Устойчивой тенденции растущего или убывающего ценового тренда сейчас не наблюдается. Россия не рассматривает возможность снижения добычи для стабилизации нефтяного рынка и ожидает его балансировки под воздействием фундаментальных факторов. Важная тенденция газового рынка – уменьшение ценового арбитража между рынками Европы, АТР и Северной Америки.

Александр Новак сообщил, что в 2015 году в нефтяной отрасли ожидается 1 трлн 188 млрд рублей инвестиций при уровне добычи в 533 млн тонн. Также, по словам Министра, на нефтяном рынке идет сокращение дисбаланса спроса и предложения - излишек предложения будет ликвидирован во второй половине 2016 года.

OPEC’s board of governors was unable to agree on the group’s long-term strategy plan and won’t present it to oil ministers when they meet on Dec. 4 in Vienna, two OPEC delegates with knowledge of the matter said.

“The drop in prices won’t be a concern for us,” Zanganeh said. “It should be a concern for those who have replaced Iran.” Iran doesn’t expect difficulties selling the additional barrels, and “the market has taken into account our return,” he said.

Credit crunch was expected to hit many independent U.S. oil producers, starving the industry of billions of dollars and further denting company budgets and drilling plans.

Iran said in September it had approved a draft of international oil and gas contracts to attract foreign investors and oil buyers once international sanctions are lifted but has not provided details so far.

The country produced 44.5 million tons of petrochemicals in the past Iranian calendar year (ended on March 20, 2015), with over 10 percent rise from 40.5 million tons in its preceding year.

U.S. Rig Count is down 4 rigs from last week to 767, with oil rigs up 2 to 574, and gas rigs down 6 to 193. U.S. Rig Count is down 1,161 rigs from last year at 1,928, with oil rigs down 1,004, and gas rigs down 157. The U.S. Offshore rig count is 33, up 1 rig from last week, and down 19 rigs year over year.

The cost to hire a supertanker - each capable of carrying 2 million barrels of oil - recently hit its highest level since 2008 at over $100,000 a day last month and currently remains at over $70,000 a day.

Rosneft, a company led by Igor Sechin, said that in the first nine months of 2015 it produced 45.92 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas, increased from 40.87 bcm in the same period last year. On Friday, Gazprom reduced its 2015 forecasts to 427 bcm, a significant decrease on its forecasts released six months ago,which expected production for the year to reach 485 bcm.

Tankers carrying nearly 20 million barrels of Iraqi oil are due to sail to the United States in November, almost 40 percent above the amount booked to arrive in October. At an average rate of more than 660,000 barrels per day (bpd), it would be the largest monthly import since mid-2012, according to U.S. data.

Saudi Arabia has started shipping crude to traditional Russian markets like Poland and Sweden, but supplies to Europe from the world’s largest exporter won’t increase by enough to reduce prices. In contrast, a surge in Iranian exports after the lifting of sanctions could erode the value of Russian shipments to the region as soon as next year.

The process of adjustment in the oil market is rarely a smooth one, but, in central scenario, the market rebalances at $80/bbl in 2020, with further increases in price thereafter.

EIA forecasts that Brent crude oil prices will average $54/b in 2015 and $56/b in 2016. The 2015 forecast price is unchanged from last month's STEO, and the 2016 forecast price is $2/b lower. Forecast West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices average $4/b lower than the Brent price in 2015 and $5/b lower in 2016. The current values of futures and options contracts for February 2016 delivery (Market Prices and Uncertainty Report) suggest the market expects WTI prices to range from $35/b to $66/b (at the 95% confidence interval) in February 2016.

Crude oil production in December from seven major US shale plays is expected to drop 118,000 b/d to 4.95 million b/d.