2020-09-28 12:10:00
OIL PRICE: NOT BELOW $41 AGAIN
REUTERS - SEPTEMBER 28, 2020 - Oil prices dipped on Monday as rising coronavirus cases upset hopes for a smooth recovery in fuel demand, with the main crude benchmarks on track for their first monthly falls in multiple months after slipping last week.
Brent crude LCOc1 fell 37 cents, or 0.9%, to $41.55 a barrel by 0652 GMT after dropping 2.9% last week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate CLc1 was at $39.86 a barrel, down 39 cents or 1%, following a 2.1% decline last week.
Brent is on track to fall for the first month in six while WTI is headed for its first monthly loss since April as the reimposition of mobility curbs in some countries clouds the outlook on fuel demand recovery.
"New COVID-19 case numbers are accelerating in major U.S. states, renewing fears of mobility restrictions challenging the ongoing oil demand recovery in the last quarter," ANZ analysts said in a note.
Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Monday that the global oil market has been stable for the past few months and the demand-supply balance restored, but warned of the risks of a second wave of COVID-19 cases.
More crude is also being exported from OPEC producers Iran and Libya despite efforts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies to limit output.
Last week, U.S. energy firms also added oil and natural gas rigs for a second week in a row, according to Baker Hughes.
Still, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo said on Sunday that commercial oil inventories in OECD countries are expected to stand only slightly above the five-year average in the first quarter of 2021, before falling below that level for the rest of the year.
The one factor that may offer some support to the market is the prospect of strike action, ING analysts said.
In Norway, one of the largest oil producers outside OPEC, a workers' strike that may take place on Sept. 30 is threatening to cut its production by 900,000 barrels per day, the Norwegian Oil and Gas Association (NOG) said on Friday.
Also, one of the heaviest clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan since 2016 broke out over the weekend, reigniting concern about stability in the South Caucasus, a corridor for pipelines carrying oil and gas to world markets.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday that money managers raised their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions in the week to Sept. 22.
"The bulk of the buying that was seen over the week was driven by short-covering, with the gross short position falling by a little over 20k lots," the ING analysts said. Investors may have heeded the Saudi oil minister's warning against shorting the oil market, they said.
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Earlier:
2020, September, 25, 13:20:00
OIL PRICE: NEAR $42
Brent was up 30 cents at $42.24 a barrel, WTI rose 23 cents to $40.54 a barrel.
2020, September, 25, 13:00:00
OPEC+ IRAQ REDUCING
OPEC’s second-biggest producer, Iraq has failed in the past to fully comply with OPEC+ oil output reductions,
2020, September, 25, 12:55:00
RUSSIA'S OIL EXPORTS DOWN, LNG UP
Russia’s crude oil export in January-July 2020 was down 4.2% year-on-year to 143.2 mn tons. In terms of value, crude oil export decreased by 36.6% year-on-year making $43.9 bn.
2020, September, 24, 12:35:00
OIL PRICE: BELOW $42 YET
Brent dropped 34 cents, or 0.8%, to $41.43 a barrel, WTI fell 37 cents, or 0.9%, to $39.56 a barrel.
2020, September, 24, 12:20:00
OPEC+ REBALANCING: 2021
The OPEC+ agreement, along with declines in production elsewhere, including the United States, brought global supply lower than the level of global demand for the first time since mid-2019.
2020, September, 24, 12:15:00
U.S. OIL INVENTORIES DOWN BY 1.6 MB TO 494.4 MB
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 1.6 million barrels to 494.4 million barrels,
2020, September, 23, 15:10:00
U.S. OIL EXPORTS UPDOWN
Despite a decline since the record monthly high of 3.7 million b/d in February, U.S. crude oil exports averaged 3.2 million b/d in the first half of 2020, up from 2.9 million b/d in the first half of 2019.
