The EIA said in a statement that it expects oil production growth to be led by countries outside of OPEC+. Production in South America has been the leading source of growth as new offshore vessels have started up ahead of schedule in Brazil and Guyana this year, the outlook said.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, led by Russia, a group known as OPEC+, have been unwinding previously agreed oil production cuts to regain market share from rivals such as U.S. shale producers.

In view of a steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals, as reflected in the low oil inventories, the eight participating countries decided to implement a production adjustment of 137 thousand barrels per day from the 1.65 million barrels per day additional voluntary adjustments announced in April 2023.

Russian-origin crude liftings from Russian ports reached 3.88 million b/d, the highest since April 2024,

The Committee also reaffirmed that it will continue to monitor adherence to the production adjustments decided upon at the 38th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting (ONOMM) held on 5 December 2024, and the additional voluntary production adjustments announced by some participating OPEC and non-OPEC countries as agreed upon in the 52nd JMMC held on 1 February 2024.

In May 2021, Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the IEA, told The Guardian, “If governments are serious about the climate crisis, there can be no new investments in oil, gas and coal, from now – from this year.”

While global spending is likely to hit $570 billion this year — enough to keep production at current levels if sustained — the amount would be down slightly from 2024,

Brent were up 27 cents, or 0.40%, to $67.11 a barrel, WTI rose 29 cents, or 0.46%, to $63 a barrel.

Trump has repeatedly threatened the largest buyers of Russian crude with sanctions if a deal to end the war in Ukraine is not reached. On Aug. 6, Trump issued an executive order raising tariffs on US imports from India from 25% to 50%, in response to what Trump described on Truth Social as India's "massive" purchases of Russian crude.

Physical export volumes in July increased 1.4% month-on-month to 7.3 million barrels per day, matching the export volume from a year earlier.