Analysis
2018, January, 19, 12:40:00
УСТОЙЧИВОСТЬ РОССИИ: $40/BBL
МИНФИН РОССИИ - Когда мы говорим, что при формировании бюджета закладываем цену на нефть 40 долларов за баррель, все дополнительные нефтегазовые доходы, которые получаем сверх этой цены (только от нефти и газа, конъюнктурные доходы), мы не тратим, а сберегаем. Не разгоняем тем самым расходные обязательства.
2018, January, 19, 12:35:00
RUSSIA'S UPSIDE POTENTIAL
BLOOMBERG - Russia’s oil and gas index may gain another 20 to 30 percent this year as investors have yet to price in Brent at $70 per barrel, according to Sberbank CIB. "The sell side is assuming an average oil price of $55 per barrel for 2018,” the bank’s analysts said in a Jan. 15 note. "Should the oil price stay at the current level, we will see a wave of earnings upgrades.”
2018, January, 19, 12:30:00
U.S. FOSSIL FUELS WILL UP
EIA - EIA forecasts that total fossil fuels production in the United States will average almost 73 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) in 2018, the highest level of production on record. EIA expects total fossil fuel production to then set another record in 2019, with production forecast to rise to 75 quadrillion Btu.
2018, January, 19, 12:25:00
U.S. SECURITIES INFLOW $33.8 BLN
U.S.DT - The sum total in November of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $33.8 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $49.7 billion, and net foreign official outflows were $15.9 billion.
2018, January, 19, 12:20:00
U.S. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UP 0.9%
U.S. FRB - Industrial production rose 0.9 percent in December even though manufacturing output only edged up 0.1 percent. Revisions to mining and utilities altered the pattern of growth for October and November, but the level of the overall index in November was little changed. For the fourth quarter as a whole, total industrial production jumped 8.2 percent at an annual rate after being held down in the third quarter by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. At 107.5 percent of its 2012 average, the index has increased 3.6 percent since December 2016 for its largest calendar-year gain since 2010.
2018, January, 19, 12:15:00
S.KOREA'S DIVERSIFICATION
PLATTS - For full-year 2017, South Korea's crude imports from its biggest supplier Saudi Arabia fell 1.7% to 319.02 million barrels, compared with 324.45 million barrels in the previous year, customs data showed.
On the contrary, South Korea has imported 1.77 million mt, or around 13 million barrels, of crude from the US in 2017, about four times higher than in 2016. Shipments from Russia grew to 140,000 b/d last year from 112,000 b/d in 2016.
2018, January, 19, 12:10:00
ADNOC'S 2030 STRATEGY
AOG - ADNOC’s 2030 strategy, he said, aims to capitalise on predicted global economic growth and demand for oil and petrochemical products, particularly in non-OECD countries. As its business responds to changing market dynamics, the company will continue to broaden its partnership base, strengthen its profitability, adapt to new realities and expand market access.
2018, January, 17, 23:50:00
OIL PRICES: NOT ABOVE $70 YET
REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $69.23 a barrel at 0808 GMT, up 8 cents from their last close, but down from a high of $69.37 earlier in the day. Brent on Monday rose to $70.37 a barrel, its highest since December 2014, the start of a three-year oil price slump.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $63.84 a barrel, down from a high of $63.89 earlier, but up 11 cents from their last settlement. WTI hit $64.89 on Tuesday, also the highest since December 2014.
2018, January, 17, 23:45:00
ЦЕНА URALS: $66,51306
МИНФИН РОССИИ - Средняя цена на нефть Urals за период мониторинга с 15 декабря 2017 года по 14 января 2018 года составила $66,51306 за баррель, или $485,5 за тонну. Согласно расчетам Минфина России экспортная пошлина на нефть в РФ с 1 февраля 2017 года повысится на $8,7 и составит $120,1 за тонну.
2018, January, 17, 23:40:00
CHINA'S OIL DEMAND UP 4.6%
PLATTS - China's apparent oil demand is expected to rise 4.6% year on year to hit 600 million mt (12.05 million b/d) in 2018, with net crude imports to increase 7.7% to 451 million mt, according to a report released Tuesday by state-owned China National Petroleum Corp.'s Economics and Technology Research Institute.
2018, January, 17, 23:25:00
U.S. OIL +111 TBD, GAS + 890 MCFD
EIA - Crude oil production from the major US onshore regions is forecast to increase 111,000 b/d month-over-month in February to 6,549 million b/d, gas production to increase 890 million cubic feet/day to 64,071 million cubic feet/day .
2018, January, 15, 10:25:00
OIL PRICES: NOT ABOVE $70 AGAIN
REUTERS - Brent crude futures LCOc1, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $70 per barrel at 0558 GMT, up 13 cents from their last close.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $64.53 a barrel, up 23 cents.
2018, January, 15, 10:15:00
WBG: GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH 3.1%
WBG - The World Bank forecasts global economic growth to edge up to 3.1 percent in 2018 after a much stronger-than-expected 2017, as the recovery in investment, manufacturing, and trade continues, and as commodity-exporting developing economies benefit from firming commodity prices.
2018, January, 15, 10:05:00
ДОХОДЫ РОССИИ: +257,1 МЛРД.РУБ.
МИНФИН РОССИИ - Ожидаемый объем дополнительных нефтегазовых доходов федерального бюджета, связанный с превышением фактически сложившейся цены на нефть над базовым уровнем, прогнозируется в январе 2018 года в размере +257,1 млрд руб.
2018, January, 15, 09:55:00
IRAQ'S OIL PRODUCTION: 5 MBD
PLATTS - Iraq is nearing a production capacity of 5 million b/d, though it will comply with its quota under the OPEC production cut agreement, oil minister Jabbar al-Luaibi said.