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2021-07-08 12:50:00

OIL PRICE: NEAR $73

OIL PRICE: NEAR $73

REUTERS July 8, 2021 - Oil prices fell for a third day on Thursday amid uncertainty over supply after the collapse this week of talks among major producers which could potentially cause the current output agreement to be abandoned.

Brent crude oil futures slipped by 23 cents, or 0.3%, to $73.20 a barrel by 0644GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures were down 33 cents, or 0.5%, at $71.87 a barrel.

Brent prices have fallen about 5% since Monday's close after talks between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, known as OPEC+, fell apart when de facto leader Saudi Arabia refused demands from the United Arab Emirates to raise its output under the group's supply cut agreement.

"The oil market is looking beyond the oil supply deficit in August and expecting the OPEC+ agreement to fall apart well before April 2022 when the agreement expires as other member countries will ask for further concessions to secure more market share," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

OPEC+ has restrained supply for more than a year since demand crashed during the coronavirus pandemic.

The group is maintaining nearly 6 million barrels per day (bpd) of output cuts and was expected to add to supply, but three days of meetings failed to close divisions between the Saudis and the Emiratis.

Russia is trying to mediate between Saudi Arabia and the UAE to help strike a deal to raise oil output, three OPEC+ sources said on Wednesday. 

Prices found some support from a large drop in oil inventories in the United States.

Oil stockpiles in the world's biggest oil user fell by 8 million barrels for the week ended July 2, according to two market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures, compared with an estimate of a 4 million barrel fall by analysts in a Reuters poll.

Government inventory data is due on Thursday, pushed back a day following the U.S. Fourth of July holiday on Monday.

U.S. oil production declines this year are expected to lessen with the Energy Information Administration (EIA) saying on Wednesday that output will be 11.10 million bpd in 2021, down by 210,000 bpd from 2020, versus its previous forecast for a drop of 230,000 bpd. 

Concerns over the coronavirus, however, weighed on prices, with Japan, the world's fourth-largest oil user, set to declare a state of emergency for the Tokyo area through Aug. 22 amid a new wave of infections and South Korea reporting its highest ever daily COVID-19 cases. 

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Earlier:

OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 7, 11:30:00
OIL PRICE: NEAR $75
Brent was up 74cents, or 1%, at $75.27 a barrel , WTI was up 88 cents, or 1.2%, at $74.25 a barrel,
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 7, 11:25:00
OPEC+ NO QUOTAS
The OPEC+ had failed to agree to increase production quotas from August onward after the UAE objected to Saudi Arabia's plan to tie the production increases to a lengthening of the supply management pact through to the end of 2022.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 6, 12:20:00
OIL PRICE: NOT BELOW $77
Brent climbed 18 cents or 0.2% to stand at $77.34 a barrel, WTI were at $76.57 a barrel, up $1.41 or 1.9% from Friday’s close.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 6, 12:15:00
OPEC+ NO DECISION
“The 18th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting has been called off,” OPEC Secretary General, HE Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo, said in a letter to Heads of Delegation of OPEC Member Countries and non-OPEC oil producing countries participating in the Declaration of Cooperation (DoC).
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 6, 12:10:00
UAE SUPPORT OPEC
The Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure has affirmed that the UAE is a longstanding and committed member of OPEC, and OPEC+, and have been a reliable partner in the current OPEC+ agreement, delivering compliance of 103% throughout its 2-year term.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 5, 13:30:00
OIL PRICE: NOT BELOW $76
Brent was up 30 cents, or 0.4%, at $76.47 a barrel, WTI gained 32 cents, or 0.4%, to $75.48 a barrel.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 2, 12:40:00
OIL PRICE: BELOW $76
Brent were down 20 cents at $75.64 a barrel , WTI were down 15 cents at $75.08.
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Tags: OIL, PRICE, BRENT, WTI
Chronicle:
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 9, 12:04:00
HYDROGEN RUSSIA AND CIS, Moscow, 20-21 October 2021
International Conference and Exhibition ‘Hydrogen Russia and CIS’ brings together more than 200 senior executives of hydrogen production plants from Russia and the CIS
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 9, 12:00:00
ARGENTINA'S NUCLEAR SMR
Before work was suspended, it was in line to be the world’s first operating SMR. The government licensed it as a prototype in 2009.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 9, 11:55:00
CHILE'S COAL GENERATION DOWN
In June 2021, the Chamber of Deputies of Chile has approved a bill that prohibits the installation and operation of coal-fired power plants.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 8, 12:45:00
OIL PRICES 2021-22: $72-$67
We expect rising production will reduce the persistent global oil inventory draws that have occurred for much of the past year and keep prices similar to current levels, averaging $72/b during the second half of 2021 (2H21).
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 8, 12:40:00
EUROPE CLIMATE RULES
According to draft proposals seen by market sources, the CBAM will replace the current system of free carbon allowances for metals sectors, and tighten allowances in the European Emissions Trading System generally, a bone of contention for some.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 8, 12:35:00
ASIA INDEXES DOWN ANEW
The Hang Seng index (.HSI) led losses with a 1.9% drop, its eighth consecutive session in the red, with more falls in internet giants Tencent (0700.HK), Meituan (3690.HK) and Alibaba (9988.HK) as the sector reels from sweeping Chinese regulatory scrutinty.
OIL PRICE: NEAR $73
2021, July, 8, 12:30:00
LNG FOR BRAZIL, ARGENTINA
Brazil is responsible for almost half of the imports into South America for the record month, accounting for almost half of the total demand, or 37 Bcf for the month. Imports into Argentina have also been on the rise as domestic gas production and imports from Bolivia have proved insufficient to meet the projected demand for winter in the Southern Hemisphere.
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