EUROPEAN DIESEL SHOCK
BLOOMBERG - April 2, 2026 - Crude oil crisscrossing the $100-a-barrel mark might be what grabs headlines, but for Europe’s most important petroleum product, prices have now passed an eye-watering $200.
That’s the price of the region’s benchmark diesel futures, known as ICE Gasoil, which rose as high as $1,509.50 a ton earlier today, the equivalent of $202.3 a barrel.
It’s the highest the marker’s been since 2022, the year that Russia — then Europe’s top external diesel supplier — began its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Whether prices drop back or keep rising largely depends on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. In normal times, millions of barrels a day of refined fuels — including diesel — flow through the waterway that connects energy infrastructure inside the Persian Gulf to the rest of the world.
With shipments still largely halted, there’s an enormous squeeze on supplies, which is being exacerbated by some refiners cutting production because of a lack of crude oil from the Middle East.
For Europe, which relies on imports of diesel, that’s a big problem. The region consumes more than 6 million barrels a day of the fuel, which powers everything from trucks to ships to construction equipment.
So with prices soaring and some gas stations already running dry, you might think traders would be directing every available cargo of fuel toward the continent at full speed.
But that is not what’s been happening.
Take, for example, the STI Solace. This oil tanker recently loaded diesel in waters off the coast of the UK. But instead of delivering the fuel to a European port, it’s taking the cargo about as far away as it’s possible to go: more than 12,000 miles to Australia.
Other diesel-hauling tankers that were heading across the Atlantic toward Europe have meanwhile turned away, veering southeast toward Africa.
These ships started to move away from Europe in March — well before the latest price jumps. Today’s move through $200 a barrel looks like the market is waking up to a harsh truth: The Iran war is creating a global scramble for barrels.
And if Europe wants to outbid other buyers, it’s going to have to pay up.
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