ГЛОБАЛЬНАЯ НЕФТЬ: ВЫШЕ ОЖИДАНИЙ
ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВО РОССИИ - 6 июня 2024 - Александр Новак оценил перспективы глобального спроса на нефть
На панельной сессии «Будущее рынка нефти и газа: перспективы глобального спроса и планы производителей» в рамках Петербургского международного экономического форума вице-премьер Александр Новак отметил рост мирового спроса на нефть выше ожиданий. Согласно прогнозам ОПЕК+, спрос на нефть в 2024 году вырастет на 2,2 млн баррелей в сутки (б/с), до 102 млн б/с. «В перспективе до 2030 года, а это всего 6 лет, сегодняшние 102 млн б/с могут превратиться в 110 млн б/с или даже 115 млн б/с», – отметил Александр Новак. По его словам, будут продолжать расти авиаперевозки, нефтехимия, будет расти спрос в странах Азии и Африки. «Нефть найдёт свое применение», – подчеркнул вице-премьер.
Министр энергетики Королевства Саудовская Аравия Абдель Азиз бен Сальман Аль Сауд заявил, что ОПЕК+ не поддастся внешнему давлению и будет держать рынок в балансе. «Технология, когда на нас оказывается давление, с нами не работает», – сказал он.
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ГЛОБАЛЬНАЯ НЕФТЬ: ВЫШЕ ОЖИДАНИЙ
REUTERS - June 5, 2024 - Oil prices hovered near four-month lows in Asia on Wednesday as markets digested an OPEC+ decision to boost supply later this year and following an increase in U.S. crude and fuel stocks.
Brent crude futures were up 4 cents at $77.56 a barrel by 0307 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were flat at $73.25 a barrel.
Both contracts fell nearly a dollar on Tuesday to their lowest settlement levels since early February, and had declined around $3 a barrel on Monday.
The slide followed news from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies of plans to increase supply from October despite recent signs of weakening demand growth.
"Brent remains under pressure as a corner of the market continues to view OPEC's proposed taper timeline for the voluntary cuts as a binding commitment to increase by 500,000 barrels per day in Q4 2024 irrespective of the fundamental oil outlook or sentiment come summer's end," RBC Capital head of commodities research, Helima Croft, said in a market note.
However, Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, has said OPEC+ would pause the unwinding of the cuts or reverse them if demand wasn't strong enough to absorb the barrels.
"The intention has always been to slow roll the barrels back in and not to send the market into a tailspin with a supply surge," Croft noted.
In the U.S., crude oil, gasoline and distillate stocks rose last week, according to sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures.
API figures showed crude stocks increased more than 4 million barrels in the week ended May 31, against analysts' forecasts in a Reuters poll for a 2.3 million-barrel decline.
Independent energy analyst Tim Evans wrote that the crude figures in the API report "represents a clear bearish surprise."
Gasoline stocks rose by more than 4 million barrels, twice the build expected by analysts.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration will publish official stockpiles data on Wednesday at 1430 GMT.
Data for last week is being closely watched by markets because it reflects fuel usage around the Memorial Day holiday, the start of the so-called U.S. driving season.
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Earlier:
2024, June, 5, 06:30:00
OPEC+ RUSSIA: 2025
Extend the level of overall crude oil production for OPEC and non-OPEC Participating Countries in the DoC as per the attached table starting 1 January 2025 until 31 December 2025.
2024, May, 15, 06:55:00
GLOBAL OIL DEMAND +2.2 MBD
The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains broadly unchanged from last month’s assessment at 2.2 mb/d.
2024, May, 15, 06:50:00
OPEC+ RUSSIA VS SANCTIONS
Novak is taking on additional responsibility for economic development and anti-sanctions measures after former economic development minister Andrey Belousov was named new defense minister in a dramatic change of guard during the third year of full-scale war in Ukraine.
2024, April, 8, 06:50:00
OPEC+ HIGH CONFORMITY
The Committee also welcomed the announcement by the Russian Federation that its voluntary adjustments in the second quarter of 2024 will be based on production instead of exports.
2024, March, 7, 06:55:00
OPEC+ VOLUNTARY CUTS
These voluntary cuts are calculated from the 2024 required production level as per the 35th OPEC Ministerial Meeting held on June 4, 2023, and are in addition to the voluntary cuts previously announced in April 2023 and later extended until the end of 2024.
2024, February, 16, 06:55:00
GLOBAL OIL DEMAND 2024: +2.2 MBD
The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains unchanged from last month’s assessment at 2.2 mb/d.
2024, January, 22, 06:55:00
GLOBAL OIL DEMAND 2025: +1.8 MBD
The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains unchanged at 2.2 mb/d, with the OECD growing by around 0.3 mb/d and the non-OECD by about 2.0 mb/d. The global oil demand growth in 2025 is expected to see a robust growth of 1.8 mb/d, y-o-y. The OECD is expected to grow by 0.1 mb/d, y-o-y, while demand in the non-OECD is forecast to increase by 1.7 mb/d.
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