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Analysis

Analysis
2018, July, 12, 10:45:00

OPEC: OIL DEMAND UP BY 1.65 MBD

OPEC - In 2018, oil demand is expected to grow by 1.65 mb/d, unchanged from the previous month’s assessment, with expectations for total world consumption at 98.85 mb/d. In 2019, the initial projection indicates a global increase of around 1.45 mb/d, with annual average global consumption anticipated to surpass the 100 mb/d threshold. The OECD is once again expected to remain in positive territory, registering a rise of 0.27 mb/d with the bulk of gains originating in OECD America. The non-OECD region is anticipated to lead oil demand growth in 2019 with initial projections indicating an increase of around 1.18 mb/d, most of which is attributed to China and India. Additionally, a steady acceleration in oil demand growth is projected in Latin America and the Middle East.

Analysis
2018, July, 12, 10:35:00

OPEC & RUSSIA 1 MBD: INSUFFICIENT

PLATTS - OPEC's recent decision with Russia and other allies to boost crude output by a combined 1 million b/d may be insufficient to meet global demand in the months ahead, according to the producer group's own forecast.

Analysis
2018, July, 12, 10:30:00

U.S. FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: $259.6 BLN

U.S. BEA - Expenditures by foreign direct investors to acquire, establish, or expand U.S. businesses totaled $259.6 billion (preliminary) in 2017. Expenditures were down 32 percent from $379.7 billion (revised) in 2016 and were below the annual average of $359.9 billion for 2014-2016. As in previous years, acquisitions of existing businesses accounted for a large majority of total expenditures.

Analysis
2018, July, 12, 10:25:00

RUSSIA CAN ADD 600,000

PLATTS - "We estimate that Russia will retain [roughly] 360,000 b/d of swing capacity at the end of 2018, as oil output ramps up by the agreed 200,000 b/d," a recent report by BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research said. "We expect Russian oil producers to accumulate additional [roughly] 140,000 b/d spare capacity by the end of 2019, bringing the total figure to 500,000 b/d."

Analysis
2018, July, 12, 10:15:00

NORWAY'S OIL PRODUCTION: 1.747 MBD

NPD - Preliminary production figures for June 2018 show an average daily production of 1 747 000 barrels of oil, NGL and condensate, which is an increase of 88 000 barrels per day compared to May.

Analysis
2018, July, 12, 10:10:00

ДОБЫЧА НОВАТЭК: +2,4%

НОВАТЭК - В первом полугодии 2018 года добыча углеводородов составила 264,3млн баррелей нефтяного эквивалента (бнэ), в том числе 32,93 млрд куб. м природного газа и 5 864 тыс. тонн жидких углеводородов (газовый конденсат и нефть). По сравнению с первым полугодием 2017 года добыча углеводородов выросла на 6,3 млн бнэ или на 2,4%.

Analysis
2018, July, 11, 09:35:00

OIL PRICE: NEAR $78 YET

REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 75 cents, or 1 percent, at $78.11 a barrel by 0308 GMT, having fallen as low as $77.60. U.S. crude CLc1 was down 55 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $73.56.

Analysis
2018, July, 11, 09:25:00

OIL PRICES 2018 - 19: $73 - $69

EIA - Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $74 per barrel (b) in June, a decrease of almost $3/b from the May average. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices will average $73/b in the second half of 2018 and will average $69/b in 2019. EIA expects West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices will average $6/b lower than Brent prices in the second half of 2018 and $7/b lower in 2019. NYMEX WTI futures and options contract values for October 2018 delivery that traded during the five-day period ending July 5, 2018, suggest a range of $56/b to $87/b encompasses the market expectation for October WTI prices at the 95% confidence level.

Analysis
2018, July, 11, 09:10:00

IRAN'S OIL FOR INDIA DOWN BY 15.9%

REUTERS - In June, India imported 592,800 barrels per day (bpd) of oil from Iran compared to 705,200 bpd in May, the data showed. The sources declined to be identified.

Analysis
2018, July, 11, 09:05:00

CHINA: THE LARGEST

EIA - In recent years, as its domestic energy consumption has grown, China has become a more significant destination for U.S. energy exports. In particular, China has been among the largest importers of U.S. exports of crude oil, propane, and liquefied natural gas.

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OIL (928)
GAS (715)
RUSSIA (454)
GAZPROM (201)
ROSNEFT (165)
U.S. (163)
CHINA (155)
PRICES (116)
LNG (106)
OPEC (103)