, while the decline for consumer energy products reflected decreases in both fuels and utilities. The production of business equipment decreased 8.6 percent, held down by a drop of 22.8 percent in transit equipment that reflected cutbacks in the output of both motor vehicles and civilian aircraft. The indexes for construction supplies and business supplies declined 5.8 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively. The output of materials fell 4.3 percent, with a drop of about 8 percent for durables and decreases of less than 3 percent for nondurables and energy.

Industry Groups

Manufacturing output dropped 6.3 percent in March and at an annual rate of 7.1 percent in the first quarter. In March, the index for durable manufacturing fell 9.1 percent; the most sizable decline among its components was in motor vehicles and parts, where output fell 28.0 percent. Durable goods industries that recorded decreases of between 8 percent and 10 percent included fabricated metal products, aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment, furniture and related products, and miscellaneous manufacturing. The index for nondurables fell 3.2 percent, with substantial declines in many industries but smaller decreases of 2 percent or less in food, beverage, and tobacco products; paper; and chemicals. The output of other manufacturing (publishing and logging) fell 5.4 percent.

The output of utilities declined 3.9 percent in March, with similarly sized decreases for both electric and natural gas utilities. Mining output fell 2.0 percent, with the largest decreases in crude oil extraction, natural gas liquids extraction, coal mining, and non-energy mining.

Capacity utilization for manufacturing in March was 70.3 percent, 4.7 percentage points lower than in February and 7.9 percentage points below its long-run average. The operating rate for durable manufacturing dropped to 67.8 percent, about 9 percentage points below its long-run average, held down by decreases in every major industry group. Capacity utilization for nondurables fell 2.5 percentage points to 73.9 percent, about 6 percentage points below its long-run average. Utilization rates for printing and support, for textile and product mills, and for apparel and leather all recorded drops of nearly 10 percentage points or more.

-----