Meanwhile, the European Union is continuing talks about ways to limit spikes in gas prices ahead of a meeting of energy ministers next week.

The electric grids at most risk of supply shortfalls are in Texas, the central US system stretching from the Great Lakes to Louisiana, New England and the Carolinas, the North American Electric Reliability Council said in its seasonal assessment Thursday.

Benchmark gas futures settled 9.2% higher, following an increase of 16% on Monday. Freeport LNG in Texas will likely extend an outage that began in June, increasing global competition for much-needed supplies right before the winter.

Japan sees an equity stake in the Sakhalin 1 oil, gas project important as it relies around 95% on Middle Eastern oil imports.

According to preliminary data, Gazprom produced 359.7 billion cubic meters of gas from January 1 through November 15, 2022. This is a decrease of 19.2 per cent (or 85.3 billion cubic meters) versus the same period of last year.

Gas prices soared this year tracking the Russia-Ukraine war. But even if there was some peace settlement or an agreement with Ukraine, non-Russian gas will likely continue to attract a premium

Despite the ongoing uncertainty of long-term forecasts for the energy market development, it is clear that natural gas will continue gaining increased importance in the global energy mix. Its consumption is expected to increase by about 20 per cent by 2040 versus 2021.

Growth in OPEC and non-OPEC oil production—most notably production in the United States— keeps the Brent crude oil price in our forecast lower on an annual average basis in 2023 than in 2022. Brent crude oil price will begin rising in 2H23.

Risks over existing gas supplies from Russia will continue through the coming months, with just one pipeline route open to the biggest European customers.

Currently, the most expensive form of generation -- gas -- sets the price for all electricity that’s sold into the market. That means consumers are bearing the brunt of Russia’s supply cuts to the continent. It also means Europe isn’t feeling much of the benefit of low-cost renewables like wind farms, which get to sell at big margins.

Additional domestic gas production from a bigger reserve base in the Black Sea may allow Turkey to reverse some of the recent electricity and gas price hikes.

According to preliminary data, Gazprom produced 344 billion cubic meters of gas from January through October 2022. This is a decrease of 18.6 per cent (or 78.8 billion cubic meters) versus the same period of last year.

Dutch front-month gas, Europe’s benchmark, traded 2.4% higher at €119 per megawatt-hour by 8:43 a.m. in Amsterdam after losing 5.8% a day earlier.

“Türkiye, due to its geographical position, is an energy corridor from Russia, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. Any kind of natural gas or oil that is going to be transported or shipped, will cost less and will be shipped more safely,”

Europe’s gas storage sites are nearly 95% full, providing a buffer for when the weather turns colder. Reserves in the biggest gas consumer, Germany, have risen to 99%, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe.