GLOBAL GROWTH WILL DOWN
РЕЙТЕР -
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2018, March, 14, 11:45:00
REUTERS - U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $60.77 a barrel at 0753 GMT, up 6 cents, or 0.1 percent, from their previous settlement. Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $64.62 per barrel, down just 2 cents from their last close.
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2018, March, 7, 15:00:00
РЕЙТЕР - К 9.17 МСК фьючерсы на североморскую смесь Brent опустились на 0,85 процента до $65,23 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую лёгкую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $62,07 за баррель, что на 0,85 процента ниже предыдущего закрытия.
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2018, March, 7, 14:00:00
EIA - North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $65 per barrel (b) in February, a decrease of $4/b from the January level and the first month-over-month average decrease since June 2017. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices will average about $62/b in both 2018 and 2019 compared with an average of $54/b in 2017.
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2018, March, 5, 11:35:00
РЕЙТЕР - К 9.28 МСК фьючерсы на североморскую смесь Brent поднялись на 0,33 процента до $64,58 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую лёгкую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $61,44 за баррель, что на 0,31 процента выше предыдущего закрытия.
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2018, March, 4, 11:30:00
МИНФИН РОССИИ - Средняя цена нефти марки Urals по итогам января – февраля 2018 года составила $ 65,99 за баррель.
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2018, February, 27, 14:15:00
РЕЙТЕР - К 9.18 МСК фьючерсы на североморскую смесь Brent опустились на 0,15 процента до $67,40 за баррель. Фьючерсные контракты на американскую лёгкую нефть WTI к этому времени торговались у отметки $63,80 за баррель, что на 0,17 процента ниже предыдущего закрытия.
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2018, February, 27, 14:05:00
МИНФИН РОССИИ - Средняя цена на нефть Urals за период мониторинга с 15 января по 14 февраля 2018 года составила $66,26457 за баррель, или $483,7 за тонну.
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GLOBAL GROWTH WILL DOWN
IMF - January 30, 2023 - The January 2023 World Economic Outlook Update
Inflation Peaking amid Low Growth
Global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.9 percent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. The forecast for 2023 is 0.2 percentage point higher than predicted in the October 2022 World Economic Outlook (WEO) but below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8 percent. The rise in central bank rates to fight inflation and Russia’s war in Ukraine continue to weigh on economic activity. The rapid spread of COVID-19 in China dampened growth in 2022, but the recent reopening has paved the way for a faster-than-expected recovery. Global inflation is expected to fall from 8.8 percent in 2022 to 6.6 percent in 2023 and 4.3 percent in 2024, still above pre-pandemic (2017–19) levels of about 3.5 percent.
The balance of risks remains tilted to the downside, but adverse risks have moderated since the October 2022 WEO. On the upside, a stronger boost from pent-up demand in numerous economies or a faster fall in inflation are plausible. On the downside, severe health outcomes in China could hold back the recovery, Russia’s war in Ukraine could escalate, and tighter global financing conditions could worsen debt distress. Financial markets could also suddenly reprice in response to adverse inflation news, while further geopolitical fragmentation could hamper economic progress.
In most economies, amid the cost-of-living crisis, the priority remains achieving sustained disinflation. With tighter monetary conditions and lower growth potentially affecting financial and debt stability, it is necessary to deploy macroprudential tools and strengthen debt restructuring frameworks. Accelerating COVID-19 vaccinations in China would safeguard the recovery, with positive cross-border spillovers. Fiscal support should be better targeted at those most affected by elevated food and energy prices, and broad-based fiscal relief measures should be withdrawn. Stronger multilateral cooperation is essential to preserve the gains from the rules-based multilateral system and to mitigate climate change by limiting emissions and raising green investment.
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